Wednesday, July 10, 2019

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INFO SERVICE & COMPUTERS

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 09:32 PM PDT

    INFO SERVICE & COMPUTERS

ترك برس - النشرة 11-07-2019

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 09:00 PM PDT

حذر وزير الخارجية التركي مولود جاويش أوغلو، الأربعاء، دول الاتحاد الأوروبي من اتخاذ أي خطوات ضد بلاده حيال عمليات التنقيب التي تقوم بها شرق المتوسط.

قال سفير الهند لدى تركيا، سانجاي بهاتاشاريا، اليوم الأربعاء، إن حجم التجارة بين البلدين يبلغ حاليا 8.5 مليارات دولار، وأن الجانبين يسعيان لرفع هذا الرقم إلى 10 مليار دولار في الفترة المقبلة.

في أعقاب الاحتجاجات المناهضة لروسيا في جورجيا، وفرض الرئيس الروسي فلاديمير بوتين  حظرا على تيسيير الرحلات الجوية إليها، حول السياح الروس حجوزاتهم من جورجيا إلى تركيا. 

نظمت مؤسسات حكومية ومدنية تركية، الثلاثاء، رحلة ترفيهية شملت زيارات لمواقع تاريخية وقاعات ألعاب في ولاية هطاي التركية، لـ 80 يتيما سوريا من منطقة عفرين.

د. علي الصلابي - خاص ترك برس

تولَّى السلطان العثماني سليم الثالث السُّلطة بعد وفاة عمِّه عبد الحميد الأوَّل عام 1203هـ/1788م وبدأت مرحلةٌ جديدةٌ من مراحل الحرب بين الدَّولة العثمانيَّة، وأعدائها، شرع في إحياء الرُّوح المعنويَّة في نفوس جنده، واعتمد على تاريخ الدَّولة العثمانيَّة، وما قامت به من أعمالٍ بطوليَّة، ففي مراسم توليه عرش الدَّولة قام السُّلطان بإِلقاء خطبةٍ حماسيَّة أمام قادة الدَّولة أشار فيها بما حقَّقته الجيوش العثمانيَّة من انتصاراتٍ في الماضي على أعدائها

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Kainex | Web Solutions

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 08:53 PM PDT

Trump invites extremists to 'social media summit;' Epstein updates; Shari in Sun Valley; Florida's climate news collaboration; CNN's movies podcast

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 08:30 PM PDT

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IN THIS EDITION: Everyone from Carpe Donktum to Shari Redstone, David Beckham to Savannah Guthrie, Taylor Swift to Tucker Carlson. Plus my new look at the Florida Climate Reporting Network, and the premiere episode of CNN's movies podcast...
 

Trump's validation of the fringe


Oliver Darcy emails: Some of the right-wing media universe's biggest stars are set to descend on the White House on Thursday. Trump has invited far-right internet personalities and trolls, many of whom push conspiracy theories, lies, and misinformation, for a "social media summit." It will likely become a forum for airing claims -- often unfounded -- of social media bias. Trump is scheduled to speak at 3:45 p.m. ET.

Newsrooms will likely be skeptical of covering the summit, as it does not appear a serious discussion about issues facing Big Tech will take place. But I think the summit is worth covering for a different reason. I'd even argue it's being under covered right now. The invitations extended to extremist figures are perhaps the clearest example yet of Trump working to legitimize fringe political allies. It's irresponsible and even perhaps dangerous for the White House to validate some of these people. And it's all happening ahead of the 2020 campaign. THAT deserves coverage, and should be conveyed to readers and viewers on Thursday...


Expected attendees include...


Darcy emails: Jim Hoft, the publisher of the right-wing Gateway Pundit blog; Bill Mitchell, a radio host who has promoted the extremist QAnon conspiracy theory on Twitter; Carpe Donktum, an anonymous troll who won a contest put on by InfoWars for an anti-media meme; Ali Alexander, an activist who attempted to smear Kamala Harris by saying she is not an "American black" following the first Democratic debates; James O'Keefe, the guerrilla journalist; Charlie Kirk, the founder of the right-wing student group Turning Point USA; and Benny Johnson, the journalist-turned-activist who was fired for plagiarism by BuzzFeed and demoted at the Independent Journal Review for violating company standards...

 --> As Jason Farkas said on Twitter, "RTs are not endorsements. Inviting trolls to the White House, however, is..."


Artist who drew anti-Semitic cartoon disinvited


Darcy emails: At least one of the individuals invited proved to be too far off in the fringe even for the White House. An administration official told Jake Tapper on Wednesday that the White House had rescinded its invitation to artist Ben Garrison, who had drawn a cartoon widely condemned as anti-Semitic.

Garrison said in a statement that he had spoken to the White House on Tuesday and they had concluded his "presence at the social media summit would be a media distraction." Garrison said he was "asked to remain silent about the whole thing," but then the White House informed media about his invitation being rescinded, which he said "disappointed" him and prompted him to speak out about the allegations of anti-Semitism, which he strongly denied.


White House mum


Darcy adds: The White House has repeatedly declined to release information about the summit to the public. I asked a spokesperson on Wednesday for basic info, such as a list of expected attendees or an agenda. The spokesperson declined to provide such information. The latest information we have came Tuesday from spokesman Judd Deere who said Trump wanted to engage with "digital leaders" on the issue of alleged social media bias...


"We're not sure what to expect"


Darcy continues: It's not just the press and public being left in the dark. Those invited to attend have also been provided zero information. They haven't even received guidance on what is expected of them. 

I spoke to one person who plans to attend. That person told me, "We're not sure what to expect. We're not sure if it's going to even be about policy." The person added, "All I know is there is going to be a bunch of people in a room talking about social media...You know the president will be there so it could go in a number of different directions."


Roose's column


Darcy emails one more: Kevin Roose had an excellent piece on Trump's Thursday event. He noted that "for today's right-wing trolls" there is a "bigger prize" than simply scoring some "retweets and Reddit upvotes." Today, being a troll with a pro-Trump political bent might earn you a "red-carpet visit to the White House." Roose, noted that, "It is ironic, of course, to complain about being persecuted from the cushy perch of a White House summit."
 

