Friday, March 13, 2020

24hespress

24hespress


BREAKING NEWS: House passes sweeping coronavirus response package

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 09:55 PM PDT

The House passed sweeping legislation to respond to the coronavirus outbreak battering the nation, an overwhelmingly bipartisan vote to expand access to free testing, provide $1 billion in food aid and extend sick leave benefits to vulnerable Americans.

The bill's bipartisan passage was virtually assured when President Donald Trump backed the measure — largely hammered out by Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin — and urged Republicans to support the bill.

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News Alert: Third Mar-a-Lago guest tests positive for coronavirus

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 08:12 PM PDT

The Brazilian Embassy said late Friday that acting Ambassador Nestor Forster, who dined with President Trump on Saturday night at his South Florida club, would remain in quarantine for two weeks after testing positive for the novel coronavirus. Forster is the second Brazilian and third Mar-a-Lago guest to test positive. Trump has said he does not need to be tested but may do so "fairly soon."
 
Democracy Dies in Darkness
 
 
News Alert Mar 13, 11:06 PM
 
 
Third Mar-a-Lago guest tests positive for coronavirus

The Brazilian Embassy said late Friday that acting Ambassador Nestor Forster, who dined with President Trump on Saturday night at his South Florida club, would remain in quarantine for two weeks after testing positive for the novel coronavirus. Forster is the second Brazilian and third Mar-a-Lago guest to test positive. Trump has said he does not need to be tested but may do so "fairly soon."

Read more »
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Letter from Executive Editor Marty Baron

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 06:38 PM PDT

An update on our coronavirus coverage.
 ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
The Washington Post
From Martin Baron, executive editor

Dear reader,

On January 8 this year, Washington Post reporters Gerry Shih and Lena Sun reported an outbreak of an "unidentified and possibly new viral disease in central China" that was sending alarms across Asia in advance of the Lunar New Year travel season.

Already, Taiwan, Hong Kong, South Korea, Thailand and the Philippines were contemplating quarantine zones and scanning travelers from China for "signs of fever or other pneumonia-like symptoms that may indicate a new disease possibly linked to a wild animal market in Wuhan."

Gerry is a correspondent for us in China, with extensive journalistic experience in the country. Lena, a former Beijing bureau chief for The Post, is a veteran national reporter covering health, with a particular focus on public health and infectious diseases. Both are fluent in Mandarin.

These two reporters launched our coverage of the coronavirus and the disease Covid-19, declared this month to be a pandemic by the World Health Organization. Lena and Gerry are emblematic of the highly skilled journalists The Washington Post has deployed to cover this complex, ever-expanding and profoundly serious story.

We have drawn on our entire staff – throughout the world and in the United States – to bring you essential health information and the latest news while also digging into the reasons for the rapid spread of this disease, the sometimes chaotic and counterproductive decision-making by governments and the impact on citizens and medical systems. Hundreds of our journalists have been enlisted in this effort, and they are working tirelessly around the clock.

As the spread of coronavirus has touched our beloved schools, our favorite sports teams, our places of work and prayer, our entertainment venues and our family incomes and investments – just about every aspect of our daily lives – we at The Post fully understand our responsibility to keep you informed. We also aim to keep close watch on what public officials, private companies, health providers and others are doing – or failing to do – to respond to a crisis of sprawling, unprecedented proportions.

I'm proud of the dedication and talent my colleagues have brought to this important story. They need stamina, too, and they have plenty of it. We're prepared to cover every aspect of this story for a long period, with the clarity and command of the subject that is required.

We are deeply grateful to our subscribers for making this coverage possible. The journalistic resources necessary are immense and growing, and we could not do our work without subscriber support. Because the health crisis is so urgent and is likely to spare no one, we have made a substantial portion of our coverage free to all. That includes our stories about core news developments as well as stories that communicate critical health information. We also offer a free newsletter with links to stories for which there is no charge. You can get that newsletter by signing up here.

News continues on many other fronts as well. There is a lot to cover, particularly in the midst of a presidential campaign and persistent foreign conflicts. We will stay on top of those stories with expertise and vigor.

For those of you who have yet to subscribe to The Post, I want to make you aware of our current introductory annual rate. At the price of eight cents a day, or $29 per year, you can have full access to our coverage of every subject.

I hope you'll agree that a first-year subscription at that price is a bargain for journalism that is at the heart of our democracy and that is, especially now, vital to public health. You can subscribe here.

Thank you again for reading The Washington Post, and please stay safe and healthy during a period unlike any of us has ever seen before.

Sincerely,

Martin Baron signature

Martin Baron, executive editor

 
 
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U-Haul lends a helping hand

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 05:41 PM PDT

QuickTake Tonight
Bloomberg

TGIF, QuickTake readers!  Amid the worry and uncertainty about coronavirus across the globe, we wanted to end the week on a lighter note. Here are 10 uplifting stories from the past week.

1. U-Haul lends a helping hand. The moving rental company is offering 30 days of free storage as more colleges are instructing students to leave campus. 

2. Fighting coronavirus with song. America's Got Talent finalists, Ndlovu Youth Choir, created a song that explains basic tips on how to stop the viruses' spread.

3. Robots in Hong Kong are taking on the coronavirus. 
Disinfecting bots are tackling hard-to-reach areas on subways to kill bacteria and viruses, including Covid-19.
 

4. Italy is using song to keep its spirits up. Italians living under the coronavirus lockdown are singing from windows and balconies in an attempt to stay positive. 

