Tuesday, November 26, 2019

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Posted: 26 Nov 2019 07:50 PM PST

Democrats await Trump’s RSVP

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 05:56 PM PST

TicToc Tonight
Bloomberg

Greetings, TicToc readers! In this edition: Disaster in Albania, Maryland trio set free, and a 3D-printed steak that'll fool any carnivore. 

Democrats go forth on impeachment

The impeachment inquiry will enter a new phase next week with the House Judiciary Committee set to hold its first public hearing where President Trump will be invited to testify. In a letter to the president, Chairman Jerry Nadler said the Dec. 4 hearing will examine the constitutional grounds for impeachment, as the committee weighs a vote on charges of "high crimes and misdemeanors." "The president has a choice to make: he can take this opportunity to be represented in the impeachment hearings, or he can stop complaining about the process," Nadler said in a statement.

More: 

  • Nadler gave Trump a deadline of 6 p.m. Dec. 1 to say whether he or his attorney plans to participate.
  • The DOJ asked for a stay in a federal judge's ruling that ex-White House counsel Don McGahn must testify until it can be appealed.
  • House Intel chief Adam Schiff aims to send an impeachment report to the Judiciary Committee after Congress's Thanksgiving recess.

Highly quotable

"It's not the same pizza." Ousted Papa John's chair John Schnatter took a dig at the chain's food quality, saying he's eaten more than 40 pizzas in the last 30 days.

"We went through hell." Three men falsely convicted of murder in Baltimore, Maryland, were exonerated and set free after 36 years in prison.

"Presidents are not kings." Federal Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson ordered ex-White House counsel Don McGahn to testify, rejecting claims of broad presidential immunity.

$ignificant figures

21 people. Albania declared a day of mourning after a pre-dawn 6.4 earthquake struck near capital city Tirana, killing nearly two dozen and injuring some 600 more.

13 troops. More than a dozen French soldiers were killed when two helicopters collided "in total darkness" during an operation against ISIS-linked extremists in Mali.

$4 billion. EBay sold ticket reseller StubHub to European rival Viagogo in a deal that'll allow it to focus on its retail site and address pressure from shareholders.

This is not normal

Feeding humanity gets harder. As global temps rise and water gets scarcer, researchers are scrambling to develop climate change-resistant crops after an international treaty to develop them stalled last week.

The future is now

A perfect-tasting printed "steak." This startup is building a 3D printer that it says will produce a meatless steak that's so fatty, juicy and perfectly meaty that even the most dedicated carnivore won't know the difference. 

What's good

Plummeting. New HIV infections are falling worldwide and fewer people are dying of AIDS-related diseases, the UN said, citing expanding access to treatment that's reached nearly two-thirds of those living with the virus. 

Now that you're caught up... Tell your friends to sign up to receive our newsletter five days a week, and follow us on Twitter, YouTube, Instagram and Facebook.

Thanks for reading!
-Andrew Mach

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The better bet wins | Rivalo Sportsbetting | 100 EUR BONUS

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 04:53 PM PST

    The better bet wins | Rivalo Sportsbetting | 100 EUR BONUS

Upcoming Trade shows, Conferences, Sport matches, Art events, Popular Festivals - ilikEvents

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 04:35 PM PST

Universität Passau - Universität Passau

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 02:51 PM PST

The IRGC States Its Case for Gulf Escalation (Nadimi | PolicyWatch 3220)

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 02:49 PM PST

THE IRGC STATES ITS CASE FOR ESCALATION AGAINST THE UNITED STATES, BRITAIN, AND SAUDI ARABIA
by Farzin Nadimi

PolicyWatch 3220
November 26, 2019

As its concerns about domestic dissent and Western naval activity grow, Tehran may once again try to divert attention from the unrest at home by launching attacks abroad.

READ THIS ITEM ON OUR WEBSITE

This week, Iranian clerics and military officials ramped up their rhetoric against foreign “enemies,” accusing them of waging a “street world war” against Tehran amid public protests over gasoline policy and a subsequent regime crackdown. On November 25, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander Maj. Gen. Hossein Salami threatened the United States, Britain, and Saudi Arabia with severe punishment if they cross Iran’s redlines. He also warned that the IRGC’s patience is not limitless, and that any foreign provocation will spur a potent reaction at a time and place of its choosing. Three days earlier, the commander of the Khatam al-Anbia Central Headquarters, Maj. Gen. Gholam Ali Rashid, told Washington to avoid any actions in the Persian Gulf region or Strait of Hormuz that could put American military personnel “at great risk,” declaring that words alone—including backdoor messages—“will not be enough to prevent a war” next time hostilities break out.