Stelter taking over here... Oliver, thank you for getting this edition of the newsletter started...
 

FOR THE RECORD, PART ONE

 -- A story that should be getting more attention IMHO: A State Department intelligence analyst "has resigned in protest after the White House blocked portions of his written testimony to a congressional panel to exclude data and evidence on climate change and its threat to national security, State Department officials said..." (WSJ)

 -- Robert Foster, a Republican running for governor in Mississippi who "denied a female reporter's request to accompany him on a campaign trip unless she brought along a male colleague" is defending his "moral stance" and "Christian beliefs" on Twitter, using the controversy to rally support for his campaign... (CNN, Twitter)

 -- No. 1 on Forbes' new list of "the world's highest-paid celebrities:" Taylor Swift with $185 million in earnings. Kylie Jenner comes in at No. 2 with $170 million. Two other notable names on the top 100 list: Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity... (Forbes)
 
 

New Jeffrey Epstein accuser comes forward


NBC's Savannah Guthrie landed an emotional interview with a new Epstein accuser, Jennifer Araoz, who said Epstein raped her when she was a teenager. Her account was sickening and, as CNN's Alanne Orjoux noted, "similar to the stories of other women who have come forward." Epstein's attorney has not responded to multiple calls requesting comment...
 

Multiple projects in the works...


"There's already a whole new crop of Jeffrey Epstein media in the pipeline," VF's Joe Pompeo reported Wednesday.

James Patterson and John Connolly's 2016 book "Filthy Rich" is "being adapted into a documentary series for Netflix. That's in addition to an Epstein documentary by filmmaker Barry Avrich that was already reported to be in the works. NBC's Dateline has recently been exploring an Epstein story as well, someone familiar with the reporting told me. Surely there will be additional Epstein books, and maybe even a podcast or two..."
 

Trump satisfied with Acosta's presser?


CNN.com's headline: "Alex Acosta defends role in Epstein sexual abuse scandal."

"For an hour on Wednesday afternoon," the NYT's James Poniewozik wrote, "cable news became the White House human resources office." The Labor Secretary "parried and deflected questions from journalists, in the process making the meta-argument that the Viewer-in-Chief should not cancel him."

The presser was panned on social media, but maybe it did the trick with Trump: Per CNN's Jim Acosta and Pamela Brown, the White House believes Acosta handled himself well at the news conference... A W.H. official said Trump remains supportive of Acosta and the posture in the W.H. is to fight the controversy...
 

Fox's framing


While prime time programs on CNN and MSNBC focused on Acosta, Sean Hannity went with his usual "media mob" framing. His show went with banners such as these: "Liberal media makes desperate attempt to link President Trump with Jeffrey Epstein" and "Liberal media on defense over Epstein charges."

Hannity praised Trump for kicking Epstein out of Mar a Lago and strongly hinted that Bill Clinton committed Epstein-like crimes, at one point noting that Monica Lewinsky was "young..." A little while later, when the 10pm shows on CNN and MSNBC led with Acosta's presser and Epstein's alleged actions, Laura Ingraham's show was all about "LIBERALS ENABLING LAWLESSNESS."
 
 

Ilhan Omar wants advertisers to shun Tucker's show 


On Twitter and in a Q&A with reporters on Wednesday, Ilhan Omar said Fox is giving a "nightly platform" to white supremacist rhetoric in the form of "Tucker Carlson Tonight." She repeated her assertion that Carlson is a "racist fool" -- reacting to his claims that she hates America and that immigrants like her "undermine" the country.

"Advertisers should not be underwriting hate speech," she tweeted.

One of her colleagues in Congress, Katie Hill, said Omar "deserves an apology" and "Tucker deserves to be fired." Fox delivered on neither of those things (of course)...
 

"Omar is trying to take this show off the air"


Omar's advertiser call-out gave Carlson an opening to say, on his Wednesday show, that she "is trying to take this show off the air. Shut us up. Silence us. We want to reassure you that's not going to happen. Why? Because we work at Fox News, and they've got our back, and we're thankful for that."

Carlson opened his show with a long anti-Omar commentary, summarizing his original point this way: "Americans like immigrants. But immigrants have got to like us back. That is essential. Otherwise, the country falls apart." He denied the charges of racism and said "we're against racism, adamantly..."

🔌 I'll have more about this on "CNN Tonight with Don Lemon" in the 11pm hour...


FOR THE RECORD, PART TWO

 -- "An immigration appeals panel has reopened the case of a detained Spanish-language reporter facing deportation after he was arrested while covering an immigration rally in Tennessee." Manuel Duran is from El Salvador... ICE "has said Duran was taken into custody because he had a pending deportation order from 2007 after failing to appear for a court hearing..." (AP)

 -- "Human rights lawyer Amal Clooney accused world leaders Wednesday of failing to protect journalists and decried their 'collective shrug' over the slaying of Saudi writer Jamal Khashoggi..." (AP)

 -- WaPo is out with a new "follow the money" story titled "in the aftermath of Khashoggi's killing, Saudi influence machine whirs on in Washington..." (WaPo)
 
 

New global media defense fund


Hadas Gold with some news from the Global Media Freedom Conference in London: "The United Kingdom and Canada are together giving more than $4 million to a new global media defense fund. The fund, which will be administered by UNESCO, will be used to support, train and provide legal help for journalists around the world." Details here...
 
 

Judge orders power company to respond to WSJ report "paragraph by paragraph"


Did you see the WSJ's big report on Wednesday morning? "PG&E Knew for Years Its Lines Could Spark Wildfires, and Didn't Fix Them."

Now the fallout: Later in the day a federal judge with oversight of the matter "ordered PG&E Corp. to respond, 'on a paragraph-by-paragraph basis,'" to the WSJ reporting, Katherine Blunt writes. Blunt co-bylined the original scoop. The judge says he wants a "fresh, forthright statement owning up to the true extent of the Wall Street Journal report" by July 31...

 >> PG&E's main statement right now: "Although we don't agree with or support the Journal's conclusions, we have acknowledged that the devastation of the 2017 and 2018 wildfires made clear that we must do more to combat the threat of wildfires and extreme weather while hardening our systems."
 
