Wednesday, March 18, 2020

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World Alert: China reports no new local coronavirus infections for the first time since the outbreak began

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 07:02 PM PDT

All 34 infections diagnosed on Wednesday were in people arriving into China from abroad, the National Health Commission said.
 
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World Alert Mar 18, 10:02 PM
 
 
China reports no new local coronavirus infections for the first time since the outbreak began

All 34 infections diagnosed on Wednesday were in people arriving into China from abroad, the National Health Commission said.

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Europe eclipses China

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 05:21 PM PDT

QuickTake Tonight
Bloomberg

Greetings, QuickTake readers! In this edition: Biden takes a lofty lead, Olympic organizers hold out for an on-time Tokyo 2020, and why quarantine concerts are filling up your feed.

Europe's outbreak tops China's

Europe surpassed China in the number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths on Wednesday as Italy reported its deadliest day yet and the virus continued to slow its spread in Asia. Cases in Europe totaled more than 85,000 with 4,000 deaths, exceeding China's 80,900 cases and 3,200 deaths. Italy's death toll alone was 2,978 after reporting a staggering 475 deaths since Tuesday, the most by any county since the virus originated in Wuhan. Even China's highest single-day death toll, recorded on Feb. 23, was 150.

Around Europe:

  • In Rome, the government said it may extend its unprecedented lockdown restricting people's movement beyond April 3.
  • In Berlin, Chancellor Angela Merkel said not since World War II had Germany faced a challenge like the outbreak.
  • In Paris, streets were empty amid France's lockdown, as the government pledged billions for workers and small businesses.
  • In London, U.K. PM Boris Johnson ordered schools closed until further notice to apply "downward pressure" to slow new cases.
  • In Madrid, PM Pedro Sánchez said to a near-empty parliament "the worst is yet to come" for Spain's health system and economy.

$ignificant figures

99%. Almost all of Italy's coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered previous medical conditions, said a study by the country's national health authority, after deaths hit nearly 3,000 with a 150% uptick in the past week.

1,171. The total number of delegates secured by Joe Biden after he swept Democratic primaries in Florida, Illinois and Arizona, effectively putting the nomination out of reach for Bernie Sanders. A campaign email on Wednesday referred to the former VP as "President Biden."

3 days. How long coronavirus can stay infectious on plastic and stainless steel, an NIH study found, noting it remains stable for up to three hours in aerosols, four hours on copper and 24 hours on cardboard.

Highly quotable

"It's a war." Calling himself a "wartime president," Trump invoked the Defense Production Act, allowing the U.S. to boost mask production and also said HUD would suspend foreclosures and evictions through April.

"No solution will be perfect." Olympic organizers are still hoping the Tokyo 2020 games will go ahead on July 24 despite mounting criticism from athletes accusing the IOC of putting them "in danger."

"What else can poor people do?" Some residents of New Delhi's slums, who lack access to clean water, soap and hand sanitizer, worry their conditions are more apt to spread coronavirus than contain it.

This is not normal

Desert plague. Farmers in Pakistan, like in parts of Africa and the Middle East, are battling the most invasive locust swarms in 30 years as the pests devastate crops, threaten livelihoods and prompt fears of starvation.

The future is now

App alert. An app could let users see if they've been exposed to Covid-19 via secure location sharing and crowdsourcing, say MIT developers who created Private Kit: Safe Paths to help identify virus hotspots.

What's good

Instajam. Coldplay's Chris Martin, Keith Urban, Pink and John Legend are just a few of the musicians trying to connect with their fans stuck inside by livestreaming self-isolation concerts and jam sessions on Instagram.

Now that you're caught up... Tell your friends to sign up to receive our newsletter five days a week. Follow QuickTake on Twitter, YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.

BTW: Which industry is thriving more than most during San Francisco's shelter-in-place order. Cannabis,of course.

Thanks for reading!
-Andrew Mach

 

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BREAKING NEWS: First member of Congress tests positive for coronavirus

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 04:16 PM PDT

Rep. Mario Diaz-Balart (R-Fla.) has tested positive for coronavirus, becoming the first U.S. lawmaker to contract the virus that's spreading throughout the U.S.

"I'm feeling much better. However, it's important that everyone take this seriously and follow ���@CDCgov��� guidelines in order to avoid getting sick & mitigate the spread of this virus," he wrote on Twitter Wednesday.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/18/first-member-of-congress-tests-positive-for-coronavirus-136300

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Government offers financial assistance package of $82 billion for coronavirus crisis

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 02:53 PM PDT

How to apply for EI if coronavirus pandemic affected your job ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
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🦠 An Ottawa Senators player has tested positive for COVID-19, becoming the first NHL player to be diagnosed with the novel coronavirus.


🍸 Canadian crooner Michael Bublé urged people to stay at home during the COVID-19 pandemic and jokingly suggested passing the time by “drinking quarantinis.”


📉 The Loonie dropped to its lowest level in decades as oil prices crashed again.

 

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How To Apply For EI If The Coronavirus Pandemic Affected Your Job

In the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic, employment insurance (EI) is going to become an invaluable resource for many, but what is it? Who pays for it? Do you qualify? And how do you apply for it?

Here's what you need to know

 

Government Offers Financial Assistance Package Of $82 Billion For Coronavirus Crisis

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said Ottawa will spend $27 billion in direct support for Canadians and $55 billion in tax deferrals, which, he said, represents more than three per cent of Canada’s GDP.

"Extraordinary measures"

 

Canadians Abroad Face Flight Cancellations Amidst Coronavirus Measures

“We are looking at every possible way of bringing Canadians home,” Trudeau said. “It’s realistic to know some of them won’t be coming home in the coming weeks.”