MILITARY MANEUVERS

General Rashid’s threats were particularly notable because they came while he was observing air defense drills in Semnan province. Although the Harim-e Velayat exercise is an annual affair conducted deep inside central Iran, this year’s edition was apparently designed to simulate the combined operational area of the Persian Gulf, Strait of Hormuz, and Gulf of Oman. Asset deployment patterns reportedly mimicked existing arrangements in those theaters, with an emphasis on honing the IRGC’s offensive and defensive capabilities over the strait (perhaps out of a belief that whoever controls the air ultimately controls the battlespace).

Meanwhile, the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group sailed through the strait for a port call in Bahrain on November 19. This was the carrier’s first trip into the Gulf since May; previously, it had opted to remain in the northern Arabian Sea, at a safer yet still effective operational range from Iran. The ship’s deployment has been extended until its replacement, USS Harry S. Truman, finishes repairs and is ready to sail. The U.S. Navy’s proximity led General Salami to threaten the “enemy” and its aircraft carriers with “bone-crushing” precision-guided missile strikes. He later called the Hormuz transit a failed attempt to show support for the gasoline protests.

IRGC officials may be equally nervous about Operation Sentinel, a new multilateral maritime security initiative in the Gulf. Established under the auspices of the International Maritime Security Construct (IMSC), the operation commenced on November 7. It is led by the United States and currently includes Albania, Australia, Bahrain, Britain, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.

Several other European countries, including Denmark, Italy, and Spain, have expressed interest in joining a separate French-led maritime initiative, though only the Netherlands has announced that it will formally sign on. The mission’s operational center was inaugurated on November 24, with monitoring forces based out of Camp de la Paix in Abu Dhabi. No reports of major friction with Iranian naval units have emerged so far, including with the IRGC forces that claim control over the Strait of Hormuz. This relative quiet may seem surprising given that Iran’s recent “Hormuz Peace Endeavor” (aka HOPE) has failed to convince any regional countries that they should consider Gulf security arrangements with Tehran under the current circumstances. Yet the quiet could be short-lived if hardliners continue to face major pressure at home.

RALLYING DISENCHANTED YOUTHS

Even as the regime tries to build up its confidence and capabilities in order to counter foreign adversaries and further its regional ambitions, it faces greater challenges from its own people. Now entering its fifth decade, the Islamic Republic is grappling with a common paradox: how to pass the mantle of revolutionary commitments to the next generation. More than half of Iran’s current population was not yet born at the time of the 1979 revolution. Khamenei knows he must rely on this generation for what he calls his “Second Step” project, but serious questions have emerged about their loyalty—particularly now that young, working-class Iranians are playing a lead role in the protests.

In the same line, it was surprising to hear an IRGC spokesman take an unusually hopeless tone toward the next generation in a November 25 interview. Speaking on state television, Lt. Gen. Ramazan Sharif harshly criticized the disaffected Iranian youths who have chanted pro-monarchy slogans and used fiercely anti-regime language at recent demonstrations, calling them “traitors.”

This generational divergence will only get wider over time, perhaps spurring the frustrated hardline establishment to instigate a controllable crisis just to charge up the youths with religious and nationalist zeal. In their view, that may be the best way of changing the ideological status quo that facilitated the current protests. The regime has used this tactic in the past, particularly during the Iran-Iraq War, and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei may be employing it again today. In a November 3 speech before an audience of students, he reiterated his uncompromising “no negotiations” framework for Iranian politicians to follow in dealing with Washington. Although the anti-American tenor of his remarks was in line with the typical regime rhetoric issued around the anniversary of the 1979 hostage crisis, the IRGC’s concurrent military threats and posturing raise the risk that Tehran’s words will become deed.

CONCLUSION

As seen in the Iranian-attributed rocket attack against north Israel on November 20, the regime seems to be hardening its resolve to hit back at those countries it believes are threatening its regional ambitions and hold on power. September’s highly successful, largely unanswered attack on Saudi Aramco facilities gave the IRGC and conservative leadership a similar jolt of confidence. Accordingly, one can expect Tehran to embark on its next significant regional adventure soon. And given the serious challenges it faces at home, the regime may be less concerned about avoiding direct confrontation with the United States or Israel this time around.

Possible Iranian actions in the near term include:

  • Confronting U.S. naval assets transiting the Persian Gulf
  • Conducting covert operations to disrupt international maritime traffic in various theaters, perhaps even as far away as the Strait of Malacca
  • Repeating the large-scale drone/missile tactics used in the Aramco attack, only this time targeting some other type of critical facility (e.g., a water desalination plant)
  • Launching a high-profile terrorist or cyber operation, e.g., against the airline industry or a population center.

Rather than being a slave to events, Tehran likely wants to choose the time and place of any such response, so the international community cannot let its guard down even when the Gulf theater seems to quiet down. The potential for escalation is particularly high now that Western maritime security operations are steaming ahead and Iran’s HOPE plan has sunk.