 

CBS/Viacom merger talks are "active"


"I never talk," CBS and Viacom vice chair Shari Redstone told FOX Business' Lydia Moynihan on the sidelines of this week's Allen & Co conference in Sun Valley.

"Now, as Shari is hobnobbing with the moguls in Sun Valley, the new CBS acting chief Joe Ianniello and Viacom CEO Robert Bakish are actively engaged in merger negotiations back in New York," Moynihan and Charlie Gasparino wrote Wednesday. "No announcements are expected this week on the deal, but the progress in the talks is said to be real: Management is engaged in discussions on deal price and the management structure of the new company."

 --> Don Day writes about the local impact of the Allen & Co conference: Annual spotlight on Sun Valley helps Idaho's economy in ways large and small..." (Boise Dev)
 
 

NYT Sports' Special section


Print readers will notice a special Sports section in the Times on Thursday morning... Normally Sports only has its own section on Sundays and Mondays... But this edition is a keepsake-worthy look at the Women's World Cup victory and Wednesday's parade in NYC...


Watching VidCon


Kaya Yurieff emails from L.A.: VidCon is officially underway. Now in its tenth year, this is the largest gathering for online video creators, bringing together Internet celebrities like YouTube stars, their fans, and industry execs from all the top social media platforms. This year is TikTok's first time in attendance, and a few of their top creators will be here too.

I'm on the ground searching for screaming teen fans, internet famous animals such as Nala the Cat (4.1 million Instagram followers), and people taking photos in front of social media friendly backdrops (Invisalign, yes as in the teeth brand, has a big rainbow slide, and Giphy has a station at which you can turn yourself into a custom GIF). I'm expecting lots of presentations about monetization and how creators can earn money beyond YouTube ads. YouTube's Chief Product Officer Neal Mohan is giving the keynote on Thursday afternoon...
 

FOR THE RECORD, PART THREE

 -- "Fox News chief national correspondent Ed Henry and his sister, Colleen, are making good progress in their recoveries after liver donation surgeries, their family said Wednesday..." (Fox)

 -- A day in the life of "Nightly News" exec producer Jenn Suozzo, via her alma mater's magazine... "The former dancer says she directs each episode as if it were a ballet..." (UConn)

 -- And speaking of the "Nightly News," Lester Holt will receive the 2019 Walter Cronkite Award for Excellence in Journalism from ASU this fall... (AP)
 


On this week's "Reliable" podcast: The Florida Climate Reporting Network


Some of Florida's biggest news outlets are banding together to form the Florida Climate Reporting Network. Have you heard about it yet? On Wednesday I spoke with two of the editors spearheading the new collaboration: Mark Katches, executive editor of the Tampa Bay Times, and Julie Anderson, EIC of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel and the Orlando Sentinel.

Alex Harris of the Miami Herald also joined us and spoke about her experience as the only full-time climate change reporter among the six participating newsrooms in the network. "People keep saying we're ground zero down here" in Florida, she said, so "we should kind of act like it right?"

Katches and Anderson said other newsrooms are inquiring about joining, and they're working on making the network more formalized. Details to come. 🎧 Listen to our conversation via Apple Podcasts, TuneIn, Stitcher, or your preferred app...
 

NatGeo Society to "add its network" of journalists to local newsrooms covering climate


Katie Pellico writes: Two new reporting collaborations were announced Wednesday that will bring National Geographic Society's illustrious resources to more than 10 local newsrooms covering the Delaware River Watershed and the Ohio Watershed, according to this report from Poynter's Kristen Hare. Hare explains that the two projects, "part of a $650,000 project from The Lenfest Institute, The National Geographic Society and the William Penn Foundation," will link NatGeo's "network of visual journalists, technologists and scientific experts" with ongoing local reporting...

 >> The Philadelphia Inquirer published the first installment from the Delaware River Watershed project Wednesday, though it officially launches in the fall...
 

FOR THE RECORD, PART FOUR

 -- NiemanLab's Christine Schmidt checked in on CALmatters. Four years after its launch as a "policy-focused reporting machine for California," Schmidt says it is "growing out of its startup stage..." (NiemanLab)

 -- Related: "The News Project's publishing platform goes live with its first customer, CALmatters..." (TechCrunch)

 -- As first reported by The Information, WarnerMedia ad sales chief Donna Speciale is leaving the company... Two of her top deputies, Dan Riess and Frank Sgrizzi, are also exiting... (AdWeek)

 -- Gerhard Zeiler says he will "lead ad sales as interim president, working with a three-person operational team" -- Amit Chaturvedi, Katrina Cukaj and Joe Hogan... (Variety)

 -- "Disney Television Studios has named Jonnie Davis president of ABC Studios, amid a restructuring in the wake of the Disney-Fox merger that has resulted in the displacement of current head Patrick Moran and ABC Studios EVP Howard Davine..." (Variety)
 
 

David Beckham sets up a content studio


"David Beckham, one of the world's most famous soccer players, is now making a run at Hollywood," Todd Spangler reported Wednesday. "Beckham's newly formed Studio 99 content studio will develop documentaries, TV shows and other formats, and also will undertake commercial work as a creative agency for brand partners." Some of the documentaries are already in the works. One of them will be co-produced with Uninterrupted, the company co-founded by LeBron James and business partner Maverick Carter. WME is representing Beckham... "The agency, along with Beckham and his business team, have held conversations with global streaming platforms and media partners about Studio 99's initial development slate and potential co-productions..."
 
 

Holzhauer will be back in November...


"James Holzhauer, whose lucrative two-month run as Jeopardy! champion goosed the veteran game show's ratings in the spring, will face off against Emma Boettcher — the woman who ended his streak — and 13 others in its annual Tournament of Champions," Deadline's Erik Pedersen writes. The 10-day event "airs November 4-15 in syndication..."
 

New CNN podcast: "Lisa, Sandra and Kristen Go to the Movies"


Episode one is out now! Lisa France, Sandra Gonzalez and Kristen Meinzer are sitting down with actors, directors, screenwriters, costume designers for discussions about movie moments from throughout the decades. The podcast is pegged to CNN's new TV series "The Movies," which is airing Sundays at 9pm this summer...