5. LEGO sets are going green. The Danish toymaker is vowing that its iconic plastic bricks will be 100% sustainable by 2030.

6. A student group is fighting coronavirus-related racism. The Chinese Against Racist Virus organization is working to raise awareness of racism faced by the Asian community in the West.⁠⠀

7. A new world record has been set. South African freediver Amber Fillary set a record for diving 70 meters under ice in one breath.

8.  A Danish startup gave new life to old turbines. Better yet, they're using the fiberglass blades to make barriers that combat noise pollution.

9.  Scientists discover an animal that doesn't need oxygen. The organism that lives in salmon tissue led scientists to believe that "aerobic respiration, one of the most important metabolic pathways, is not ubiquitous among animals".⁠

10.  Bendy bricks. This concrete prototype is made from recycled coal waste, which could reduce the carbon footprint of the entire cement-making process.

Have a great weekend! Watch your inbox for our next newsletter on Monday. Follow QuickTake on TwitterYouTubeInstagram, and Facebook.

Thanks for reading!
-Masiel Torres

 

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BREAKING NEWS: Pelosi strikes deal with Mnuchin on coronavirus package

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 03:10 PM PDT

Speaker Nancy Pelosi announced that she clinched a deal with Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin on a large-scale coronavirus response package meant to provide paid leave for workers, expand food aid and support widespread testing for the illness at no cost to patients.

The development sent a wave of relief across Capitol Hill, which had been nervously awaiting the results of two days of backroom negotiations. The House is expected to pass the legislation quickly, with the Senate likely to follow suit as early as Monday.

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Now it’s an emergency

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 03:03 PM PDT

Evening Briefing
Bloomberg

U.S. health regulators approved a faster coronavirus test that may help speed efforts to contain the pathogen's spread across the country. This comes as President Donald Trump, after being pilloried for statements downplaying the threat, government delays in distributing working tests and an Oval Office speech that helped ring in a new bear market, formally declared a national emergency. His potential successors, Senator Bernie Sanders and former Vice President Joe Biden, have their own plans. They debate each other on Sunday. —David E. Rovella 

We're tracking the latest on the coronavirus outbreak and the global response. Sign up here for our daily newsletter on what you need to know.

Here are today's top stories

In doing so, Trump enabled the federal government to marshal additional resources to combat the virus. Stocks leaped on the news, though not as much as they fell Thursday.

Meanwhile over in the U.K., the government of Prime Minister Boris Johnson is under fire for a coronavirus plan that includes less-than-diplomatic references to herd immunity and expected fatalities.  

Oil prices, crushed by a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia, jumped late Friday after Trump said the U.S. would fill its strategic petroleum reserve.

Governments and central banks are rolling out measures meant to cushion their economies from a possible global recession. They may be too late.

Delta Air Lines slashed flights and spending while seeking government aid to contend with demand shock caused by the outbreak.

Venture capitalists poured $42 billion into drug development over the past three years, with almost half going to rare diseases with expensive cures. Only 5% went to drugs that prevent infections.

Bloomberg Businessweek Special Report, The Lost Year: A cure for the new coronavirus will depends on a rare kind of lab mouse. But there just aren't enough.

What you'll need to know tomorrow

What you'll want to read tonight

Another Way the Working Class Loses: No WFH 

About 70% of America's workers don't have the luxury of working from home, including people like bank tellers, factory workers and those who labor in such industries as waste hauling, retail and health care. These 100 million people are likely to be the last ones still at work as their white-collar colleagues set up shop in home offices or at kitchen tables, avoiding strangers who might just give them the new coronavirus.

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Canadian government promises "significant" financial COVID-19 support

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:50 PM PDT

What does "flattening the curve" mean, anyway? ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
Image

 

Here's what happened today:


Parliament is suspended until April 20, and the government is rolling out a financial assistance package for Canadians.


More travel advisories were put into place, including the recommendation that Canadians not take non-essential trips out of the country.


And in the U.S., Donald Trump declared a national emergency and more test kits.

 

📩 Were you forwarded this newsletter? You can subscribe to it here.

 

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Canadian Government Promises ‘Significant’ Financial COVID-19 Support

“No one should have to worry about paying rent, buying groceries or additional child care because of COVID-19,” the prime minister said at a press conference on Friday.

"These are significant steps"

 

Coronavirus Travel Advisories In Canada: What You Need To Know

In a press conference Friday, Transportation Minister Marc Garneau announced international travel would be restricted to a few select airports.

Borders remain open for now

 

Bank Of Canada Cuts Overnight Rate Target In Response To COVID-19

The cut follows a decision last week by the Bank of Canada to cut its key interest rate by half a percentage point.

Hopes to boost economy
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What's 'Flattening The Curve' And What Does It Have To Do With COVID-19?

The “curve” in this case is an epidemic curve — a tool used by scientists and health officials to track the number of cases reported each day during an epidemic.

All about interventions
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More headlines

 

Sophie Grégoire Trudeau Tests Positive For COVID-19


Tory MP Scraps Partisan Speech, Offers Kind Words For Trudeau’s Family


Canada’s Chief Judges Don’t Support Mandatory Sex Assault Training: Council


Canadian Researchers Move Closer To Vaccine By Isolating COVID-19 Virus


How To Clean And Disinfect Your Phone During The Coronavirus Outbreak


Quarantined Italians Sing Together Across Empty Streets In Hauntingly Beautiful Video

 

What's astonishing us

 

Image

These Tourist Hotspots Look Eerily Empty In The Wake Of COVID-19

From Milan to Mecca

 

 

👍  You're all set. Stay healthy, and have a great weekend.