$9,000 air tickets

Canada-U.S. Border To Shut Down To Non-Essential Travel, Trump Confirms

The extraordinary move comes two days after Trudeau announced that U.S. citizens would be exempt from Canada’s closure of its borders to foreign travellers, in an effort to stem travel-related community transmission of the novel coronavirus.

Temporary but no details on duration

 

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More headlines

 

Loonie Hits Lowest Level In 17 Years As Canadian Oil Crashes Again


Canadian Banks Offer Mortgage Deferrals ‘On Case By Case Basis’


Air Transat, Porter Latest Canadian Airlines To Suspend Flights


NHL Sees 1st Player Diagnosed With COVID-19


Elective Surgeries Cancelled During Coronavirus Pandemic Put Canadians At Risk

 

What's making us thirsty

 

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Stay Home And Drink. That’s An Order From Michael Bublé.

😉😉😉

 

 

👍  You're all set. Have a great day.

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Trump’s bear market

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 02:16 PM PDT

Evening Briefing
Bloomberg

Ever since his improbable electoral college victory in 2016, President Donald Trump has tied his fortunes to the stock market. Though he inherited a chugging economy built under the policies of his predecessor, at no time in modern history has a U.S. leader claimed more credit for share prices. But after a catastrophic sell-off triggered by the oil standoff, a worldwide pandemic and the administration's slowness to respond, Trump's bull market is now his bear market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost more than 30% of its value, wiping out all of its gains since the real estate developer became president three years ago. Here's what it means for the global economy. —Josh Petri 

Bloomberg is mapping the spread of the coronavirus globally and in the U.S. For the latest news on the outbreak, sign up for our daily newsletter.

Here are today's top stories

As efforts to contain the coronavirus intensify, the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits is skyrocketing. Women in particular are at high economic risk. The Senate on Wednesday approved a relief package passed by the House four days ago that includes paid sick leave and financial assistance for coronavirus testing

After weeks of Trump downplaying the threat, and mistakes by federal agencies that first refused to use an international test and then made their own defective version, governors and mayors have stepped into the coronavirus breach. Trump, meanwhile, now claims he knew it was going to be a pandemic all along.

The White House announced a series of new steps to combat the growing pandemic, including ordering Navy hospital ships to both coasts and allowing doctors to work across state borders.

Former Vice President Joe Biden is now the likely Democratic presidential nominee after winning primaries in Florida, Illinois and Arizona on Tuesday night. 

Detroit automakers will temporarily shut down their U.S. plants in an effort to slow the virus's spread. Some Amazon drivers, by contrast, received a single wipe to clean their vans before their shifts.

Mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which backstop about $5 trillion worth of home loans, will halt foreclosures for 60 days.

Bloomberg Businessweek Special Report, The Lost Year: Trump staked his reelection on a booming economy. Not so much anymore.

What you'll need to know tomorrow

What you'll want to see in Bloomberg Photos

America Goes Quiet in the 'Shelter in Place' Era

From Los Angeles to New York City and New Orleans, thoroughfares that would normally be teeming with people as spring approaches are empty and quiet. The reality of the coronavirus pandemic has taken hold of the world's largest economy. Empty is the new normal.

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This is starting to look more like a financial crisis

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 01:56 PM PDT

Bloomberg Opinion Today
Bloomberg

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Today's Agenda

We know the feeling, dude.

Photographer: Spencer Platt/Getty Images North America

People Crunch Becomes Credit Crunch

A couple of weeks ago, before the Working From Home Era, we compared the coronavirus's economic effect to the credit crisis, saying that stopping the flow of people would devastate economies as badly as, if not worse than, stopping the flow of credit. Now that this thesis has proved alarmingly true, it seems also to be causing one of those original credit crises, involving, you know, credit.

Businesses and banks are scrambling for cash, and investors are dumping their winners to cover their losses, notes John Authers. It all has that very fall-of-2008 feel. Some of the winners being dumped may include super-safe Treasury bonds, which might help explain why their rates are jumping (bond yields and prices move in opposite directions), which isn't what you'd expect in a doomsday-prepping scenario. There are some potential benign explanations — hopes for stimulus, worries about deficits — but the market could also be pricing in deflation, writes Brian Chappatta.

A different spike in interest rates, those on junk debt, is easier to explain. Investors hungry for yield and seeing only blue skies ahead had piled into high-yield bonds for years, figuring any reckoning would be far away, notes Brian Chappatta. Well, the reckoning has arrived all at once, and suddenly everybody wants to be socially distanced from junk bonds.

Fortunately the Fed and other authorities are finally starting to take big, coordinated steps that could help limit the economic damage and knock-on credit effects, writes Mohamed El-Erian. These won't stop a recession, though, and we'll have to see more such creativity and cooperation in the days ahead. For one thing, as Shuli Ren notes, foreign companies are struggling to get their hands on dollars, something the Fed must address. However familiar this may feel, brace for more surprises.

Further Economic Meltdown Reading:

Testing > Sheltering in Place

The fate of the economy still depends mainly on getting people moving again, into restaurants, offices and airplanes. That won't happen until we have better control of the coronavirus. And that feels like it could still be 18 intermittently claustrophobic months away, based on that scary Imperial College study making the rounds. One thing that could change this calculus for the better is widespread testing in the U.S., writes Faye Flam. It has been woefully inadequate so far and is ramping up only now. But Singapore has proved diligent testing can limit the spread of the disease and time spent sheltering with increasingly annoying loved ones.

There are many possible explanations for why Singapore and other Asian countries have fought this virus so much better than the U.S. has, but the one common denominator seems to be that all have recent experience fighting other, scarier epidemics, writes Justin Fox. I for one will never forget to wash my hands before touching my face again.

Further Pandemic-Response Reading:

Coronavirus Worse Than Brexit for Europe

The American response to the virus has been disappointing, but the European response has arguably been worse. Rich states have all but abandoned Italy in its time of need. National borders are being rediscovered. Stimulus efforts seem grudging at times. Coming right on the heels of Brexit, this raises doubts about the European Union's continuing relevance, writes Andreas Kluth. If its bonds are too weak to help in this crisis, then they may not be long for this world.