 >> On episode one, the trio speaks with Ruth Carter about dressing Wakanda's royal family...
 

FOR THE RECORD, PART FIVE

By Lisa Respers France:

 -- Aziz Ansari addressed the misconduct allegation against him in his new Netflix special...

 -- Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul kind of played us about 'Breaking Bad,' yo...

 -- Supporters are demanding rapper A$AP Rocky's release...
 


Low ratings for "Love Island" premiere


Brian Lowry emails: "Love Island" didn't get much love Nielsen-wise, premiering to a let's-just-be-friends 2.7 million viewers. CBS notes the show generated buzz on Twitter, but unless that translates to a bigger audience, with the show (based on a UK format) scheduled to play five nights a week, it could be a long month...
 
 

The power of "Friends"


Megan Thomas emails: This, by Michael Schulman for the New Yorker, is one of the best stories I've read about the ongoing fascination with "Friends." Title: "The revealing reasons people visit the 'Friends' building."

Key quote: "Loneliness is a massive problem in big cities. So, I mean, maybe you feel like they are your friends, as well, which is really sad to say..."
 
Thank you for reading! Email me feedback anytime. See you tomorrow...
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Champagne, confetti and a demand for equal pay

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 05:01 PM PDT

TicToc Tonight
Bloomberg

Greetings, TicToc readers! Wednesday's almost over. Here's what's happening: 

  • Alex Acosta defends Epstein plea deal
  • Support for legal abortion hits new high
  • Where you should retire, if you ever can

But first...

USWNT fans rally for equal pay

New York City welcomed back the World Cup-winning- U.S. Women's National Team with a rowdy ticker-tape parade Wednesday. Adoring fans packed Lower Manhattan's Canyon of Heros where chants of "equal pay" became the rallying cry of the day. During the festivities, U.S. Soccer Federation President Carlos Cordeiro said "all female athletes" deserve to be fairly compensated, and New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo signed legislation that expands the state's equal pay laws to "prohibit unequal pay on the basis of a protected class for all substantially similar work." 

Headlines from around the world

Alex Acosta refused to resign as Labor Secretary but defended his handling of a plea deal for Jeffrey Epstein when he was a U.S. attorney.

Kim Darroch resigned as U.K. ambassador to the U.S. after tensions with the White House escalated over his leaked comments critical of Trump.

A migrant mother, whose daughter died after being detained by ICE, gave emotional testimony during a "Kids in Cages" hearing.

The National Hurricane Center issued a warning for Tropical Storm Barry in the Gulf of Mexico that's expected to strengthen as it approaches land.

Angela Merkel was seen visibly shaking in public for the third time in a month. She later said she was "very well" and there's "no need to worry."

Data of the day

If you ever get to retire... Nebraska is the best place to hang your hat, a new study said, because of its high marks in affordability and wellness. Maryland ranked last. 

Lean back and watch

Support for abortion reached a 24-year high. 60% of Americans think it should be legal in most cases, as more states enact bans.

Severe droughts are forcing doctors to buy water. Hospitals in India spend hundreds of dollars per day on clean water for operations.  

Southeast Asia is fed up with receiving western trash. Indonesia returned 57 containers of waste to the U.S., Australia, France, Germany.

This'll only take a minute

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Don't miss this

"We lost an engine." A Delta flight was forced to make an emergency landing when one of the plane's engines failed

Press freedom under Trump. In a fiery speech, Amal Clooney blasted Trump for making journalists more vulnerable to abuse. 

No goats were harmed. Washington wildlife officials are airlifting mountain goats to the Cascades to boost native populations.

Before you go

In praise of her "badass" team. Megan Rapinoe celebrated the "pink hair, tattoos, dreadlocks, white girls, black girls, straight girls, gay girls, and everything in between" at the NYC parade.

Thanks for reading! Watch your inbox for our next newsletter tomorrow. Until then, share TicToc Tonight with your friends! 
-Andrew Mach

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Learn What’s Next In The Jeffery Epstein Case

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 04:12 PM PDT

Learn What’s NEXT In The Jeffery Epstein Case With Roger Stone

Find out what's in store for the well-connected sex offender.

The Alex Jones Show | Infowars.com

Exclusive Video: Tommy Robinson's Final Interview Before Prison

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French Court Awards Compensation to Paris Massacre Terrorist

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Ben Garrison Disinvited from White House Summit Over Soros Cartoon

Adan Salazar | Infowars.com

UPDATE: Facebook Deletes Policy Allowing Violent Threats Against "Dangerous Individuals"

Paul Joseph Watson | Infowars.com

Smithsonian Considers Illegal Immigrant "Art" Commissioned By SJW Org

Adan Salazar | Infowars.com

Video: 1,000 Google Employees Signed Petition To Target Breitbart As "Prohibited Content"

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Police State: Philadelphia Using "Sonic Weapon" To Keep Kids Out Of Parks

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Watch Antifa Defend The Assault of Journalist Andy Ngo

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Leftists Attack PewDiePie For Being Mean to Migrants During Border Control Game

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REPORT: Dems Call For Silencing, Confronting, Prosecuting Political Opponents, Then Facebook Allows Death Threats

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S&P 3000

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 03:05 PM PDT

Evening Briefing
Bloomberg

The S&P 500 topped 3,000 Wednesday for the first time as Wall Street became more certain that the Fed would cut interest rates this month, a move U.S. President Donald Trump has repeatedly demanded. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, testifying before Congress, said bad news from around the world outweighed good news at home. But when asked what he would say if Trump told him to pack up and leave, Powell answered that he would tell him "no." —David E. Rovella

Here are today's top stories

Embattled Secretary of Labor Alex Acosta, a former prosecutor, sought to defuse calls for his resignation over a 2007 plea deal offered to fund manager Jeffrey Epstein, who now faces sex trafficking charges in New York. At a press conference, Acosta didn't directly answer a question about whether Epstein got a better deal due to his wealth or influence. 