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NEWS ALERT: Iran warned not to mess with U.S. as CENTCOM spotlights 'enormous' firepower of nearby carriers

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:49 PM PDT

U.S. Central Command closed out the week by sending a strong message to Iran regarding the "enormous" firepower of nearby carriers the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower and the USS Harry S. Truman.
The Washington Times
NEWS ALERT
Friday, February 14, 2020 5:42 PM EST
 
NEWS ALERT

Iran warned not to mess with U.S. as CENTCOM spotlights 'enormous' firepower of nearby carriers

U.S. Central Command closed out the week by sending a strong message to Iran regarding the "enormous" firepower of nearby carriers the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower and the USS Harry S. Truman.

Read More >

 
 
 
 
 

 
 
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NEWS ALERT: Iran warned not to mess with U.S. as CENTCOM spotlights 'enormous' firepower of nearby carriers

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:39 PM PDT

U.S. Central Command closed out the week by sending a strong message to Iran regarding the "enormous" firepower of nearby carriers the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower and the USS Harry S. Truman.
The Washington Times
NEWS ALERT
Friday, February 14, 2020 5:42 PM EST
 
NEWS ALERT

Iran warned not to mess with U.S. as CENTCOM spotlights 'enormous' firepower of nearby carriers

U.S. Central Command closed out the week by sending a strong message to Iran regarding the "enormous" firepower of nearby carriers the USS Dwight D. Eisenhower and the USS Harry S. Truman.

Read More >

 
 
 
 
 

 
 
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BREAKING NEWS: Full appeals court to hear McGahn, border wall cases

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:20 PM PDT

The full bench of the powerful D.C. Circuit Court of Appeal agreed to weigh in on two legal fights critical to President Donald Trump: whether the House can use the courts to enforce a subpoena for testimony from former White House counsel Don McGahn, and whether the House can sue to block Trump's effort to fund border wall construction over Congressional objections.

The Friday afternoon announcement wiped out a major victory Trump scored last month when a smaller panel of the same court ruled, 2-1, that the courts should not wade into subpoena fights between Congress and the White House.

The appeals court said it will hear arguments April 28 in both the McGahn and border wall disputes. There seems to be little chance that the Supreme Court will resolve the issues definitively before the November election, but rulings in the House's favor could lead the justices to intervene with a stay in the coming months.

Prospects for Trump prevailing in the cases at the D.C. Circuit look grim. While the active bench of that court leans toward Democratic appointees by a 7-4 margin, the order Friday indicated that both of Trump's appointees--Judges Gregory Katsas and Neomi Rao--have recused themselves from both cases.

As a result, the en banc court for McGahn will have only two Republican appointees. One additional GOP appointee, Judge David Sentelle, will join the en banc court considering the border wall funding dispute, the order said.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/13/appeals-court-don-mcgahn-border-wall-cases-128914

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We’re finally starting to get a coronavirus response

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:17 PM PDT

Bloomberg Opinion Today
Bloomberg

This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a stimulus package of Bloomberg Opinion's opinions. Sign up here.

Today's Agenda

Disease expert Anthony Fauci, left, takes center stage.

Photographer: Bloomberg/Bloomberg

Elites Get the Last Laugh

The coronavirus pandemic that has America working from home, hoarding toilet paper and forgoing sporting events happened virtually overnight. But the nation's clumsy response to it has been brewing for much longer.

President Donald Trump surfed into the White House four years ago on a wave of anti-elitism characterized by a rejection of such frivolous niceties as expertise and science and diplomacy. This has led to bad outcomes in global trade, foreign policy and the fight against global warming, but it took a pandemic to finally expose the limits of such know-nothing populism, writes John Micklethwait. Suddenly, expertise and science and diplomacy are matters of immediate life and death.

One of the biggest threats the virus poses — and the main reason we're all becoming experts in social distancing — is that it could swamp the health-care system by making too many people sick at once. U.S. hospitals barely have enough beds at the best of times, and that's because they've been squeezing capacity to cut costs for decades, starting in 1983, when Congress in its infinite wisdom slashed their Medicare payments, writes Stephen Mihm. Hospitals went from having tons of spare capacity to operating on a just-in-time basis, a factory model that fails utterly in a pandemic.

Our whole health-care system has been rickety from time immemorial, in fact. Millions of Americans lack health insurance, which discourages regular doctor visits but leads to swamped hospital emergency rooms and ruinous financial burdens. The coronavirus makes a strong argument for more-dramatic reform than we've tried so far, writes Max Nisen. That may not mean Medicare for All, but it certainly doesn't mean killing Obamacare, as Trump keeps trying to do. The pandemic is disrupting our way of life, but to fight it, some of our old ways need disruption.

Policy Makers Start Getting Their Act Together

Fortunately, global policy makers are beginning to take, dare we say it, constructive action. All it took was one of the ugliest stock-market crashes in history. Stocks bounced hard today, as they often do in gruesome bear markets, but there was some actual good news behind the rally. The European Union, thanks perhaps to the market panic triggered by Christine Lagarde's clumsy ECB meeting, loosened fiscal rules for member states, and Germany is finally getting over its dumb balanced-budget fetish, notes Marcus Ashworth. They'll need to deliver spending plans quickly, but this is a good start. The Group of 7 is finally getting around to coordinating a response. Trump declared a national emergency in the U.S. and announced other steps suggesting he's moving on from the denial phase of coronavirus acceptance.