Further European Vexation Reading: Europe tried to flex its geopolitical might in Libya. It's not going well. — Bobby Ghosh

Telltale Charts

The stock market may have much further to fall than you think, judging by how far its relative valuation fell in past crises, writes Nir Kaissar.

The U.S. has a shortage of doctors to go along with its shortages of test kits, protective gear and hospital beds, writes Max Nisen.

Retailers will need help from lenders and landlords to survive the wave that's swamping them now, writes Andrea Felsted.

Further Reading

Joe Biden should pick a running mate who's already been vetted in a national campaign. — Jonathan Bernstein 

Active money managers are not exactly covering themselves in glory, driving even more investors to passive funds. — Mark Gilbert 

The obsolete MLP structure for pipeline companies was doomed before the coronavirus. Now it's disappearing. — Liam Denning 

Everybody working from home has WeWork looking fondly on the days when it was merely a laughingstock. — Matt Levine 

Here are some pro tips to make working from home not be so awful. — Sarah Green Carmichael 

ICYMI

Hospital workers make masks out of office supplies.

Life in Italian lockdown.

Blue Apron stock is booming.

Kickers

Not to be outdone by Shedd Aquarium, Chicago's Field Museum lets a dinosaur walk around it. (h/t Stacey Shick

Researcher proves one of Darwin's theories.

How the brain encodes landmarks that help us navigate.

The 100 best movies on Netflix, and all the HBO shows, ranked.

Note: Please send Blue Apron boxes and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.

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Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. Find out more about how the Terminal delivers information and analysis that financial professionals can't find anywhere else. Learn more.

 

خلاصة بصراحة - الخميس 19 آذار/مارس 2020

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 01:32 PM PDT

The Washington Institute










Amanda Bynes is 'seeking treatment for mental health issues,' says lawyer: 'We ask for privacy

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 01:21 PM PDT

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3/18/20
 
"We ask for any speculation about her personal life from the public and the media to cease so Amanda can focus on getting better," Amanda Bynes' lawyer tells PEOPLE
 
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Amanda Bynes Is 'Seeking Treatment for Mental Health Issues,' Says Lawyer: 'We Ask for Privacy'
 
"We ask for any speculation about her personal life from the public and the media to cease so Amanda can focus on getting better," Amanda Bynes' lawyer tells PEOPLE
 
 
<p>From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to</p>
 
STAR TRACKS
Ted Danson & Mary Steenburgen Walk Their Dog, Plus Denise Richards, Pregnant Chloë Sevigny and More
 
From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to
 
 
 
Hendrix's future husband popped the question earlier this month after more than a year of dating, PEOPLE confirms exclusively
 
BIG NEWS
Married at First Sight Alum Cortney Hendrix Is Engaged to Boyfriend Sherm — See Her Gorgeous Ring
 
Hendrix's future husband popped the question earlier this month after more than a year of dating, PEOPLE confirms exclusively
 
 
 
The royal children will now move to "remote learning" and continue their lessons online
 
LEARNING AT HOME
Prince George and Princess Charlotte Will Now Home School Due to Coronavirus Pandemic
 
The royal children will now move to "remote learning" and continue their lessons online
 
 
The <em>Counting On</em> star, who is expecting a baby girl, is due in August
 
RAINBOW BABY
Joy-Anna Duggar Is Pregnant After Suffering Miscarriage: 'My Heart Is Just Going to Melt'
 
The Counting On star, who is expecting a baby girl, is due in August
 
 
A stage-three testicular cancer survivor, Steven Avila has already "seen dark times when it comes to my own health" — and wants to give back once he's recovered
 
SPEAKING OUT
30-Year-Old Coronavirus Patient Responds to 'Selfish' People Ignoring Social Distancing
 
A stage-three testicular cancer survivor, Steven Avila has already "seen dark times when it comes to my own health" — and wants to give back once he's recovered
 
 
Chrissy Teigen is all for letting people learn from their mistakes
 
CONTROVERSY
Chrissy Teigen Defends Vanessa Hudgens After Her 'Dumb' Coronavirus Comments: She Will 'Learn'
 
Chrissy Teigen is all for letting people learn from their mistakes
 
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BREAKING NEWS: Senate approves multi-billion dollar coronavirus aid package

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 01:13 PM PDT

The Senate passed a multi-billion dollar emergency aid package to help Americans suffering from the economic impacts of the coronavirus.

The package, which the House had already approved, now heads to President Donald Trump's desk.

The Senate will now begin negotiating on a third, much larger stimulus package that could inject $1 trillion into the economy. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) has said the Senate will not leave Washington until it finishes the deal.

Read more.

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BREAKING NEWS: Dow tumbles again, nearly wiping out gains of Trump’s presidency

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 01:10 PM PDT

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 6 percent on Wednesday under the 20,000 level, nearly erasing the iconic index's previous gains since President Donald Trump's inauguration and jeopardizing a key talking point for his reelection campaign.

Earlier in the day, the S&P 500 dropped so steeply that it triggered a market-wide suspension of trading for 15 minutes.

The plunge underscores the risk Trump took in tying his presidential reputation to stock prices, which can fall as easily as they rise, and in any case are only one indicator of the health of the economy.

Read more here.

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Posted: 18 Mar 2020 11:49 AM PDT

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Jerusalem Palestinians Don’t Want Israeli Rule or Uprising (Pollock | Fikra Forum)

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 10:18 AM PDT

MOST JERUSALEM PALESTINIANS WANT NEITHER ISRAELI RULE NOR UPRISING AGAINST IT, AS SILWAN NEIGHBORHOOD STANDS OUT FOR MORE MILITANT VIEWS
by David Pollock

Fikra Forum
March 13, 2020

Findings from a recent survey among the city's Palestinian residents, with questions covering peace prospects, coexistence, the potential for violence, and neighborhood-specific issues.