When Walmart paid $16 billion for control of India's e-commerce pioneer Flipkart last year, the American retail giant got a little-noticed digital payments subsidiary as part of the deal. Now the business is emerging as one of the country's top startups.

A unanimous ruling by three Republican-appointed federal judges handed Trump another victory in his effort to fight off claims that he is violating the Constitution because his businesses receive payments from foreign governments.

Federal agencies have five weeks to rip out Chinese-made surveillance cameras in order to comply with a ban imposed by Congress. But thousands of the devices are still in place and chances are most won't be removed before the deadline.

There's at least one thing Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Trump adviser Larry Kudlow agree on.

Buying a house on the water? By the time your 30-year mortgage expires, you could be facing as many as 135 days of high-tide flooding, depending on where you live.

What's Joe Weisenthal thinking about? The Bloomberg news director says that it seems like every day we're greeted with some new, odd fact from the world of bonds, whether it's emerging markets floating century bonds, Italy seeing massive demand for 50-year paper or yields on European junk debt going into negative territory.

What you'll need to know tomorrow

What you'll want to read tonight

U.S. Homebuyer Bidding Wars Are Fading Fast

Here's how rapidly the U.S. housing market has cooled: Buyers are now about four times less likely to face a bidding war than they were just a year ago. In June, 12% of them faced competition compared with 52% a year earlier. While San Francisco is the most competitive market, the share of listings that got multiple offers fell to 28% from 65%.

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Bombardier layoffs spark blame game between federal Liberals and Ontario Tories

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 02:05 PM PDT

Meghan Markle and Kate Middleton bring their kids (including Louis and Archie!) to polo match

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 01:59 PM PDT

If you are having trouble viewing this email click here
PeoplePeople Daily
7/10/19
 
The special event marks the royal cousins' first public playdate together
 
FAMILY BONDING
Meghan Markle and Kate Middleton Bring Their Kids (Including Louis and Archie!) to Polo Match
 
The special event marks the royal cousins' first public playdate together
 
 
<p>From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to</p>
 
STAR TRACKS
Donald Glover Debuts The Lion King in L.A., Plus Prince Charles, Alex Rodriguez & More
 
From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to
 
 
 
Matt Lauer wed Annette Roque, a Dutch model, in 1998 after meeting on a blind date
 
CELEB SPLITS
Matt Lauer's Wife Annette Officially Files for Divorce After 20 Years of Marriage
 
Matt Lauer wed Annette Roque, a Dutch model, in 1998 after meeting on a blind date
 
 
 
Alexandra Medina is the third American woman to die from plastic surgery in the country this month
 
TRAGIC LOSS
NY Mom Dies in Dominican Republic After Going for Cheap Plastic Surgery Against Family's Wishes
 
Alexandra Medina is the third American woman to die from plastic surgery in the country this month
 
 
Libby and Victor Boyce call the pain of losing their son "indescribable"
 
MOURNING THEIR SON
Disney Actor Cameron Boyce's Parents Speak Out About His Tragic Death: 'He Is Our Shooting Star'
 
Libby and Victor Boyce call the pain of losing their son "indescribable"
 
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Matt Lauer's wife Annette officially files for divorce after 20 years of marriage

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 01:57 PM PDT

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7/10/19
 
Matt Lauer wed Annette Roque, a Dutch model, in 1998 after meeting on a blind date
 
IT'S OVER
Matt Lauer's Wife Annette Officially Files for Divorce After 20 Years of Marriage
 
Matt Lauer wed Annette Roque, a Dutch model, in 1998 after meeting on a blind date
 
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Brexiteers sacrifice ambassador, dignity to Trump

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 01:52 PM PDT

Bloomberg Opinion Today
Bloomberg

Today's Agenda

Anarchy in the U.K.

Kim Darroch was just doing his job.

The now-former British ambassador to the U.S. told his bosses, in what he assumed was secrecy, that President Donald Trump and his administration are "dysfunctional," "inept," "incompetent" and "insecure." His candid assessment is shared by many other diplomats and sentient humanoids around the world, including White House staff, as Bloomberg's editorial board notes. But it was leaked, embarrassing Darroch and triggering Trump to have a Twitter fit. That led to Darroch's exit and put another dent in the U.S.-U.K. "special relationship."

The episode sends a message to current and future employees of the British government, writes Therese Raphael: Play along with Brexit and its key U.S. supporter, Trump, or get shoved under a red double-decker bus. The leaking of Darroch's memos played all too well into the hands of Brexiteers, who considered him euro-friendly. And chief Brexiteer and future Prime Minister Boris Johnson took Trump's side in the spat. But this also exposes just how a Brexited U.K., far from taking its fate into its own hands, must bow and scrape before Trump in order to survive alone in a harsh world.

Try telling that to Johnson and other Brexit die-hards, though. In their delusions of grandeur, they have one very bad thing in common with their former colony India, writes Pankaj Mishra: Both are sleep-walking toward self-destruction, led by demagogues who refuse to face the truth. 

Further British Reading: The U.K. economy had a decent quarter, but don't be fooled; it's still weak, and a no-deal Brexit will make it far weaker. – Ferdinando Giugliano 

RIP Fed Rate-Hike Campaign, 2015-18

In congressional testimony today, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he wouldn't quit even if Trump pushed him. But he also made Trump, and financial markets, very happy by all but hand-engraving a promise to cut interest rates later this month, writes Brian Chappatta. This is what markets expected and what Trump has demanded. Now the two big questions are whether the Fed can stop at just one rate cut, and how it can maintain political independence in such an environment.

Powell's words sent stocks to new record highs and sank bond yields. This will only make the market even thirstier for sweet, sweet yield. The latest example is a 48-year Italian bond yielding less than 3%, writes Marcus Ashworth. Fingers crossed on getting paid back, or finding a better deal. On the other hand, a recent string of meh Treasury auctions suggests appetite for U.S. debt does have limits, notes Robert Burgess. Good thing the government doesn't need to borrow much. Oh, wait ...