These are all encouraging developments, writes Mohamed El-Erian, but we'll need more of the same, sustained for a long period, to avoid a prolonged recession. The same goes for virus testing in the U.S.; we got our first bit of good news on that front, with emergency FDA approval of a fast coronavirus test from Roche, writes Max Nisen. We'll still need much more to contain the virus. Too much damage has already been caused by sluggish and uncoordinated responses, but it's not too late to prevent more.

What More Can Be Done

High on the to-do list is a fiscal stimulus package from the U.S. Congress. In a news conference today, which was ongoing as of this writing, Trump had nothing good to say about a plan House Democrats and his White House have been negotiating. Trump's support would help rope in Senate Republicans, who have basically been useless so far, writes Jonathan Bernstein. They have no ideas, but they don't like Trump's plans or the Democrats' plans. What good are they, exactly?

Both Republicans and Democrats have rejected Trump's call for a payroll-tax cut. But Karl Smith argues it would provide the big, quick stimulus needed to prevent a long recession.

Trump's bête noire, the Federal Reserve, can also help by cutting rates to zero immediately and then by targeting a level of total economic spending with a promise not to raise rates until it's hit, writes Ramesh Ponnuru.

Our policy makers could take a trick from China's, who seem to understand that markets need a steady supply of inducements to stay happy, writes Shuli Ren. It may not work in the long run, but it helps avoid panic.

Further Central-Bank Reading: Lagarde gave banks what they want, regulatory forbearance, but it could hurt investors' faith in them. — Elisa Martinuzzi

A Bounce Is Not a Cure

Today was a far better day on Wall Street than yesterday, which was only the worst day since 1987 and capped the quickest collapse into a bear market on record. But John Authers notes the recent history of market crashes suggests it could be months, if not years, before stock prices climb fully out of this hole.

That means we could see more ugly days ahead, as investors fumble blindly toward understanding the risks. To quell panic and prevent collateral financial damage, Conor Sen argues, we should shut markets down for a week, as we did after the Sept. 11 attacks. A less-good idea is a short-selling ban, which some European countries have instituted, writes Marcus Ashworth. They only delay the inevitable and hardly build confidence.

Telltale Charts

Some countries, and some U.S. counties, have older populations more vulnerable to coronavirus than others, writes Justin Fox. Sumter County, Florida, for example, has more than 74,162 elderly people and just 277 acute-care hospital beds.

It's hard to put into words just how wild the bond market has been this week. Fortunately, Brian Chappatta has 10 charts.

Further Reading

Don't just hand Iran coronavirus cash, which it will probably misuse; give the money to international agencies and make Iran take help from them. — Bobby Ghosh

Coronavirus will be a long-term problem for cruise operators. — Andrea Felsted

Vladimir Putin's "wins" are a lot like Trump's: transactional, brittle and costly in the long run. — Hal Brands

ICYMI

Italy's coronavirus experience offers a taste of what's coming here.

Bitcoin is no haven.

Disinfectant makers scramble to meet demand.

Kickers

Coronavirus could kill data caps forever.

Indonesian cave painting may be the oldest depiction of a myth.

Researchers create a focus-free camera with a flat lens.

There's a dinosaur "stomping ground" on the Isle of Skye.

Note: Please send cave paintings and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.

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Iraq’s Crises Sharpen the Need for a Government (Wahab | PolicyWatch 3281)

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 02:16 PM PDT

IRAQ'S HEALTH, FINANCIAL, AND SECURITY CRISES SHARPEN THE URGENCY OF FORMING A GOVERNMENT
by Bilal Wahab

PolicyWatch 3281
March 13, 2020

Allawi's cabinet failure may indicate growing Iraqi agency at Iran's expense, but the path toward political stability remains tortuous and foggy.

READ THIS ITEM ON OUR WEBSITE


On March 2, Iraqi prime minister-designate Mohammed Tawfiq Allawi stepped down after failing to gain sufficient parliamentary support for his proposed cabinet, putting President Barham Salih on the constitutional clock for designating another candidate within fifteen days. That timer runs out on March 17, and may have to be reset again if the next government formation attempt falters as well.

Yet prolonging the process much further while continuing to champion patronage politics would be dangerous in light of the country’s multiple weighty challenges—a restive street that could quickly resume mass protests; a growing coronavirus outbreak at home and next door; renewed military hostilities between U.S. forces and pro-Iran militias; and looming financial insolvency due to the crumbling oil market. According to veteran financial expert Ahmed Tabaqchali, every one-dollar drop in average oil price costs Iraq $1.5 billion in annual revenues—a sobering figure given that the price of Brent crude just dropped from $68 per barrel to $36.

WHY DID ALLAWI FAIL?

Allawi’s inability to form a government signals that the political system of divvying up public offices and spoils (what Iraqis call muhasasa) remains resilient. Although he promised to sidestep the tradition of party nominations and form a technocratic cabinet, he was secretive and confrontational in his negotiations, which his rivals saw as evidence that he had struck a deal with leading Shia figure Muqtada al-Sadr. In the end, Allawi alienated the Kurds, most Sunni Arabs, and enough Shia members of parliament to lose a quorum. The Kurdish and Sunni parties may calculate that they can afford to wait for a more favorable arrangement because they are immune from the public protests that have squeezed the Shia parties since October.