READ THIS ARTICLE ON OUR WEBSITE


East Jerusalem’s 330,000 Palestinian legal residents, though overwhelmingly not Israeli citizens, have many practical advantages over their West Bank neighbors. Only the former have the right to work, study, and travel freely inside Israel, and to participate in Israel’s extensive social welfare system of healthcare, unemployment, and retirement benefits. As a result, previous surveys demonstrated that a significant segment of these Palestinians gradually came to prefer Israeli to Palestinian citizenship if faced with that stark choice.

In fact, from 2010 to 2015, the proportion of East Jerusalemite Arabs who said they would prefer Israeli to Palestinian citizenship rose substantially: from 35% to a remarkable 52%. But that number dropped precipitously, to the 10-20% range, once the 2015-16 Palestinian “knife intifada” violently alienated the Jewish and Arab halves of the city from each other. In the current survey, that proportion seems to have stabilized at around 17%—compared with two-thirds who would rather choose citizenship in a Palestinian state.

For charts illustrating these findings, go to the web version of this article.

More light on this question comes from two other related ones. Around one-fourth of the city’s Palestinians agree at least “somewhat” with this provocative assertion: “It would be better for us if we were part of Israel than in Palestinian Authority or Hamas ruled lands.” At the same time, however, three-fourths are inclined to believe that “Israel will never accept a one-state solution that gives the Palestinians equal rights, even if they become a clear majority.”

Jordan retains minority support: In this survey, a new choice was offered as well: Jordanian citizenship. The results showed that option statistically tied with Israel, at 18%. Interestingly, that is close to the 25% of East Jerusalem Palestinians who say they still hold a valid Jordanian passport, more than half a century after Israel captured the eastern half of the city from Jordan in the 1967 Six Day War. In addition, around half of all Palestinians in the city say Jordan should have “a major role” in solving the Palestinian problem. And about two-thirds have at least a “somewhat favorable” view of Jordan’s King Abdullah.

And the dream to regain all of Palestine persists: Like their West Bank and Gaza cousins, the majority (57%) of East Jerusalem Palestinians now prefer a five-year goal of “regaining all of historical Palestine for the Palestinians, from the river to the sea,” rather than just “ending the occupation to achieve a two-state solution” (32%). Similarly, a follow-up question asked about next steps in case “the Palestinian leadership is able to negotiate a two-state solution.” Less than one-fifth said “that should end the conflict with Israel,” while over two-thirds said “the conflict should not end, and resistance should continue until all of historic Palestine is liberated.” Around 15% expressed no opinion on the matter.

This pattern is also evident in response to several other relevant questions. Around three-quarters say “any compromise with Israel should only be temporary.” Nearly as many think that “eventually, the Palestinians will control almost all of Palestine”—either because “God is on their side” or because “they will outnumber the Jews someday.” Even about Jerusalem itself, around two-thirds of its Arab residents agree at least “somewhat” with this maximalist position: “We should demand Palestinian rule over all of Jerusalem, east and west, rather than agree to share or divide any part of it with Israel.” The exception lies in the relatively comfortable, outlying, mixed Arab/Jewish neighborhood of Abu Tur, where just 42% endorse that hardline opinion.

Yet when such questions are phrased in terms not of “rights” but of realistic expectations, a much less sanguine view emerges. For example, three-quarters agree at least “somewhat” with this assertion: “Regardless of what’s right, the reality is that most Israeli settlers will probably stay where they are, and most Palestinian refugees will not return to the 1948 lands.” That terminology reveals a much more ambivalent attitude toward Israel’s longevity, if not its legitimacy.

Social distancing even before coronavirus: The prevailing Palestinian sense of alienation from Israel is to a significant extent personal, as well as political. Respondents were asked about “your own personal contacts with Israelis, like at work, school, shopping, or on the bus or train.” In most Palestinian neighborhoods, 55% called those interactions “very bad,” plus 24% who answered “fairly bad.” In mixed Abu Tur, the numbers were no better: 50% “very bad” plus 37% “fairly bad.”

So why no Jerusalem intifada? Given the general Palestinian rejection of Israeli rule and the lack of any credible peace process, why is there no intifada (uprising) in East Jerusalem, as in some previous periods—including the sporadic “knife intifada” of 2015-16? Instead of speculating, we turned to crowdsourcing, by asking the locals themselves for their answers to this key question. The results point to a variety of factors, with some divergences by neighborhood.

First of all, only around a fifth of East Jerusalemites say that an intifada should now become the top Palestinian priority, when asked about a range of responses to their current predicament. The corresponding figure is almost the same in the West Bank. And only a relatively small minority feel “strongly” that Palestinians should resort to force even if Israel moves to annex more West Bank territory.

But why? In most of East Jerusalem, a plurality (around a third) selects two “major factors” behind the absence of an intifada: “many people are more preoccupied with their personal lives than with politics”; and “many people are concerned about tough Israeli reactions to any disturbances.” Somewhat fewer, around a quarter, also cite four additional popular attitudes as “major factors” in this context: concern about “tough PA or Hamas reactions to any disturbances”; preference for a peaceful approach; lack of trust in their own leaders; and hope for some outside intervention on their behalf.

A separate question came at this problem from a different direction. Respondents were asked to what extent they agree or disagree with this statement: “When I think about what’s happening in Syria or Yemen and other places, I feel that my situation is actually not bad.” All around East Jerusalem, the majority agree at least “somewhat” with that sentiment. This, too, probably helps explain why these Arab residents, even in the more militant neighborhoods, are not rising up en masse these days.