Further Economic Apocalypse Reading: Singapore investment giant Temasek Holdings has "secular stagnation" back on its radar, which should worry investors everywhere. – Andy Mukherjee 

Too Many Streaming Cooks

So Netflix Inc. is losing "Friends" to HBO Max, a new streaming service run by AT&T Inc., which might cost you $17 a month. Netflix will also eventually lose "The Office" to NBCUniversal's new streaming service, owned by Comcast Corp., which will cost some additional amount of money per month. Netflix continues to charge $13 a month for what's still on its roster, including "Stranger Things." Meanwhile Walt Disney Co. is launching a Disney+ streaming service that will cost another $7 a month. And these are just the biggest services we could reasonably fit into this paragraph. Are you not entertained and/or confused and/or broke? Tara Lachapelle suggests this foolishness will strain the patience and loyalty of consumers who simply want a) content and b) value.

"Wouldn't it be great if there were a way to just package all these services together in a single monthly subscription?" Tara asks. "We could call it Cable Max."

Further Musical Chairs Reading: Somehow Dish Network Corp.'s Charlie Ergen has put himself in a position to make or break the T-Mobile-Sprint deal and win no matter what happens. – Tara Lachapelle 

Telltale Charts

A wealth tax might produce disappointing revenue if the rich aren't as wealthy as we think, writes Noah Smith. But it's still worth trying. 

Investors who showered frackers with easy money haven't got much to show for it, writes Liam Denning. Maybe that's why the shower is ending.

Further Reading

After its painful restructuring, the new Deutsche Bank AG may be safer and better-capitalized, something other European banks should emulate. – Bloomberg's editorial board 

Trump winning his lawsuit against Obamacare would be disastrous for Republicans, who have no plan for the chaos that would surely follow. – Ramesh Ponnuru 

Trump should be able to block people on Twitter; a social media feed is a corporate property, not a public space. – Noah Feldman 

The resignation of Mexico's finance minister suggests investors were right to worry about Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador's leadership. – John Authers 

It will take patience, but Africa and the West must ensure Sudan's long transition to democracy actually happens. – Bobby Ghosh 

An NHS team-up with Amazon.com Inc.'s Alexa won't help the service or patients much; but it will help Amazon. – Lionel Laurent 

Wind power is cheaper than ever; the problem is getting it to where it's needed. – Peter Orszag 

ICYMI

Labor Secretary Alex Acosta refused to resign.

Jeffrey Epstein joins "El Chapo" and Paul Manafort in jail. 

The Winklevi have thoughts on Facebook Inc.'s new currency.

Kickers

Humans may have arrived in Europe much earlier than we thought. (h/t Scott Kominers)

Area fish eats area shark. (h/t James Greiff)

There may be a link between anxiety and allergies.

For a long time, Americans were so bored they wrecked trains for fun.

Note: Please send sharks and complaints to Mark Gongloff at mgongloff1@bloomberg.net.

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خلاصة بصراحة - الخميس 11 تموز/يوليو 2019

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 01:30 PM PDT

The Washington Institute







Fikra Newsletter: UAE Drawdown in Yemen, Corruption in Algeria, Minority Languages in Iran, Populism in Kurdistan

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 01:20 PM PDT

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Senior Fellow Michael Knights outlines the potential repercussions of the UAE's drawdown in Yemen. Based on personal observation of UAE forces, Knights contends that the UAE served as an effective stabilization force,and that their withdrawal is likely to endanger ongoing UN negotiations and the fragile stability of southern Yemen.

Algerian journalist Ahmed Marwane argues that the recent anti-corruption efforts in Algeria are necessary but selective effort to crack down on endemic corruption linked to the Bouteflika era. He emphasizes that without an independently elected government, Algerians will continue to suspect that anti-corruption efforts are merely a political tool for the current government.

Ahwazi Arab activist Rahim Hamid describes the discriminatory elements of the recent announcement by Iran's Ministry of Education to test Persian proficiency at the preschool level. Hamid claims that this initiative will target non-Persian ethnic minorities in Iran and link them with the Ministry's efforts to identify disability in schoolchildren.

Kurdish student Mera Jasm Bakr suggests that Gorran's role in the developing coalition government of the KRG signals the decline of populist rhetoric in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq. He argues that opposition parties must learn to make more circumspect promises in their rhetoric and focus on working with the KRG's major parties in order to develop effective reforms.


As always, we welcome your feedback and participation. Please write to us at editor@fikraforum.org.

Warm regards,

David Pollock
Director, Fikra Forum

 

يبرز مايكل نايتس، زميل برنامج "ليفر"، الخطوط العريضة للتداعيات المحتملة للانسحاب الإماراتي من اليمن. فبناءً على المتابعة الشخصية لقوات دولة الإمارات العربية المتحدة، يرى نايتس أن الإمارات العربية كانت بمثابة قوة فعالة لتحقيق الاستقرار، وأن انسحابها من المرجح أن يعرض مفاوضات الأمم المتحدة حول الاستقرار الهش في جنوب اليمن للخطر.

يرى الصحفي الجزائري أحمد مروانى أن الجهود الأخيرة لمكافحة الفساد في الجزائر والتي تهدف إلى القضاء على الفساد المستشري والمرتبط بحقبة بوتفليقة كانت ضرورية، لكنها انتقائية. كما يؤكد أنه بدون وجود حكومة منتخبة بشكل مستقل، فإن الجزائريين سوف يستمرون في الشك في أن جهود مكافحة الفساد ما هي إلا مجرد أداة سياسية للحكومة الحالية.

يصف الناشط العربي الأحوازي رحيم حميد العناصر التمييزية للإعلان الأخير الصادر عن وزارة التعليم الإيرانية لاختبار الجدارة والكفاءة في اللغة الفارسية في مرحلة ما قبل المدرسة، والتي تضمنت قانون يستهدف الأقليات العرقية غير الفارسية في إيران ويربطها بجهود الوزارة لتحديد الإعاقة بين طلاب المدارس.

ترى الطالبة الكردية ميرا جاسم بكر إلى أن دور كوران في تشكيل الحكومة الائتلافية فى إقليم كردستان، يشير إلى تراجع الخطاب الشعبي في إقليم كردستان العراق. وفى هذا الصدد، ترى بكر أن أحزاب المعارضة يجب أن تتعلم كيفية تقديم وعود أكثر حذراً في خطابها، مع التركيز على العمل مع الأحزاب الرئيسية لحكومة إقليم كردستان من أجل تطوير إصلاحات فعالة.