Also unchanged: the politics of disruption. While no single party has the ability to assemble a governing coalition, most smaller parties wield enough power to block one. Even militias with no seats in parliament have this disproportionate sway—for example, U.S.-designated terrorist group Kataib Hezbollah effectively vetoed intelligence chief Mustafa al-Kadhimi’s candidacy for prime minister. This bodes ill for whoever gets the nod to try again after Allawi, and for the resultant government’s ability to deal with so many crises at once.

IRAN’S SETBACKS ARE SHIFTING THE LANDSCAPE

Despite the persistent problems created by patronage issues, Iranian interference, and the elite’s unwillingness to listen to protestors, there may yet be an opportunity for a new, improved, and truly Iraqi process to take hold. Allawi’s failure is a punch in the nose to both Sadr’s authority and Iran’s ability to command results and broker Iraqi consensus around its diktats.

Here, the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani and his partner, Kataib Hezbollah leader Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, is having a substantial political impact. No single figure in Iraq or Iran is yet capable of playing the crucial consensus-building role that Soleimani pioneered in Iraqi Shia politics.

Moreover, Sadr’s new alliance with Iran has proven barren so far. In seeking to dominate Iraqi politics while portraying himself as above it, Sadr only managed to antagonize his rivals. He then compounded his many errors by ordering his Saraya al-Salam militia to not only cease protecting protestors, but to join the crackdown against them. Last month, amid mounting deaths and injuries, he callously told an Iraqi television interviewer that the violence was his way of “pulling the ears of his children” who needed to be disciplined.

Yet just because Iran is losing does not mean Iraq is winning. Iraqi politicians have a long track record of squandering their agency, with an incentive structure that leans toward dysfunction, sectarianism, and infighting rather than good governance and sovereignty. For years, Iraqi factions and militias beholden to Iran for their access to power and wealth have acted either in Tehran’s interest or their own—largely to the public’s detriment. There is space for this dynamic to change if Iraqi nationalists in the political class get over their fear of Iran, just as thousands of young protestors have done.

Unfortunately, that is a tall order at the moment because Sadr and rival militias have benefited the most from the vacuum left by Muhandis, not the nationalists. Moreover, while the dilution and delegitimization of Iranian and militia influence is good news if channeled positively, the lurking financial and health crises may up the pressure on Baghdad to an unsustainable degree while exacerbating militia infighting, which would only worsen public suffering.

WHAT’S NEXT?

For now, Iran’s principal goal appears to be ending the Iraqi protests while it identifies and grooms replacements for Soleimani and Muhandis. The situation is a stark difference from just two years ago, when the 2018 parliamentary election appeared to cement Tehran’s influence for the long term by sidelining traditional political parties and empowering pro-Iran militias. Now that Soleimani is gone and Sadr has proven a dead end, Tehran may have to reverse course a bit and try courting/coopting other Iraqi parties and politicians who have local standing. Two old standbys—Nouri al-Maliki and Hadi al-Ameri—are emerging as prime candidates.

Meanwhile, Iraq’s obstructionist politics may extend the status quo wherein a weakened Adil Abdulmahdi stays on as caretaker prime minister despite resigning four months ago. Iran and the militias are certainly vested in keeping him in place in order to preserve their 2018 election gains. The Kurdistan Regional Government favors his return as well, hoping that he would ensure a stable flow of federal budget funds from Baghdad.

Yet maintaining the status quo is increasingly onerous. The impending health crisis will further delegitimize a government already battered by months-long protests. Plummeting oil prices and abruptly shrinking financial flows could prove even more consequential in cratering the elite’s staying power. Rather than forcing political players to focus on collective action, such crises are more likely to produce chaos. Absent Iranian orchestration, intra-Shia competition could cause further rifts as falling oil revenue shrinks the pie, while militias could escalate their violence against protestors and other rivals.

The past two weeks offered a preview of this potential chaos. Sadr’s rivals cheered when Allawi proved unable to form a cabinet, and Kataib Hezbollah official Abu Ali al-Askari quickly asked top Shia cleric Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani to give his stamp of approval for reinstating Abdulmahdi as interim prime minister. In response, Sadr warned that he would reactivate the notorious Jaish al-Mahdi brigades. And within hours of Allawi’s announcement, rockets were fired at the Baghdad International Zone. The target was unclear—the U.S. embassy or the seat of Iraq’s government?—as were the perpetrators. The March 11 attack that killed U.S. and British personnel at Camp Taji only added to the fray.

To avoid such volatility and move forward, the government will need a credible prime minister who can capitalize on recent successes while lowering expectations about what can be done at a time of multiple crises. The protest movement forced Abdulmahdi to resign and created ample momentum for early elections. Hence, rather than trying to dismantle the resilient patronage system right away, Iraq’s newfound agency would be better invested in creating a secure space for holding fair elections. That—plus crisis management—should be the next government’s primary mandate.

Only a strong Iraqi nationalist candidate could persuade protestors to go home. This new prime minister-designate would then need to embark on the tough tasks of securing the space for protestors to translate their demands into political platforms, keeping the militias in check, passing a new election law that ensures accountability among elected officials, and laying out a credible process for bringing those implicated in violence against protestors to justice.