Silwan and Abu Tur differ from others, and each other: For purposes of this analysis, two neighborhoods are singled out for comparison, both with each other and with the rest of Jerusalem’s Palestinian population. The two are Silwan, a small, hilly, poor, and densely packed area overlooking the Old City, which has at times been a flashpoint of Jewish and Palestinian activism and tension; and nearby Abu Tur, a larger, more modern and middle-class area with some Jewish residences mixed in. The Silwan and Abu Tur boosted subsamples are small, at 100 respondents each, so the findings should be taken with appropriate caution. Nevertheless, they provide a valid and useful contrast, along with an intriguing lesson in how complex and counterintuitive local attitudes may be.

In these two adjacent southeastern neighborhoods, popular explanations for the absence of an intifada took a different, more sullen turn. In those two areas, on average, only around 10-15% cited any of the above five options as a “major factor” behind the surface calm on their streets. Instead, much higher proportions volunteered “don’t know” responses, or simply refused to answer these questions.

In Silwan, especially, fully 40% ducked a response to the following two prompts: “many people don’t see any leaders they trust to help organize an intifada or armed confrontation against Israel”; and “some people believe that an external force will help the Palestinians.” This pattern probably reflects a higher prevalence of very private expectations, perhaps for support from Turkey, Hamas, the Israeli Arab Islamic movement, or other controversial outside actors that have been particularly active in that neighborhood in recent years.

But more broadly, on almost the entire range of political questions, from rejection of a two-state solution to rejection of a new intifada, and many more such issues, attitudes in Abu Tur are approximately in line with those in most other Palestinian neighborhoods. By contrast, attitudes in Silwan are exceptionally militant. To cite but one instance, here are the percentages who agreed with this simple sentence: “I hope someday we can be friends with Israelis, since we are all human beings after all.” In Abu Tur, that figure is 29%; in most other neighborhoods, 33%. But in Silwan, a mere 4% agree—compared with 90% who “strongly” disagree.

Other special aspects of Silwan: In addition, this small neighborhood, right on the edge of major Jewish archaeological digs around the ancient first and second temple “City of David” site, stands out with exceptionally negative views of that activity. Fully 85% in Silwan call these excavations “very bad”—compared with only half in nearby Abu Tur, and just one-quarter elsewhere in the city. The conclusion is that this is primarily a highly localized problem, at least from a public opinion (if not necessarily a broader political) perspective.

There are, however, a few questions on which Silwan residents express more favorable views than anyone else. One concerns “recent infrastructure projects by the city, like new roads or sewage pipes.” Remarkably, 39% in Silwan say these improvements are “very good,” with an additional 59% calling them “fairly good.” By comparison, only half their neighbors in Abu Tur, and just 30% elsewhere, say that the municipality’s new infrastructure projects are even “fairly good.”

Also surprisingly positive are Silwani views on this proposition: “Most Israelis would accept a two-state solution, if that would provide permanent peace.” In Silwan, 79% agree at least “somewhat” with that statement. But in all other neighborhoods combined, that figure drops to just 36%. This highly counterintuitive finding is probably related to another one: despite the occasional headlines about friction between Silwanis and some Jewish activists in their area, more Silwanis (24%) than in other Palestinian neighborhoods report that their own personal interactions with Israelis are at least “fairly good.”

Yet as previously noted, one other finding stands out about Silwan: the unusually high proportion of “don’t knows” or refusals to answer specific questions. In this context, 22% would not comment on their everyday contacts with Israelis, compared with 8% in Abu Tur and less than 1% elsewhere. Silwani responses to certain other questions, whether personal or political, show a similar pattern. The impression is that their neighborhood is more insular, suspicious, reticent, and relatively fearful or just reluctant to express an opinion on selected issues.

Methodological note: This analysis is based on a face-to-face survey conducted January 23-February 11, 2020, by the Palestine Center for Public Opinion, based in Beit Sahour in the West Bank, among a representative sample of 650 legal Arab residents of East Jerusalem. Respondents were chosen using standard geographical probability methods, yielding a margin of error for the total sample of approximately 4% (although significantly larger for the two boosted neighborhood subsamples). The author personally traveled to the West Bank and Jerusalem to consult closely with the project managers and the local field team during the survey period, ensuring quality control, high technical proficiency, and strict confidentiality. Comparisons are with a parallel survey conducted during the same timeframe among representative samples of 500 each in the West Bank and Gaza. Additional methodological details are readily available on request.

David Pollock is the Bernstein Fellow at The Washington Institute and director of Project Fikra.



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NEWS ALERT: Army on the cusp of replacing iconic Black Hawk; final contenders vie to provide assault aircraft

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 09:34 AM PDT

The iconic UH-60 Black Hawk's service in the U.S. Army is one step closer to completion.
The Washington Times
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Wednesday March 18, 2020
 
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Army on the cusp of replacing iconic Black Hawk; final contenders vie to provide assault aircraft

The iconic UH-60 Black Hawk's service in the U.S. Army is one step closer to completion.

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وباء كورونا: أكثر من 200 ألف إصابة حول العالم.. آخر المستجدات لحظة بلحظة

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 09:07 AM PDT

وباء كورونا: أكثر من 200 ألف إصابة حول العالم.. آخر المستجدات لحظة بلحظة...
نسخة على الإنترنت
نسختك الخاصة من أخبار يورونيوز – 03/18/20
نشرتك اليومية من الأخبار المختلفة المتنوعة
وباء كورونا: أكثر من 200 ألف إصابة حول العالم.. آخر المستجدات لحظة بلحظة
وباء كورونا: أكثر من 200 ألف إصابة حول العالم.. آخر المستجدات لحظة بلحظة...   إقرأ أكثر، للمزيد
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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BREAKING NEWS: Treasury plan calls for emergency checks starting April 6

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 08:50 AM PDT

A Treasury Department proposal sent to lawmakers calls for $250 billion in direct payments to Americans starting April 6, with another $250 billion round on May 18.