وكما هو الحال دائماً، نشجع مشاركاتكم في هذه النقاشات المستمرة. يرجى الكتابة لنا على البريد الألكتروني editor@fikraforum.org.

تحيات حارة،

ديفيد بولوك
مدير، منتدى فكرة

 

 

"Miss Me Yet?" What the UAE Drawdown Means For the United States and UN in Yemen
Michael Knights
  "هل بدأتم تفتقدوني بعد؟" تداعيات خفض الإمارات العربية المتحدة لعديدها في ما يخص الولايات المتحدة والأمم المتحدة في اليمن
مايكل نايتس

The Uncertain Future of Algeria's Anti-Corruption Battles
Ahmed Marwane
  مكافحة الفساد في الجزائر ترحيب بتوجس
أحمد مرواني

How Iran's New Education Proposal Silences and Criminalizes Non-Persian Languages
Rahim Hamid
  النظام التعليمي الجديد في إيران: تكميمٌ للأفواه وإدانةٌ للغات غير الفارسية
رحيم حميد

Gorran and the End of Populism in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq
Jasm Bakr
  "كوران" ونهاية الشعبوية في إقليم كردستان العراق
ميرا جاسم بكر


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Posted: 10 Jul 2019 12:59 PM PDT

NEWS ALERT: House Democrats delete tweets showing Obama-era photo of migrant detention facility

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 12:27 PM PDT

NEWS ALERT: House Democrats delete tweets showing Obama-era photo of migrant detention facility
The Democratic-led House Oversight and Reform Committee deleted tweets this week that used Obama-era photos of border detention facilities in an effort to slam President ...
  NEWS ALERT  
Wednesday, July 10, 2019 3:20 PM EDT
 
NEWS ALERT

House Democrats delete tweets showing Obama-era photo of migrant detention facility

The Democratic-led House Oversight and Reform Committee deleted tweets this week that used Obama-era photos of border detention facilities in an effort to slam President Trump's treatment of illegal immigrants.

Read More >

 
 
 
 
 

 
 
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BREAKING NEWS: Acosta says 'facts are being overlooked' in how he handled Epstein's plea deal

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 11:52 AM PDT

Labor Secretary Alex Acosta vigorously defended his handling of a 2008 plea deal with billionaire Jeffrey Epstein, saying "facts are being overlooked" as critics question whether he was too lenient as Epstein faced allegations he sexually abused underage girls.

In a news conference, the embattled official said he welcomed new charges against Epstein from New York prosecutors and said abuse victims' statements are handled differently now.

Read more: https://politi.co/2JqRxE3

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Posted: 10 Jul 2019 11:41 AM PDT

Celebrate freedom in the Colorado Rockies this weekend

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 11:32 AM PDT

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NEWS ALERT: Conn. hockey coach tells team to respect national anthem or 'get the f--- out'

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 10:51 AM PDT

NEWS ALERT: Conn. hockey coach tells team to respect national anthem or 'get the f--- out'
A video showing a Connecticut minor league hockey coach telling his team to respect the national anthem or "grab your gear and get the f---k ...
  NEWS ALERT  
Wednesday, July 10, 2019 1:44 PM EDT
 
NEWS ALERT

Conn. hockey coach tells team to respect national anthem or 'get the f– out'

A video showing a Connecticut minor league hockey coach telling his team to respect the national anthem or "grab your gear and get the f---k out" has gone viral.

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Most Social: Trump takes to Twitter to support Home Depot: 'Fight for Bernie Marcus and Home Depot!'

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 10:01 AM PDT

President Donald Trump took to Twitter Tuesday night in support of Home Depot after social media calls to boycott the home improvement retailer. ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌  ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ ‌ 
usatoday.com

Most Social
 
Wednesday, July 10
19. The Home Depot &nbsp; &nbsp; &bull; Pct. of total US retail foot traffic:  0.36% &nbsp; &nbsp; &bull; Pct. of hardware & services visitors in April:  25.58% &nbsp; &nbsp; &bull; No. of U.S. stores:  1,981 &nbsp; &nbsp; &bull; Annual revenue:  $108.2 billion &nbsp; &nbsp; The Home Depot reported an $8 billion revenue growth last year. Its net earnings also   increased by nearly 30% to $11.1 billion. Home Depot is also outperforming its biggest competitor in foot traffic, as a larger share of consumers in the category visit the hardware store chain than Lowe's. Some analysts attribute Home Depot's outperformance to better store locations and its ability to attract more professionals. &nbsp; &nbsp; ALSO READ: Retailers Closing the Most Stores in 2019
Trump responds to calls for Home Depot boycott
President Donald Trump took to Twitter Tuesday night in support of Home Depot after social media calls to boycott the home improvement retailer.
Metal drinking straw fatally impales woman
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BREAKING NEWS: Pelosi scolds progressives in closed-door meeting

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 09:28 AM PDT

Speaker Nancy Pelosi chided progressives in a closed-door meeting, calling on them to address their intra-party grievances privately rather than blasting their centrist colleagues on Twitter.

"So, again, you got a complaint? You come and talk to me about it," Pelosi told Democrats, according to a source in the room. "But do not tweet about our members and expect us to think that that is just ok."

Pelosi's comments came during the first full caucus meeting since a major blow up over emergency border funding last month between progressive and moderate lawmakers as well as a recent spat with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) and her freshman allies.

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Awign | Part time internships all over India

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 09:15 AM PDT

Facebook Allows Death Threats Against Paul Joseph Watson!

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 09:21 AM PDT

Tune into the Live Show

Alex Jones here!

Social media giant Facebook has once again surpassed Orwellian forecasts! This time, they are saying it’s acceptable to post death threats against reporter Paul Joseph Watson because he’s a “dangerous” individual! Earlier this year, Facebook censored any content that mentioned me, Alex Jones, unless it explicitly condemned me! When will the leaders on the right understand this is just the beginning! Don’t miss this urgent Wednesday LIVE BROADCAST to hear the latest on this as it develops! Also, tune in if your worried about the tropical storm heading towards the southern US!