U.S. ROLE

Much of Washington’s recent approach to Iraq has been a mixed bag of sticks, including drone attacks on designated groups and additional sanctions. U.S. officials have put the onus squarely on Iraq’s leaders to ensure a transparent, wholly owned government formation process. So far, this approach has deterred politicians in Baghdad from making disastrous choices, but it has not nudged them toward constructive politics. Washington should therefore consider additional ways to nurture Baghdad’s newfound agency.

Another item that should be high on the agenda is something the United States is capable of doing quite well when sufficiently focused: rallying international support for credible Iraqi elections. The UN Assistance Mission for Iraq (UNAMI) remains a legitimate, effective channel for helping Baghdad reform its election law, conduct proper redistricting, and orchestrate international monitoring. To stave off further disappointments, it is crucial to improve security and increase free political space between now and the next election.

Bilal Wahab is the Wagner Fellow at The Washington Institute.



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المغرب يعلن عن تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة بفيروس كورونا المستجد

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 01:52 PM PDT

المغرب يعلن عن تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة بفيروس كورونا المستجد

أعلنت وزارة الصحة إلى علم الرأي العام المغربي، أنه تم تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة مؤكدة بفيروس كورونا المستجد، عند مواطنة فرنسية بالغة من العمر 64 سنة، وصلت ...
 
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عاجل | المغرب يعلن تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة بفيروس كورونا المستجد

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 01:48 PM PDT

المغرب يعلن عن تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة بفيروس كورونا المستجد

أعلنت وزارة الصحة إلى علم الرأي العام المغربي، أنه تم تسجيل ثامن حالة إصابة مؤكدة بفيروس كورونا المستجد، عند مواطنة فرنسية بالغة من العمر 64 سنة، وصلت ...
 
التفاصيل ...
 
لا ترغب في تلقي مستجدات هسبريس عبر البريد الإلكتروني؟ اضغط هنا لإلغاء الاشتراك
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Clare Crawley's Bachelorette season postponed due to coronavirus, source says

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 01:48 PM PDT

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Barbara Weber openly disapproved of her son's relationship with Madison Prewett
 
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BREAKING NEWS: Stock market surges after Trump coronavirus announcement

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 01:11 PM PDT

Stocks rebounded Friday on signs of a more powerful federal response to the coronavirus outbreak, climbing rapidly into the close as President Donald Trump announced a series of measures to calm the crisis.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared nearly 2,000 points, or more than 9 percent, the largest percentage gain since the 2008 crisis. The surge reversed nearly all of Thursday's tumble, which was the worst since the 1987 market crash.

The market remains far below its high from a month ago, but Friday's moves offered an early sign of hope from investors gripped by the coronavirus pandemic.

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How to Stop the Cycle of Rocket Attacks in Iraq (Knights | Politico)

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 01:03 PM PDT

HOW THE U.S. CAN STOP THE SURGE OF DEADLY ROCKET ATTACKS IN IRAQ
by Michael Knights

Politico
March 13, 2020

Congress and the Trump administration should privately agree to some ground rules for timing deterrent strikes on truly high-value targets, while quietly deploying more force-protection assets like Patriot missiles.

READ THIS ARTICLE ON OUR WEBSITE


In the early hours of Friday, U.S. and British aircraft conducted multiple airstrikes on the missile storage sites of the Iraqi militia group Kataib Hezbollah (KH), a pro-Iranian group that was also hit by unclaimed airstrikes in Syria the day before. Until Wednesday, when a rocket attack killed two Americans and one British service member on a sprawling base north of Baghdad, there hadn’t been much noise from Tehran since its reprisal in early January after the U.S. killed Qassem Soleimani. This week’s attack, which was meticulously planned and clearly not the work of the ramshackle remnants of the Islamic State, changed that. A truck with two rows of rocket-launching tubes discreetly installed in the flatbed approached the base undetected and fired the rockets in one sudden salvo.

As someone who has gotten lost while walking around the maze of concrete barriers that make up the 15-square-mile Camp Taji base, I can attest to the great accuracy of the strike. Taji is massive, and the strike hit at just the right moment and just the right spot, probably guided by a drone or human agent.

The next day, KH, the Iraqi Shiite militia closest to Iran, praised the attack as an act of the pro-Iranian “resistance” against U.S. “occupation,” a surefire sign that pro-Iranian militias were behind the strike and the Shiite militia version of “humble bragging.” By that stage, either U.S. or Israeli aircraft had already struck back at KH and other Shiite militias, albeit just over the border in Syria late on Wednesday, killing around two dozen fighters and wounding many more. The strikes, and the subsequent round launched very early Friday morning, were reminiscent of the United States’ retaliatory attacks in late December on KH after the militia group caused the last U.S. death in Iraq in a rocket attack on December 27.

Friday morning’s strikes may not be the end in a new tit-for-tat cycle that has the potential to spark a wider conflict. Iran is escalating through its Iraqi militias because it wants to raise pressure to evict U.S. forces from Iraq and to threaten Iraqi leaders ahead of next week’s selection of a replacement for resigned Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdal-Mahdi.

As U.S. Secretary of Defense Mark Esper said on Thursday: “You don’t get to shoot at our bases and kill and wound Americans and get away with it.” But how can deterrence be established quickly to end the cycle of attacks and prevent further loss of American lives?