Going forward, the United States should continue showing support to its Gulf allies by maintaining potent military forces in the region and moving them around to emphasize their presence. If the Lincoln carrier group is ordered back home, a replacement carrier group should be sent with an overlapping deployment, to leave no room for misinterpretation.

Iran’s domestic problems will not dissipate anytime soon, as evident in the worsening violence against protestors and dissidents, the complete Internet blackout, and the plethora of negative economic indicators that will not be solved by simple gasoline rationing. Despite Tehran’s attempt to pin these problems on outside powers, the people will continue to blame the regime. Therefore, the IRGC and other hardline factions can be expected to issue even angrier threats and adopt more violent tactics in the coming weeks, both at home and further afield.

Farzin Nadimi is an associate fellow with The Washington Institute, specializing in the security and defense affairs of Iran and the Gulf region.


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The hour is getting late

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 02:03 PM PST

Evening Briefing
Bloomberg

On Monday, Bloomberg reported how global warming has made feeding humanity harder. On Tuesday, the United Nations rang a starker alarm, one more grim than a decade of grim updates on the consequences of placing short-term financial growth over species survival. Major nations led by most of the G20 have effectively ignored the warnings, the UN said, and instead accelerated fossil fuel use and exploration. Now, the world must cut pollution levels in half by 2030 in order to have a chance at arresting climate change. And the restructuring of economies needed to achieve that end would be only the start: By 2050, humanity must spend $42 trillion (that's $42,000,000,000,000) to truly slow the quick-march toward catastrophe. —David E. Rovella

Here are today's top stories

At least six drugmakers and distributors are under investigation by U.S. prosecutors over how they monitored the dissemination of opioids.

Google wants to do business with the U.S. military and Customs and Border Protection, Bloomberg Businessweek reports. Many of its employees don't, and have made their position clear. This week, the internet giant once known for its open culture decided to fire some of them.

A major Chinese commodity trader may become the most high-profile state-owned enterprise to default in the dollar bond market in two decades.

Following a summer of political protests and police crackdowns, young Russians who've grown up almost entirely under Vladimir Putin now want to leave the country in record numbers.

Leonid Bershidsky writes in Bloomberg Opinion how, after translating George Orwell's "1984" into Russian this year, he recognized both the Soviet Union of his birth and Russia today.

To many Americans, Thanksgiving means mundane calculations about cooking a turkey. To Native Americans, and especially those attending the 50th annual National Day of Mourning near Plymouth Rock this year, it's a day of remembering "the genocide of millions of native people."

What's Joe Weisenthal thinking about? The Bloomberg news director says the final third of a speech by Fed Chairman Jay Powell last night described how the economic expansion has, according to Powell, seen major gains among minorities, the disabled and people who don't have degrees. It's in that context, Joe says, that you should read this Bloomberg article about the work that Neel Kashkari and the economist Abigail Wozniak are doing at the Minneapolis Fed, exploring how monetary policy can be used to fight inequality.

What you'll need to know tomorrow

What you'll want to read in Bloomberg Pursuits

Cartier's Century of Incredible Wealth

By the time the final chunk of the Cartier jewelry empire was sold off, its founding family was almost entirely dispersed and disinterested. Nearly everyone was wealthy—the Cartier family had an uncanny knack for marrying into money. A new book about the jewelry dynasty goes behind the scenes with the richest people on the planet.

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عالم المعرفة

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:52 PM PST

عالم المعرفة

شيرين سيف النصر تظهر بصور صادمة بعد إختفاء طويل.. شاهدوا كيف تغيرت كلياً!

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 12:49 PM PST

عادت الفنانة المختفية شيرين سيف النصر إلى الأضواء بعد إختفاء طويل دام لسنوات، حيث تداول الجمهور صورًا، تردد أنها للفنانة الشهيرة، ولكنها صدمت محبيها بسبب التغيرات الكبيرة التي طرأت على ملامحها وهيئتها.



ظهور صادم لـ شيرين سيف النصر بعد غياب سنوات
وتداول الجمهور على مواقع التواصل اليوم صوراً للفنانة شيرين سيف النصر تردد أنها من أحدث ظهور لها اليوم في المحكمة أثناء حضورها جلسة تحقيق في القضية التي فجرتها منذ فترة بتعرضها للسرقة، وهو ما يعتبر أول ظهور لشيرين سيف النصر منذ سنوات طويلة بعد اعتزالها الأضواء منذ 15 عاماً تقريباً.



وصدمت صور شيرين سيف النصر رواد مواقع التواصل ومحبيها اليوم بعد ظهورها الحديث بوزن زائد وبنظارة طبية وكذلك بإطلالة معاكسة تماماً للصورة التي ارتبط بها الجمهور طوال فترة عملها وقبل اعتزالها الأضواء، للدرجة التي شكك البعض في حقيقة الصور المتداولة لها بسبب تغير هيئتها وملامحها تماماً.