Don’t miss today’s LIVE BROADCAST that also includes election expert Roger Stone!

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Tell your friends and family to tune into infowars.com/show to watch today's broadcast and beat the Big Tech censors! As Infowars faces unprecedented censorship, it's more important than ever that you spread this link.

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Posted: 10 Jul 2019 08:28 AM PDT

There’s a Deal to Be Had With Iran (Ross | Atlantic)

Posted: 10 Jul 2019 08:15 AM PDT

THERE'S A DEAL TO BE HAD BETWEEN THE U.S. AND IRAN
by Dennis Ross

Atlantic
July 10, 2019

If Tehran agrees to extend the JCPOA's sunset provisions and curtail its activity in Syria and Lebanon, Washington may be willing to lift the nuclear sanctions and create a special-purpose vehicle.

READ THIS ARTICLE ON OUR WEBSITE


Iran is now incrementally walking away from the limits imposed on it in the nuclear deal—the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA—exceeding the 300 kilograms of low enriched uranium it can have on hand and now enriching above the 3.67 percent allowed under the terms of the understanding. Don’t be surprised if it either starts to install its advanced centrifuges or begins to operate more than the 5,061 older centrifuges it is permitted for enrichment. Iran is not racing to produce weapons-grade material, but make no mistake, it is shrinking the time it will need to have a breakout capability.

The Trump administration’s decision to end the waivers it had given eight countries to continue to buy Iranian oil, in late April, put the Iranians in a real bind. The country’s oil exports plummeted from roughly a million barrels a day to roughly 300,000. The resulting loss of revenue added dramatically to the already significant economic pressures caused by the American reimposition of sanctions—and the reality that multinational corporations felt the need to respect the sanctions lest they lose the ability to do business in the United States or get financing from American banks.

Iran is now answering the Trump administration’s “maximum pressure” policy by placing maximum pressure on Donald Trump. Reducing its breakout time—and emphasizing the Trump administration’s inability to restrain it—is one way that Iran is raising the pressure. Tehran is also ramping up its threatening actions in the region. Saudi civilian airfields, oil pipelines, and petroleum pumping stations are being targeted every few days by the Houthis from Yemen with Iranian-provided drones and missiles; six ships on two different occasions have been sabotaged with limpet mines south of the Strait of Hormuz; bases in Iraq where American forces are located have been hit by rockets fired by Shia militias armed and trained by the Iranians; Israeli security officials tell me that Islamic jihad—likewise supported by Iran—is trying hard to provoke a conflict with Israel in Gaza; and, of course, an American drone was shot down by the Iranians.

A week before the White House decision on the waivers, the State Department was informing countries that they would be continued. The State Department favored keeping the waivers because it understood it was getting the best of both worlds: Iran was under pressure, with its economy reeling, and yet the Iranians were abiding by their obligations in the JCPOA—something that relieved the administration of figuring out what to do if the Iranians actually walked away and began to reduce their breakout time.

Rescinding the waivers persuaded the Iranians that they must show Trump, the Europeans, and our friends in the region that they, too, could impose a price and were not simply going to acquiesce to U.S. pressure. Ali Khamenei, Iran’s supreme leader, in a speech on May 29, declared that the U.S. was trying to pressure the Islamic Republic to return to the negotiating table in a weakened condition. He said that would not happen; instead, he said, Iran would apply its “leverage”—and it is clearly doing so.

Each side seems to be operating on the assumption that mounting pressure will force the other side to blink. The danger, of course, is a miscalculation that produces a conflict even if neither side wants it. Assuming conflict can be avoided, Iran’s president, foreign minister, and deputy foreign minister are saying they will reverse their breaches of the JCPOA if the U.S. comes back to the deal or the Europeans deliver economic benefits. Neither prospect seems likely—and yet, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has agreed to consider French President Emmanuel Macron’s call for negotiations.

Can the Europeans successfully mediate between the Iranians and Trump? They might start by brokering an understanding in which the Iranians come back into compliance and help de-escalate in the region in return for the Trump administration reconstituting the waivers rescinded in April.

The Trump administration has no real answer to Iranian maximum pressure and clearly does not want conflict. That might be enough to persuade Trump to accept such an understanding. In Japan, Trump conveyed his basic instinct on Iran, saying he was not interested in regime change, just “no nukes.” Trump’s only real criterion is doing better than Barack Obama, and that probably means extending the sunset provision on the limits on Iranian enrichment for another 10 to 15 years, out to 2040 or 2045. But the Iranians won’t make such a concession for nothing; they would likely demand the end not just of the sanctions imposed to constrict Iran’s nuclear activity, but of the broader array of sanctions.

American sanctions imposed on Iran as a result of its support for terror and its violations of human rights cannot and should not be lifted, given Iran’s ongoing acts and policies. Moreover, JCPOA 2.0 is likely to be no more sustainable than its first version if Iran does not change its behavior in the region. No grand bargain, magically overcoming all U.S.-Iranian differences, lies within the realm of possibility.

There is, however, a realistic and achievable compromise to be had. Iran could agree to an extension of the sunset provisions for 10 to 15 years, as well as to limit rockets, missiles, and military infrastructure in Syria and Lebanon, reducing the prospect of a wider regional war between Israel and Iran. In return, the U.S. would lift the nuclear sanctions and create a special-purpose vehicle, which would allow American and international firms to do business in Iran so long as they complied with a strict set of rules. It wouldn’t offer everything either side wants, but it would produce more for each side than the current impasse.

For now, however, Iran appears to prefer to escalate the pressure it is applying to the U.S. Unless the supreme leader comes to fear that the U.S. will act militarily or that economic pressures are placing domestic peace at risk, he is unlikely to accept a deal anytime soon. And that, ironically, means the risk of a conflict that neither side actually wants remains high—high enough to motivate the Europeans to do all they can to persuade each side to de-escalate and broker a new understanding.

Dennis Ross is the counselor and William Davidson Distinguished Fellow at The Washington Institute.



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