ONE COUNTRY, TWO ENEMIES

 The deaths of two U.S. personnel—one military, one contractor—at Taji comes days after the March 8 deaths of two U.S. Marine special forces operators in a firefight with the Islamic State in northern Iraq. The two episodes underline the complexity of what the U.S. military is attempting to do in today’s Iraq.

The mission of Combined Joint Task Force Operation Inherent Resolve (CJTF-OIR, or the coalition, for short) is still to defeat the last remnants of the Islamic State. In recent weeks, the coalition has ramped up its special forces raiding alongside Iraqi commandos, achieving significant successes against Islamic State leadership targets.

When the U.S. gets on a roll, triggering new raids on the basis of data from laptops and phones recovered in each prior raid, terrorists face the most unrelenting foe in the world. But boosted effectiveness comes at a cost of added risk, as the March 8 deaths illustrate.

To complicate matters, Iran-backed militias like KH are seeking to lever the U.S.-backed coalition out of Iraq by any means necessary, regardless of the coalition’s contribution to the anti-Islamic State struggle. Militias like KH sought the removal of international forces long before they killed an American on December 27, before they themselves were struck on December 29, and before their patriarchs, Iranian General Qassem Soleimani and Iraqi militia chieftain Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis, were killed by the U.S. on January 3 in a Baghdad drone strike.

WHAT IRAN’S MILITIAS WANT

 Now the militias are doubling their efforts, including issuing warnings to Iraqi officials and soldiers to distance themselves from the coalition (which they did not). In recent months, KH has threatened Iraqi MPs to vote to remove U.S. forces (enough of them resisted this call to prevent a vote with quorum) and threatened Iraq’s president Barham Salih if he met with President Donald Trump at the World Economic Forum (he met Trump anyway).

Now KH is also issuing statements vetoing certain candidates for Iraq’s imminent selection of a new prime minister, suggesting which candidate should be picked (current premier Adel Abdal-Mahdi), and explicitly suggesting how the country’s most senior religious leaders should rule on the matter. This is all unprecedented territory in Iraq, particularly the openness of the threats, similar to Iran’s recent elections where the regime blocked over 7,000 candidates for Parliament and invalidated a third of sitting MPs from seeking reelection.

RESTORING DETERRENCE

The U.S. has clearly not yet deterred the militias from killing Americans and the result is that U.S. forces in Iraq are not being protected by either the Iraqi government or, ultimately, by our own government. This is not a sustainable situation. What can change?

  • U.S. withdrawal from Iraq. One option is always to leave, which is what Kataib Hezbollah, Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, and the Islamic State want us to do. The historical track record suggests we might just be drawn back in later, under even less favorable circumstances, possibly even to fight an Iraq that is under Iran’s control.
  • Take the low road. A second option is that we can play Iran and its militias at their own game, and simply kill a lot more of them in a rolling campaign of elimination. This is well within our capabilities and might result in a dramatic and long-lasting reduction of Iran’s influence in Iraq, but there is also a risk—though not a certainty—that this galvanizes anti-Americanism.
  • Take the high road. A final option is that the U.S. can somehow play the victim and the responsible actor in this drama and limit its retaliation to immediate and proportionate strikes, largely outside Iraq to reduce the risk of Iraqi nationalist responses.

Last night’s strikes on KH missile and rocket bases were an attempt to take the high road, but the lack of large secondary explosions suggests that KH had evacuated its valuable weapons long before the strike. Iran’s militia proxies in Iraq can trade empty buildings or even two dozen of their own rank and file for three Anglo-American fatalities all day, every day. This a game we will lose.

The right approach probably lies somewhere between the high and low roads, with very prompt, decisive and unclaimed attacks demonstrated against some senior Iraqi militia leaders in order to make others think very seriously about their personal future. But high-value leadership targets—which Iran and the militias do value—are generally not available to hit the day after Americans are killed: they are keeping their heads down. Congress and the administration need to sit privately and agree to some ground rules for the use of military force that allow the U.S. military to delink the timing of deterrent strikes, so that we can strike the right targets when they become available, to deter militia attacks that are highly likely to come otherwise.

In parallel, the U.S. should toughen its mindset, quietly bringing the force protection assets into Iraq that it needs (i.e., Patriot missiles and anti-rocket close-in defenses) without further consultation with an Iraqi government that would rather adopt a “don’t ask, don’t tell” approach. And finally, the U.S. should let the militias keep over-reaching, keep showing their hand as would-be dictators under Iran’s control, while the U.S.-led coalition keeps helping Iraq to defeat the Islamic State. This is a game we can win.

Michael Knights is a senior fellow with The Washington Institute. Since 2003, he has conducted extensive on-the-ground research in Iraq alongside security forces and government ministries. This article was originally published on the Politico website.



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BREAKING NEWS: Trump declares national emergency as coronavirus spreads

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 12:38 PM PDT

President Donald Trump on Friday declared a national emergency in his latest bid to combat the escalating coronavirus crisis.

Trump said the move would free up $50 billion in additional funding. He also said the order would allow Health and Human Services to waive certain regulations and laws to more quickly deliver testing and care for coronavirus patients.

"No resource will be spared," Trump said.

Trump's decision comes after his administration has faced weeks of criticism for failing to adequately respond to the spreading disease, which has killed more than 5,000 people worldwide and infected tens of thousands.