شيرين سيف النصر تثير الجدل على مواقع التواصل
ويأتي ظهور شيرين سيف النصر اليوم في المحكمة لمتابعة التحقيق في قضيتها التي أعادتها للأضواء أيضاً في الفترة الأخيرة بعدما صدمت الجميع باتهامها صديقتها المقربة بسرقة مجوهراتها بقيمة ما يقارب 5 مليون جنيه، وكشفت وقتها إنها تخطط للعودة للفن والأضواء بعد ان تلقت عدة عروض فنية بعد انقطاع طويل.



وكانت شيرين سيف النصر- 51 عاماً- من أبرز نجمات فترة التسعينيات في الشاشة المصرية وعرفت بجمالها قبل ان تصدم الجميع باعتزالها الأضواء في عام 2007 بمسلسل "أصعب قرار" واشتهرت أيضاً بعملها مع الفنان عادل إمام في عدة أعمال مثل فيلم "أمير الظلام" ومسرحية "بودي جارد" وغيرها.

Quebec's secularism law "overwhelmingly" impacting women more than men: lawyer

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:50 PM PST

Freeland sought "common ground" with Kenney ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
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🚂 After days of strikes and rallies that included dumping corn outside of Trudeau's Montreal office, the Canadian National Railway reached a deal.

🚌 One student had an innovative response to Vancouver's transit strike: he rented his own bus.

👗 Inquiring minds want to know: could you wear these AMA red carpet dresses to your holiday party?

 

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Quebec's Secularism Law ‘Overwhelmingly’ Impacting Women More Than Men: Lawyer

Quebec’s secularism law prohibits public sector workers deemed to be in positions of authority, including teachers and police officers, from wearing religious symbols at work.

Brought it back to court

 

Provinces Should Quit Picking Fights With PM, Each Other: N.L. Premier

“We want to bring benefits to our own provinces,” Dwight Ball told reporters after a meeting with Trudeau. “We want to bring benefits to all Canadians. If we are fighting against ourselves, we are focusing the energy in the wrong place.”

"[About] being Canadian"

 

Ban Military-Style Guns Now, Polytechnique Survivors Group Urges Liberals

The newly re-elected Liberals campaigned on a commitment to outlaw such firearms, including the popular AR-15, saying guns designed to inflict mass human casualties have no place in Canada.

Want a buyback program

 

Deal Reached To End CN Rail Strike, Union Says

The union said normal operations at CN will resume Wednesday at 6 a.m. local time across Canada.

Choo choo!
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More headlines

 

Freeland Tried To Find 'Common Ground' With Alberta Premier Jason Kenney

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Software Behind Boeing Max 8 Crashes Must Go, Transport Official Urges

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What If You Wore These AMA Outfits To Your Holiday Party?

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To Deal With Vancouver's Transit Strike, A Student Rented His Own Bus

‌

Take The Stress Out Of The Holidays By Saying 'No' More Often

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Lewis The Koala Dies A Week After Being Rescued From Bushfires

 

What's making us happy

 

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What's Coming And Going From Netflix Canada In December

 

So many great Xmas movies

 

Getting in the gifting mood?

 

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It's that time of year, when Christmas lists start piling up and parties are upon us before we even know it. Fortunately, our Life team has pulled together a multitude of gift guides to help you buy for every type of situation. Check some of them out here:

🧹 Christmas Gifts For Kids That Don't Create Clutter Or Mess

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👭 Gifts For The Friend You Know Almost Too Well

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🙄 Gift Ideas For Teens Who Can’t Decide What They Like

 

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Market exuberance is back! Is it rational this time?

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:49 PM PST

Bloomberg Opinion Today
Bloomberg

This is Bloomberg Opinion Today, a Whitman's sampler of Bloomberg Opinion's opinions. Sign up here. 

Today's Agenda

Irrational Exuberance, Baby, One More Time

In many ways, 2019 is basically 1998. Jennifer Aniston is on TV. Tom Hanks is in a big movie. People are talking about new "Star Wars" content. The president is about to be impeached. 

It is also, writes Nir Kaissar, an almost supernaturally good time to be in the stock market, especially if you own certain tech stocks:

Such charts tend to put one on the lookout for ugly reversals in that steroidal top line. By 1998, in fact, Alan Greenspan had already warned of "irrational exuberance" in the market. But it took another two years for his warning to bear nasty fruit in the dot-com meltdown. A very 2010s problem — FOMO, or Fear of Missing Out — helped keep the '90s market rally alive, Nir writes. And there are still enough market skeptics out there, all vulnerable to creeping FOMO, to keep today's rally going, too.