The proposal also includes $200 billion in industry aid. As part of that, the airline sector would see $50 billion in loans, with conditions on executive pay and service requirements.

The plan comes as the coronavirus threatens to cripple the U.S. economy and continues to spread across the country.

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Amanda Bynes pregnant with first child with Paul Michael after reuniting following a brief split

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 07:14 AM PDT

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BREAKING NEWS: Canada, U.S. plan to close border to non-essential travel

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 07:02 AM PDT

OTTAWA — Canada and the U.S. are working together on an agreement to suspend non-essential travel between the two countries while sparing trade, President Donald Trump said on Twitter on Wednesday. A Canadian government official had confirmed the plan to POLITICO late Tuesday night, part of an effort to slow the spread of the coronavirus.

"We will be, by mutual consent, temporarily closing our Northern Border with Canada to non-essential traffic. Trade will not be affected. Details to follow!" Trump tweeted.

The move will mostly close the largest non-militarized land border in the world, another restriction as coronavirus spreads around the globe and cases multiply in both the U.S. and Canada.

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News Alert: Trump says border with Canada will be temporarily closed to 'non-essential traffic'

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 06:54 AM PDT

President Trump made the announcement in a tweet and said it was being done with the "mutual consent" of Canada. He added that it would not impact trade and that more details would soon be released.
 
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Wednesday Morning Briefing: British supermarkets impose limits as panic buying spreads

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 06:16 AM PDT

Coronavirus

Shelf-stripping

Ice cream and chocolate Easter eggs anyone? That is all that remains on some UK supermarket aisles as panic-buying escalates. That has prompted two big chains, Tesco and Sainsbury’s, to impose restrictions on certain items: Tesco for example is limiting purchases to just two packs of things like dried pasta, toilet roll and long life milk.

Aldi meanwhile introduced outright rationing, limiting customers to buying four items of any one product during each visit. The paradox is that the stores say they have enough food coming into the system - suggesting that supplies would be fine if the panic-buyers just eased off.

$1,000 in your pocket

As the coronavirus threatens to push the global economy into recession, the administration of President Donald Trump is rolling out an unusual idea: handing out free money.

Trump and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin proposed on Tuesday mailing out checks of up to $1,000 to American adults to quickly pump hundreds of billions of dollars into the U.S. economy, similar to the playbook deployed through the Economic Stimulus Act of 2008.

Economists say it could be one of the most effective measures to blunt the impact of the virus on the economy. Any such programme would need Congressional approval.

The spread

There are almost 200,000 cases of coronavirus across 164 countries and territories, a Reuters tally at 0200 GMT on Wednesday showed.

Outside China, two-thirds of all cases and three-quarters of all deaths are in Europe. The number of cases in Europe, over 77,000, is now approaching China’s total of 81,054 cases. Europe has recorded more than 3,800 deaths, around 600 more than China.

In Italy, there was a dramatic rise in the number of deaths, with a further 783 recorded in the past 24 hours. That brings the official mortality rate there close to 10%. In the absence of a compelling explanation, some experts put it down to the denominator - that is, it looks high as a ratio because the number of overall infections is being under-estimated.

Crystal clear

The pandemic lock-down is meanwhile having some unexpected side effects in Italy. Venice canals, usually bogged down with tourists in gondolas and motorboats are now crystal clear. Those that venture out into the city and peer down into the water may even see little silver fish swimming around.

Olympics make no sense if athletes can’t come.

Japanese Deputy Prime Minister Taro Aso said holding the Tokyo Olympics “would not make sense” if countries could not send their athletes. He spoke in parliament on Wednesday as a plane took off from Haneda airport to fly to Athens to collect the Olympic flame.

Athletes are growing increasingly anxious about whether the Games will go ahead or not as scheduled. Reigning Olympic pole vault champion Katerina Stefanidi said she wanted to know what the Plan B was for staging the event.

Follow our curated coronavirus coverage and live interactive graphic

Breakingviews: Corona Capital - WeWork, Fuji, Munich Re, Grocers
Read concise views on the pandemic’s financial fallout from Breakingviews columnists across the globe.

World

China defended its decision to expel American journalists from three U.S. newspapers and bar them even from working in Hong Kong, saying the measure falls within the central government’s purview over diplomatic affairs. Chinese foreign ministry spokesman Geng Shuang also warned that China would be compelled to take further action against American media and journalists in China if the United States did not “correct its mistakes”.

President Hassan Rouhani said Iran has responded, and will respond, to America’s assassination of Major-General Qassem Soleimani, the Revolutionary Guards commander killed in a U.S. drone strike in Iraq in January. Rouhani was speaking following a Cabinet meeting that was broadcast on state television. Soleimani, leader of the Revolutionary Guards’ Quds Force, was instrumental in expanding Iran’s military influence in the Middle East

Officers from China’s top internal security force - the People’s Armed Police – joined Hong Kong police on the frontlines to observe anti-government protests that peaked last year, according to a senior foreign diplomat and an opposition politician. Hong Kong police took PAP officers to monitor the protesters and their tactics as part of a wider effort by the paramilitary force to deepen its understanding of the Hong Kong situation, they said.

Britain’s Glastonbury Festival, the largest greenfield music festival in the world, has been cancelled this year due to the coronavirus outbreak, organisers said on Wednesday. Paul McCartney and Taylor Swift were among those due to play Glastonbury in its 50th anniversary year in June.

Business

Futures slide again as stimulus high fades

U.S. stock index futures tumbled, pointing to another volatile session for Wall Street on fears that even dramatic stimulus measures would not be able to avert a deep coronavirus-driven recession.

2 min read

Governments offer aid as airlines forced to deepen cuts to flights, staffing

Australia and Taiwan joined governments offering financial aid to airlines as coronavirus and stricter travel controls forced carriers to deepen cuts to capacity and staffing. U.S. airlines have asked Washington for $50 billion in grants and loans, plus tens of billions in tax relief. Sector executives are due to speak with President Trump.