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عاجل | المغرب يقرر "توقيف الدراسة" ابتداء من الاثنين إلى إشعار آخر

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 12:05 PM PDT

المغرب يقرر "توقيف الدراسة" ابتداء من الاثنين إلى إشعار آخر

قررت وزارة التربية الوطنية والتكوين المهني والتعليم العالي والبحث العلمي تعليق الدراسة في المغرب، وذلك في إطار التدابير الاحترازية الرامية إلى الحد من ...
 
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لا ترغب في تلقي مستجدات هسبريس عبر البريد الإلكتروني؟ اضغط هنا لإلغاء الاشتراك
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وزارة الصحة تعلن شفاء الحالة الأولى المصابة بفيروس "كورونا" بالمملكة

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 10:12 AM PDT

وزارة الصحة تعلن شفاء الحالة الأولى المصابة بفيروس "كورونا"

أعلنت وزارة الصحة، اليوم الجمعة، أن الشّاب القادم من إيطاليا والذي أُعلن في وقت سابق كأول حالة وافدة للإصابة بالفيروس ببلادنا، قد تماثل للشفاء بعدما أ ...
 
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لا ترغب في تلقي مستجدات هسبريس عبر البريد الإلكتروني؟ اضغط هنا لإلغاء الاشتراك
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BREAKING NEWS: Louisiana postpones presidential primary due to coronavirus

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 09:39 AM PDT

Louisiana will postpone its presidential primary, which was originally scheduled for April 4, as part of the state government's response to the coronavirus pandemic.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/13/louisiana-postpones-presidential-primary-due-to-coronavirus-128514

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NEWS ALERT: AOC says she had to break 'principle' of not going on Fox because of coronavirus 'misinformation'

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 09:32 AM PDT

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez assuaged her Twitter followers Thursday night after her first appearance on Fox News, saying she went against "principle" and gave the right-leaning network an interview for the greater good.
The Washington Times
NEWS ALERT
Friday, February 14, 2020 5:42 PM EST
 
NEWS ALERT

AOC says she had to break 'principle' of not going on Fox because of coronavirus 'misinformation'

Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez assuaged her Twitter followers Thursday night after her first appearance on Fox News, saying she went against "principle" and gave the right-leaning network an interview for the greater good.

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News Alert: Miami mayor tests positive for coronavirus; Brazil's president tests negative after he and Trump met at Mar-a-Lago over the weekend

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 09:28 AM PDT

Miami Mayor Francis Suarez has tested positive for covid-19, he said in an interview with the Miami Herald Friday morning, days after attending an event with a Brazilian government aide who also has the novel coronavirus. President Jair Bolsonaro's communications secretary appeared in a photograph with President Trump and Vice President Mike Pence at Mar-a Lago. Bolsonaro announced on Facebook that he tested negative.
 
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Miami mayor tests positive for coronavirus; Brazil's president tests negative after he and Trump met at Mar-a-Lago over the weekend

Miami Mayor Francis Suarez has tested positive for covid-19, he said in an interview with the Miami Herald Friday morning, days after attending an event with a Brazilian government aide who also has the novel coronavirus.

President Jair Bolsonaro's communications secretary appeared in a photograph with President Trump and Vice President Mike Pence at Mar-a Lago. Bolsonaro announced on Facebook that he tested negative.

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الجيش العراقي يعلن مقتل خمسة جنود ومدني في الضربات الأمريكية

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 08:58 AM PDT

الجيش العراقي يعلن مقتل خمسة جنود ومدني في الضربات الأمريكية...
نسخة على الإنترنت
نسختك الخاصة من أخبار يورونيوز – 03/13/20
نشرتك اليومية من الأخبار المختلفة المتنوعة
الجيش العراقي يعلن مقتل خمسة جنود ومدني في الضربات الأمريكية
الجيش العراقي يعلن مقتل خمسة جنود ومدني في الضربات الأمريكية...   إقرأ أكثر، للمزيد
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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The Bachelor's Peter Weber and Madison Prewett end their relationship 2 days after dramatic finale

Posted: 13 Mar 2020 07:52 AM PDT

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"Madi and I have mutually decided to not pursue our relationship any further," Peter Weber wrote on Instagram
 
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"We have Covid-19 and are in isolation so we do not spread it to anyone else," the actor wrote in his health update
 
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Tom Hanks Shares Photo from Quarantine with Rita Wilson After Coronavirus Diagnosis
 
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The Queen has left the door open to Meghan and Harry as the couple starts their new life in North America
 
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The Queen has left the door open to Meghan and Harry as the couple starts their new life in North America
 
 
Ben Affleck and Ana de Armas spent some downtime relaxing in Costa Rica
 
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Ben Affleck and Ana de Armas Cuddle Up in First Pictures from Their Romantic Vacation to Costa Rica
 
Ben Affleck and Ana de Armas spent some downtime relaxing in Costa Rica
 
 
<p>On Thursday night, Peter Weber and Madison Prewett announced they had split</p>
 
HMM...
The Bachelor's Madison Prewett Hangs Out with Selena Gomez After Ending Peter Weber Romance
 
On Thursday night, Peter Weber and Madison Prewett announced they had split
 
 
<p>Orlando Bloom's pregnant fiancée Katy Perry has also left Australia after canceling all media interviews amid the outbreak</p>
 
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Orlando Bloom Is Coming Home to Be 'Quarantined' as Production on Carnival Row Is Shut Down
 
Orlando Bloom's pregnant fiancée Katy Perry has also left Australia after canceling all media interviews amid the outbreak
 
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