Of course, history doesn't repeat itself exactly, and 2019 is very different from 1998. Most important, markets have since learned a second, maybe more powerful, fear than FOMO: Fear Of Fed Apathy, or FOFA. Three Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts this year, along with a round of bond-buying to calm the repo market, have boosted stocks and interest rates. But lately the "yield curve" — the gap between short- and long-term rates — has flattened again, notes Mohamed El-Erian. This happens when bond traders expect slower growth. A previous yield-curve inversion (long-term rates falling below short-term ones) got the Fed to act earlier this year. The market may be agitating for more now, Mohamed writes. Britney Spears had a song about this in 1998.

Thanksgiving Turkey, Smothered in Guilt

When I was a kid in the early 1800s, we were taught Thanksgiving was a celebration of the time friendly Native Americans kept heroic English pilgrims from starving to death, a win-win for all. Today we know this transaction involved nothing but loss on the Native American side of the ledger. In fact, Native American genocide has been the one project in which America's political parties have consistently cooperated, writes Tyler Cowen. If you want nothing but warm fuzzies at the Thanksgiving table this year, then maybe avoid this subject. (Or just express gratitude for the job market, as Michael R. Strain suggests.) But if the conversation demands an example of "both sides" being equally awful, or of how American heroism can suddenly vanish, then this shameful history does the trick.

Chick-fil-A, Starbucks Meet in the Middle

If you were producing an "Odd Couple"-like sitcom involving chain restaurants as the leads, until very recently you would have picked Starbucks and Chick-fil-A. One's a latte-slurping liberal from the Northwest! The other's a Bible-thumping conservative from the South! They can't agree on anything, including whose turn it is to take out the trash! But both chains have turned their culture-war swords into spatulas, writes Conor Sen. Chick-fil-A recently stopped giving money to groups opposed to LGBTQ rights, donations that had caused liberals to boycott the chain. Now some conservatives are mad. Starbucks still has that whole not-saying-Christmas cup thing going on, but otherwise it has assimilated into all corners of America — be they red, blue or purple. There's little chance they'll fall out of the top three U.S. chains at this rate.

Telltale Charts

The new Cold War between China and the U.S. isn't exactly showing up in the bond market, writes Brian Chappatta. 

Ending college tuition, as Bernie Sanders wants, would gut financing for universities, writes Noah Smith, particularly if it depends on public coffers controlled by Republicans.

Further Reading

President Donald Trump can use trade-war talks as leverage to make China go easy on Hong Kong protesters. — Eli Lake

The U.S. tax code treats all Americans living abroad like criminals. — Andreas Kluth 

The history behind the movie "Dark Water" reminds us we still need unconflicted scientific studies of the harm products do. — David Michaels 

It's all too easy to steal and sell art, as the $1 billion Green Vault heist makes clear. — Leonid Bershidsky 

Translating "1984" into Russian is a reminder that it's still terrifyingly relevant. — Leonid Bershidsky 

Dogs and people ended up running the world together with this ONE WEIRD TRAIT. — Cass Sunstein 

ICYMI

Mark your calendars for a Dec. 4 House Judiciary impeachment hearing.

John "Papa John" Schnatter has thoughts, probably indigestion, about pizza.

Billionaire Vinod Khosla 1, beach lovers 0.

Kickers

Area intruder picks the wrong 82-year-old woman to attack. (h/t Zoe DeStories) 

A comet from another solar system is zipping toward Earth.

New Yorkers staged a full Thanksgiving dinner on a subway train for some reason.

Should TV shows be released weekly or all at once?

Note: Please send pizza and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.

Programming Note: Justin Fox will make this job look easy tomorrow. There will be no newsletter on Thursday or Friday. Regular weekend service resumes after that.

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Bahrain After the Prime Minister

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:27 PM PST
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PDFThe Washington Institute has been sponsoring a series of discussions about sudden succession in the Middle East. Each session focuses on scenarios that might unfold if a specific ruler or leader departed the scene tomorrow. Questions include these: Would the sudden change lead to different policies? Would it affect the stability of the respective countries involved, or the region as a whole? What would be the impact on U.S. interests? Would the manner of a leader's departure make a difference? The discussions also probe how the U.S. government might adjust to the new situation or influence outcomes.

This essay, eighth in the series, looks at Bahrain, an island nation connected to Saudi Arabia by a slender causeway. Bahrain's prime minister, Sheikh Khalifa bin Salman al-Khalifa, has held his position since 1971, the year his country gained independence from Britain, but he is now eighty-four and evidently in uncertain health. Potential candidates to replace him include Crown Prince Salman or even a much younger nephew, Nasser bin Hamad, mirroring the generational handover in Qatar and Saudi Arabia. But the Khawalids, an influential, once-sidelined branch of the ruling family, also merit attention as Bahrain nears the end of an era.

THE AUTHOR

Simon Henderson is the Baker Fellow and director of the Bernstein Program on Gulf and Energy Policy at The Washington Institute, where he specializes in energy matters and the conservative Arab states of the Persian Gulf.