5 min read

Unions urge Airbus to extend output freeze due to virus fears

French unions are urging Airbus to keep its French factories closed beyond March 23, when it plans to resume production after a four-day shutdown, raising questions over the knock-on impact on plants elsewhere in Europe.

3 min read

Top Stories on Reuters TV

NFL star Tom Brady expected to sign with Tampa Bay

BTS fans keep their passion alive amid coronavirus

Let’s go to the Musee D’Orsay today, virtually of course

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 06:13 AM PDT

Bernie to "assess" his campaign after huge Biden wins, global coronavirus cases top 200,000, how to make the most of working from home

من ديوان

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 05:24 AM PDT

 
مركز الأبحاث العالمي
 
 
ديوان - مركز كارنيغي للشرق الأوسط - مؤسسة كارنيغي للسلام الدولي
Mar 18, 2020
 
السياسة والوباء
03 18 2020 | مايكل يونغ
يشرح أمير أفخمي، في مقابلة معه، الدلالات الذي قد يحملها تفشّي فيروس كورونا الجديد لإيران والعالم.
اضغط هنا لمتابعة القراءة
المزيد
 
03 17 2020 | مايكل يونغ
تسمية الضحايا
03 16 2020 | مهنّد الحاج علي
منفيون على ضفاف البوسفور
03 12 2020 | مايكل يونغ
ما الذي أماطت اللثام عنه ردود الفعل على وباء كورونا في الشرق الأوسط؟
03 09 2020 | مروان المعشّر
اللحظة العربية
03 06 2020 | حارث حسن
عربة الثورة
Carnegie
من نحن اتصلوا بنا تحديث المعلومات إلغاء
 
 
 
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المغرب: معاً لمكافحة انتشار فيروس كورونا

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 05:03 AM PDT

تحرك الآن
أصدقاءنا وصديقاتنا في المغرب،

أطلق أحد أعضاء آفاز في المغرب هذه العريضة، التي لاقت انتشاراً واسعاً وجمعت ١٠ آلاف توقيع في يومين، ونعتقد بأنها ستنال اهتمامكم:

--------

لمكافحة انتشار فيروس كورونا - تطبيق الحجر المنزلي على الجميع

نظراً للسلوك غير المسؤول من طرف شريحة كبيرة من السكان  تجاه خطر انتشار فيروس كورونا، السلوك الذي يمكن تفسيره إما بعدم الالمام بالقواعد الأساسية لمكافحة الفيروس أو بتجاهل هذه القواعد. نحن الموقعون على هذه العريضة، نهيب بالحكومة المغربية أن تقرر حظر التجوال إلا للضرورة، مع التطبيق الفوري على جميع المواطنين والمقيمين في المغرب.


-------------

لمكافحة انتشار فيروس كورونا - تطبيق الحجر المنزلي على الجميع

نرجو منكم توقيع هذه العريضة ونشرها بين معارفكم.

مع الأمل،
ماري، محمد، أحمد، كريستوف وكامل فريق عمل آفاز


ملاحظة: أُطلقت هذه الحملة بواسطة أحد أعضاء آفاز عبر مواقع حملات مجتمعنا. يمكنم البدء بحملة بسرعة وسهولة حيال أي قضية كانت من خلال الرابط هنا.


آفاز هي منظمة حملات عالمية قوامها 55 مليون عضو،
تعمل على ايصال آراء ووجهات نظر الشعوب إلى صناعة القرار العالمي. آفاز تعني صوت أو لغة في عديد من اللغات. أعضاء آفاز موجودون في جميع دول العالم؛ ويتوزع فريقنا على ١٨ دولة في ٦ قارات ويعمل ب١٧ لغة. لمعرفة المزيد عن أكبر حملات آفاز اضغط هنا, أو تابعنا على فيسبوك و تويتر، و انستغرام.

وصلتك هذه الرسالة لأنك وقعت على حملة"إنضم الى آفاز" بتاريخ 2018-04-25 باستخدام عنوان البريد الالكتروني kamal.sahim5.news@blogger.com.
لضمان وصول رسائل آفاز إلى بريدك الالكتروني، الرجاء إضافة avaaz@avaaz.org إلى جدول عناوينك. لتغيير ايميلك أو لغتك أو معلومات شخصية أخرى، تواصل معنا، أوانقر هنا لإلغاء تسجيلك.


بامكانك التواصل مع آفاز من خلال www.avaaz.org/ar/contact?ftr

Trump presses for $1 trillion stimulus as U.S. coronavirus deaths cross 100

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 05:02 AM PDT

Reuters.com Newsletter

Trump presses for $1 trillion stimulus as U.S. coronavirus deaths cross 100

The Trump administration pressed on Tuesday for enactment of a $1 trillion stimulus package, possibly to include $1,000 direct payments to individual Americans, to blunt the economic pain from a coronavirus outbreak that has killed over 100 people in the country.

Factbox: Latest on the spread of coronavirus around the world

The world's richest nations prepared more costly measures on Tuesday to combat the global fallout of the coronavirus that has infected tens of thousands of people, triggered social restrictions unseen since World War Two and sent economies spinning toward recession.

Coronavirus hits Florida economy in threat to Trump's re-election hopes

Since the coronavirus outbreak hit Florida this month, Uber driver Nelson Aliaga has lost a third of his business.

Trump to hold news conference to discuss FDA, coronavirus

U.S. President Donald Trump said he would hold a news conference on Wednesday to discuss "very important news" from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration related to the coronavirus, but gave no other details.

Long lines at San Francisco area cannabis stores exempt from coronavirus lockdown

Millions of California's Bay area residents can still legally light up as cannabis facilities are exempt from a cornonavirus lockdown that has shuttered most businesses in San Francisco and nearby cities.