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Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:21 PM PST

Peter Weber asks ex Hannah Brown to join his season of The Bachelor in new promo

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 01:17 PM PST

If you are having trouble viewing this email click here
PeoplePeople Daily
11/26/19
 
Peter Weber's season of <em>The Bachelor </em>will premiere on Jan. 6
 
SHOCKING MOMENT
Peter Weber Asks Ex Hannah Brown to Join His Season of The Bachelor in New Promo
 
Peter Weber's season of The Bachelor will premiere on Jan. 6
 
 
<p>From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to</p>
 
STAR TRACKS
Reese Witherspoon Does Some Pre-Thanksgiving Shopping, Plus John Travolta, Idina Menzel & More
 
From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to
 
 
 
Sadie Robertson tied the knot on her family's Louisiana farm on Monday, Nov. 25
 
CONGRATS!
Duck Dynasty's Sadie Robertson Marries Christian Huff in 'Romantic and Elegant' Louisiana Wedding
 
Sadie Robertson tied the knot on her family's Louisiana farm on Monday, Nov. 25
 
 
 
The <em>Today</em> co-hosts said sharing their weights took them back to the body image struggles of their youth
 
VULNERABLE & REAL
Hoda Kotb and Jenna Bush Hager Say They Didn't Think Through Their Live Weigh-In: 'It Was a Shock'
 
The Today co-hosts said sharing their weights took them back to the body image struggles of their youth
 
 
Hannah Brown and her pro partner Alan Bersten took home the coveted Mirroball Trophy on the season 28 finale
 
SPEAKING OUT
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Fikra Newsletter: Protests in Iraq, Iran, and Algeria

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 12:00 PM PST

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Exploring U.S. options to handle the ongoing protests in Iraq, Washington Institute Senior Fellow Michael Knights examines how the United States can support protestors while emphasizing the limits of the Iraqi government's ability to handle these protesters' demands.

Looking at the more recent protests in Iran, Fikra Forum contributing editor Hassan Mneimneh writes that Iran's decision to lift fuel subsidies reflects a fundamental misunderstanding of the significance of the ongoing protests in Iraq and Lebanon and suggests that the most recent protests in Iran are likely to put Iran and its proxies on the offensive.

In light of the upcoming Algerian elections, Algerian analyst Zine Ghebouli examines the roles that Algeria's military and opposition forces are likely to play in these elections. He emphasizes that the opposition is unlikely to accept the results and that the international community should be prepared for greater unrest in Algeria if the military fails to make greater compromises to the protestors' demands.


As always, we welcome your feedback and participation. Please write to us at editor@fikraforum.org.

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David Pollock
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وبتناول الخيارات الأمريكية للتعامل مع الاحتجاجات المستمرة في العراق، يبحث زميل أقدم في معهد واشنطن مايك نايتس، كيف يمكن للولايات المتحدة دعم المتظاهرين مع التركيز على القدرة المحدودة للحكومة العراقية في التعامل مع مطالب هؤلاء المحتجين.

وبالنظر الى الاحتجاجات المستمرة في العراق، يرى حسن منيمنة، المحرر المساهم في منتدى فكرة، أن قرار إيران برفع الدعم عن الوقود يعكس سوء فهم جوهري لأهمية الاحتجاجات المستمرة في العراق ولبنان، ويشير منيمنة إلى أن الاحتجاجات الأخيرة في إيران من المرجح أن تضع إيران ووكلائها في موقع الهجوم.

وفى ضوء الانتخابات الجزائرية المقبلة، يتناول المحلل الجزائري زين غبولي الأدوار المحتملة التي قد تلعبها المؤسسة العسكرية والمعارضة الجزائرية في الانتخابات المقبلة، مشددًا على أنه من غير المرجح أن تقبل المعارضة النتائج. ومن ثم، يجب أن يكون المجتمع الدولي مستعدًا لمزيد من الاضطرابات في الجزائر إذا كان الجيش الجزائري غير قادر على تقديم تنازلات أكبر لمطالب المحتجين.

وكما هو الحال دائماً، نشجع مشاركاتكم في هذه النقاشات المستمرة. يرجى الكتابة لنا على البريد الألكتروني editor@fikraforum.org.

تحيات حارة،

ديفيد بولوك
مدير، منتدى فكرة

 
 
U.S. Interests and the Unsustainable Status Quo in Iraq
Michael Knights		   المصالح الأمريكية والوضع الراهن غير المستدام في العراق
مايكل نايتس
The Decline (and Fall?) of the "Fourth Persian Empire"
Hassan Mneimneh		   هبوط «الإمبراطورية الفارسية الرابعة» (وسقوطها؟)
حسن منيمنة
Algeria's Legitimacy Crisis: Path Towards an Impasse
Zine Labidine Ghebouli		   أزمة الشرعية في الجزائر: مسار نحو المأزق
زين العابدين غبولي

LinguaTrip - official webpage. Language courses abroad. Widest selection of accredited schools. Lowest price guarantee!