After big wins, Biden makes appeal to young Sanders voters: 'I hear you'

Democratic presidential front-runner Joe Biden has made a direct appeal to the young supporters of rival Bernie Sanders after moving closer to the nomination with big primary victories in three states.

U.S. plans to turn back migrants caught at Mexican border, cites coronavirus: sources

The Trump administration is considering immediately returning any foreigners caught at the U.S.-Mexico border to Mexico, arguing the step is necessary to combat the fast-spreading coronavirus, according to two administration officials.

Mexico yet to see formal U.S. plan to deport migrants due to coronavirus

The Mexican government has not yet received a formal proposal from the United States about migrants in that country being returned to Mexico due to coronavirus, Mexico's foreign ministry said a brief statement late on Tuesday.

Nevada orders casinos, all other nonessential businesses to close

Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak shut down all nonessential businesses, including the Las Vegas casinos at the heart of the state's economy, as part of steps to slow the spread of the novel coronavirus.

No coronavirus party: U.S. spring break destinations crack down on revelers

In Florida, sun-soaked Miami Beach shut down its spring break party this week, declaring it illegal for more than 10 people to gather together and shutting its bars and restaurants in an effort to stymie the spread of the coronavirus.

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Journal numérique - Jeudi 19 mars 2020

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 04:38 AM PDT

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Dès 13 heures, feuilletez votre journal numérique à l'écran et parcourez les grands titres de l'édition du jour.

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 Going big

Posted: 18 Mar 2020 03:29 AM PDT

Balance of Power
Balance of Power
From Bloomberg Politics
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Not long ago, Donald Trump was talking about $2 billion in U.S. funds to blunt the impact of the coronavirus outbreak.

But when Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin presented the president with a $850 billion plan Monday night, Trump suggested he bump it up to a trillion: If you want to go big, go big, he remarked, according to an exclusive report from our Washington bureau.

That's how Mnuchin came to assemble the $1.2 trillion stimulus package — including direct payments to Americans — that the White House is now advocating. Mnuchin started selling the plan yesterday to Senate Republicans, warning that without it the U.S. could face a 20% unemployment rate.

It represents a rapid U-turn for a president who only recently minimized the coronavirus, saying the seasonal flu kills many more Americans and "life & the economy go on." The rapid spread of the virus has forced a rethink for a leader who has staked his re-election bid on a strong economy and markets. Discussion about a U.S. recession now focuses on when, not if.

If it lasts, the fallout could hand a big advantage to Trump's opponent come November. Joe Biden is the all-but-certain Democratic nominee after decisive victories last night in primaries in Florida, Illinois and Arizona.

As Trump and his team shift their virus-response efforts into high gear, the question is whether that change is too late.

Kathleen Hunter

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg
Global Headlines

The virus cost | The U.S. and Canadian governments are set to announce they'll halt non-essential travel, while U.K. premier Boris Johnson described his administration as a "wartime government" in detailing a massive economic aid package. Europe shut its borders to non-EU citizens, while Australia told citizens not to travel abroad.

  • A Chinese vaccine has been approved for human testing as cases hit more than 193,093 worldwide.
  • Angela Merkel signaled she may be open to joint EU debt issuance to mitigate the virus impact, an apparent softening of German opposition that could transform the finances of the 27-nation bloc.
  • Indonesia banned exports of masks, sanitizers and some medical equipment to shore up domestic supplies.

Snarled courts | The virus is impacting legal processes around the world. U.K. courts won't start criminal trials that are scheduled to last longer than three days. The U.S. Supreme Court indefinitely postponed its March argument session. Israel's Justice Ministry delayed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's graft trial by two months. And asylum seekers in French custody set to be sent to Italy are stuck in detention as virus lockdowns override EU rules requiring them to be sent back.

Tit-for-tat | China took the unprecedented step of expelling more than a dozen U.S. journalists, escalating a battle with the Trump administration. Beijing said U.S. reporters at the New York Times, Wall Street Journal and Washington Post must hand in their media cards within 10 days, calling it a response to U.S. caps on Chinese media imposed early this month.

  • Iain Marlow explains how China has also dealt a blow to Hong Kong's autonomy that could curb media freedom in the city.

Power-played | Vladimir Putin caught even many Kremlin insiders off guard with last week's surprise gambit that allows him to stay on as president until 2036. Some feel deceived given Putin just in January unveiled constitutional changes that seemed to respect term limits, Evgenia Pismennaya, Henry Meyer and Ilya Arkhipov report. The amendments were a "grand deception" intended to minimize potential opposition, says one person close to Putin.

Secret lobbying | A Los Angeles businessman who raised funds for U.S. presidents and members of congress was also a secret lobbyist for foreign governments, including Saudi Arabia and Turkey, prosecutors said in a court filing yesterday. The prosecution of Imaad Shah Zuberi comes as the Justice Department intensifies its focus on foreign influence peddling amid growing concern that U.S. foreign policy has been swayed at times by hidden forces.

What to Watch

  • Brazilian President Jair Bolsonaro asked Congress to declare a state of public calamity over the coronavirus that would let his government miss this year's fiscal target.
  • Merkel is scheduled to give a nationally televised address this evening about the coronavirus effort.

Tell us how we're doing or what we're missing at balancepower@bloomberg.net.

And finally ... An unintended casualty of virus-related limits on travel could be global food production. The restrictions may spark shortages of migrant labor for everything from fruit and vegetable harvests in the U.S. and Australia to meat processing in Canada. "It will be devastating to growers and ultimately to the supply chain and consumers," says the United Fresh Produce Association's Robert Guenther. "They won't have the food."

A worker carries Brussels sprouts during a harvest at the Pioneer Potatoes farm in Mount Vernon, Washington, on Jan. 7. Photographer: David Ryder/Bloomberg

 
 

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