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 11:46 AM PST

Ausbildung? Finde die passende Ausbildung in deiner Region | AZUBIYO

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 11:26 AM PST

BREAKING NEWS: Judiciary Committee to hold first impeachment hearing next week

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 11:03 AM PST

The House Judiciary Committee will hold its first hearing next week on the impeachment of President Donald Trump, the next phase in the process that could result in the third-ever presidential impeachment before the end of the year.

The hearing, scheduled for next Wednesday, will focus on the definition of an impeachable offense and the formal application of the impeachment process. The panel will invite White House lawyers to attend and participate.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2019/11/26/judiciary-committee-to-hold-first-impeachment-hearing-next-week-073991

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Most Social: Millions of Latinos are Trump supporters. Here's what they're thinking.

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 10:01 AM PST

Despite his harmful rhetoric, President Trump's policies and fierce attitude have attracted a certain subset of those in the Latino community. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
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NEW limited-edition ornament

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 09:50 AM PST

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BREAKING NEWS: Oversight Committee sues Barr, Ross over 2020 census documents

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 08:06 AM PST

The House Oversight Committee is suing Attorney General William Barr and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross to enforce a subpoena for documents related to the 2020 Census — an indication that Democrats believe their hand against Trump administration stonewalling has been strengthened by recent court decisions.

"I am filing this enforcement action today because the Trump Administration's brazen obstruction of Congress must not stand," said Rep. Carolyn Maloney, chairwoman of the Oversight panel. "President Trump and his aides are not above the law."

The 85-page lawsuit seeks copies of memos and correspondence related to allegations that the administration's effort to add a citizenship question to the Census was based on political considerations, rather than a publicly stated effort to enforce the Voting Rights Act.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2019/11/26/oversight-committee-sues-barr-ross-over-2020-census-documents-073949

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16 قتيلا على الأقل و مئات الجرحى جراء أقوى زلزال يضرب ألبانيا منذ عقود

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 07:59 AM PST

ضرب زلزال شدته 6,4 درجات ألبانيا، فجر الثلاثاء مما تسبب بحالات هلع في تيرانا ومدينة دوريس الساحلية...
نسخة على الإنترنت
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U.S. Must Blunt Russia’s Adventurism in Libya (Fishman | Bloomberg)

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 07:57 AM PST

THE U.S. MUST BLUNT RUSSIA'S ADVENTURISM IN LIBYA
by Ben Fishman

Bloomberg
November 25, 2019

The deployment of Kremlin-linked mercenaries will make a costly civil war even more difficult to end.

READ THIS ARTICLE ON OUR WEBSITE

Until recently, very little had changed in Libya since April, when General Khalifa Haftar, the commander of the self-styled “Libya National Army,” attacked Tripoli. Now, two high-profile stories have highlighted the presence of Russian mercenaries on the front lines of the war and their impact on the fight over Libya’s capital. For the first time, a spokesperson from the U.S. Africa Command confirmed the presence of “Russian private military companies” in the west of Libya (Russia’s presence in the east, away from the fighting, has long been suspect). And in an unusual step, a U.S.-Libya dialogue decried “Russia’s attempts to exploit the conflict against the will of the Libyan people.”

After seven months of equivocating about Libya’s third civil war in nearly nine years, the Trump administration has an opportunity to play a meaningful role in stopping it. To do that, however, the administration would have to engage in uncharacteristically aggressive, and disruptive, regional diplomacy. Neither it nor the Obama administration before it has ever given Libya the U.S. attention it deserves.

The stakes are higher this time, with Russia threatening to tilt the balance of power and extend its presence on NATO’s southern flank. The administration can acquiesce to Russia’s spreading influence, or contest it by assembling like-minded states to give one last push to a political solution in Libya.

Libya’s latest civil war has left well over a thousand dead and tens of thousands internally displaced. It has also paralyzed a political process led by the United Nations that sought to bring the country closer to a durable political settlement. Although the internationally recognized Government of National Accord’s forces repelled Haftar’s April assault, Tripoli has since suffered a mix of indiscriminate shelling and precision bombing, which has caused civilian casualties and extensive destruction to neighborhoods.

In addition to aid from Russia, Haftar has been helped by the United Arab Emirates, Egypt, and (to a lesser extent) France. The Government of National Accord has turned to Turkey to provide its militias with drones, armed vehicles, and other weaponry. A long anticipated UN report is expected to detail such arms transfers, which violate sanctions dating back to 2011. Separately, the UN Mission in Libya estimates that the LNA is responsible for well over 800 drone strikes, while the GNA-supported side is responsible for around 240.

The idea of permitting Russian interference in Libya contradicts the Trump administration’s National Security Strategy, the National Defense Strategy, and the National Security Council’s Africa Strategy, which all focus on great power rivalry and countering Russian (and Chinese) influence. Libya is a test case for these strategies. If Russia tilts the war in Haftar’s favor, it will strip the West of influence in Libya either by ensuring pervasive instability or ending hopes of a peaceful political transition. The U.S. has managed to keep a lid on terrorism emanating from Libya after the 2016 defeat of ISIS in Sirte through targeted strikes against Al Qaeda and ISIS-affiliated groups. If the U.S. Africa Command is no longer able to strike targets in Libya and leaves counter-terrorism action to Russia, ISIS will likely reemerge. See Syria for Russia’s track record.

The Nov. 14 statement issued by the State Department condemned the “LNA’s offensive” and Russian interference. Yet skepticism remains about the administration’s seriousness and willingness to act. Since the statement was released, Haftar’s forces have perpetrated a mass-casualty attack on a civilian target in Tripoli and a suspected military target in Misrata.

To allay doubts of a renewed commitment to Libya, the White House needs to reiterate the Nov. 14 U.S. statement—and clarify its response to Russia’s interference. First, the administration should shed more light on Russia’s actions in Libya, to the extent that it can without compromising intelligence sources. Various Libyan and Western officials have cited the presence of between 200 and 1,400 Russian private military contractors, most belonging to the Wagner group linked to one of Vladimir Putin’s close associates. The U.S. should provide an official estimate of the number, and share what it can about their deployment and impact. Russia benefits from the deniability of Wagner; the U.S. should take away that advantage.

Second, the U.S. should threaten to sanction all groups involved in providing arms to Libya, including arms suppliers, shipping companies and insurers. To date, the arms embargo continues to be violated with impunity. The administration has existing authorities to sanction actors who “threaten the peace, security, or stability of Libya,” and the House and Senate have proposed legislation to support such sanctions, particularly against Russia. So far, these sanctions have been applied by both the Obama and Trump administrations only to internal Libyan actors.

Finally, the U.S. must vigorously back the Berlin Conference intended to unite international support for a ceasefire and reconvene a Libyan political dialogue. To do this, the U.S. must lean heavily on its partners in Abu Dhabi, Cairo, and Ankara to commit at least to a pause in arms shipments—or face potential sanctions.

Exposing and isolating Russia in its attempts to tilt the balance of power in Libya may be the best way to stop its attempts to increase its influence in North Africa. As the Trump administration itself acknowledges, that goal is profoundly in the U.S. strategic interest.

Ben Fishman is a senior fellow at The Washington Institute and former director for North Africa at the National Security Council. This article was originally published on the Bloomberg website.


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The Daily Report

Posted: 26 Nov 2019 06:14 AM PST

Tuesday, November 26, 2019

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Dresden museum heist biggest since WWII
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ByDave Makichuk
November 26, 2019
Schwab, Ameritrade to form brokerage behemoth
Schwab, Ameritrade to form brokerage behemothCharles Schwab deal to buy TD Ameritrade for US$26 billion will net 24 million customers and US$5 trillion in assets
ByDave Makichuk
November 26, 2019
Most Chinese blockchain firms keen on crypto
Most Chinese blockchain firms keen on cryptoNearly 90% have tried issuing digital currency, but Beijing is restricting focus of development work
ByPaul Muir
November 26, 2019
Militarization of Indo-Pacific a dangerous trend
Manoj Kumar MishraNovember 26, 2019
Militarization of Indo-Pacific a dangerous trendShould the US-China competition for power in the region escalate into all-out war, it will be catastrophic for smaller nations in the region
'Dark side' of the US-China trade war
Igor KuchmaNovember 26, 2019
'Dark side' of the US-China trade warThe conflict could turn out to be about something other than fair trade balances, such as the quest for 'lunar gold' – helium-3
Pakistan: Bajwa, CPEC, and 'acceptable opinion'
Imad ZafarNovember 26, 2019
Pakistan: Bajwa, CPEC, and 'acceptable opinion'Tamed media and a puppet regime stay quiet after the Supreme Court suspends notification of the army chief's tenure extension
To survive, Malaysian govt must get serious on economy
Maa Zhi HongNovember 26, 2019
To survive, Malaysian govt must get serious on economyThe Pakatan Harapan coalition has lost a lot of support after just 18 months in power, for many reasons, but the struggling economy is at the top of the list
Indian economy will be tested in 2020
Tej ParikhNovember 26, 2019
Indian economy will be tested in 2020Narendra Modi cannot bank on his personal popularity surviving much longer if the economy keeps underperforming
Iran, Israel raise tensions to obscure domestic woes
Dnyanesh KamatNovember 25, 2019
Iran, Israel raise tensions to obscure domestic woesAs protests shake Iranian regime and Israeli PM's legal problems create instability, the two countries are trying to divert attention by ramping up conflict
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