| BREAKING NEWS: Record number of women elected to serve in next Congress Posted: 06 Nov 2018 10:38 PM PST A surge of female candidates produced a record-breaking number of women elected to serve in the next Congress, shattering the prior record of 107 currently at the Capitol. While races are still being called, 103 women have won election or reelection across the country so far. They join 10 women in the Senate who weren't up for reelection this year. Read more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Republican state Attorney General Josh Hawley defeated Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill in Missouri on Tuesday, flipping one of the nation's most important Senate races to the GOP. Read more here.
- After a long and divisive race, Republican Ron DeSantis defeated Democrat Andrew Gillum Tuesday night to become Florida's first new governor since 2010. DeSantis is a new face in the governor's mansion, but he campaigned on many of the same policies that have defined Florida's GOP-dominated state government in recent years. See more here.
- Democrats are projected to capture the House majority after a suburban rebuke of President Donald Trump, ending eight years of Republican control of the chamber. Read more here.
- Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column. The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Read more here.
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| Christmas is cancelled for doctors and nurses Posted: 06 Nov 2018 10:34 PM PST | | | | Wednesday 7 November 2018 | | | | |  | | | Christmas is cancelled for doctors and nurses Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has warned all hospital workers - including consultants, nurses and back-up staff - must work "at full whack" over the Christmas and new year period to avoid the worst ever trolley crisis. | | | | | |  | | What to wear to a winter wedding - five key trends Karen Birney Dressing for a winter wedding is in no way the most straight-forward sartorial situation, but there are plenty of ways and means to look super chic for your mate's big day - without compromising on your cosiness! | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | ABOUT THIS EMAIL | | | This email is from Independent.ie part of Independent News & Media PLC. | You received this email because you have signed up for the Independent.ie Daily Digest Newsletter.
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| BREAKING NEWS: Josh Hawley defeats Claire McCaskill in Missouri Posted: 06 Nov 2018 08:54 PM PST Republican state Attorney General Josh Hawley defeated Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill in Missouri on Tuesday, flipping one of the nation's most important Senate races to the GOP. Hawley had 53 percent of the vote to McCaskill's 44 percent with 83 percent of precincts reporting when McCaskill conceded the race. Read more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- After a long and divisive race, Republican Ron DeSantis defeated Democrat Andrew Gillum Tuesday night to become Florida's first new governor since 2010. DeSantis is a new face in the governor's mansion, but he campaigned on many of the same policies that have defined Florida's GOP-dominated state government in recent years. See more here.
- Democrats are projected to capture the House majority after a suburban rebuke of President Donald Trump, ending eight years of Republican control of the chamber. Read more here.
- Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column. The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Read more here.
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| BREAKING NEWS: Ron DeSantis beats Andrew Gillum in Florida governor’s race Posted: 06 Nov 2018 08:30 PM PST After a long and divisive race, Republican Ron DeSantis defeated Democrat Andrew Gillum Tuesday night to become Florida's first new governor since 2010. DeSantis is a new face in the governor's mansion, but he campaigned on many of the same policies that have defined Florida's GOP-dominated state government in recent years. See more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Democrats are projected to capture the House majority after a suburban rebuke of President Donald Trump, ending eight years of Republican control of the chamber. Read more here.
- Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column. The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Read more here.
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| BREAKING NEWS: Democrats win the House Posted: 06 Nov 2018 08:09 PM PST Democrats have captured the House majority after a suburban rebuke of President Donald Trump, ending eight years of Republican control of the chamber. Read more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column. The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Read more here.
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| ماذا في جعبة السلطان قابوس؟ Posted: 06 Nov 2018 08:00 PM PST |
| BREAKING NEWS: Democrats on track to take the House Posted: 06 Nov 2018 07:52 PM PST Democrats are more than halfway to picking up the 23 seats they need to retake the House of Representatives, carving through Republican-held seats around the country where President Donald Trump is unpopular. Read more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column.
- The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Read more here.
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| BREAKING NEWS: GOP keeps control of Senate after Cramer wins in North Dakota Posted: 06 Nov 2018 07:26 PM PST Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer defeated Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp in North Dakota Tuesday night, flipping a state President Donald Trump won by 36 percentage points into the Senate GOP's column. The win means Republicans have kept the Senate majority after defeating Democratic senators in states President Donald Trump won by double-digits in 2016. Read more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. See more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| BREAKING NEWS: Ted Cruz wins reelection over Beto O’Rourke Posted: 06 Nov 2018 07:19 PM PST Republican Sen. Ted Cruz locked in a second term Tuesday night after defeating Democratic Rep. Beto O'Rourke, shutting down Democrats' most aggressive attempt in decades to win a statewide office in Texas. Polling of the Texas Senate race tightened over the summer, but Cruz held leads in the mid-single digits or higher in most public, independent surveys of the campaign. See more here. PREVIOUS RESULTS:
- Republican Mike Braun defeated Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly on Tuesday in Indiana, flipping a key Senate seat coveted by the GOP for six years. Read more here.
- See real time results for every race.
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| We're going all night ���� Posted: 06 Nov 2018 05:37 PM PST We're live! Watch BuzzFeed News' results from the midterms and what they mean for you. Join us for a smart (and nerdy) alternative to cable news as you await the results. We'll be going all night. My colleagues Katherine Miller and David Mack are breaking down the races with Brandon Finnigan of Decision Desk HQ — a team who's made the right calls when TV networks got them wrong. And we're talking to our reporters on location at key races around the country.
Watch on Twitter, Facebook, or YouTube. If you like what you see, share it, and let me know what you think.
WATCH LIVE HERE
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| ترك برس - النشرة 07-11-2018 Posted: 06 Nov 2018 04:57 PM PST |
| Illegal “Vote Straight Democrat” Sign Posted at Polling Station in Pittsburgh Posted: 06 Nov 2018 04:42 PM PST | | | Video footage out of Pittsburgh shows illegal campaign material appearing at a polling station. READ MORE Paul Joseph Watson | Infowars.com | | | | Paul Joseph Watson | Infowars.com | | | Jamie White | Infowars.com | | | Owen Shroyer | Infowars.com | | | | Kit Daniels | Infowars.com | | | | | Harrison Smith | Infowars.com | | | | | | | Steve Watson | Infowars.com | | | |  |
| USMCA could raise prices and create jobs... for robots Posted: 06 Nov 2018 04:30 PM PST | President Donald Trump insists his new North American trade deal will deliver a victory for U.S. factory workers by returning many high-paying jobs to the United States. Buoyed by an energy veteran political operatives could only compare to the election of President Barack Obama in 2008, Democrats appear to be on the verge of winning back the House of Representatives and potentially winning a slew of competitive governor’s races in Tuesday’s midterm elections. With Toronto slowly emerging from a real estate slump that has bitten into prices and sales over the past year-and-a-half, and Vancouver's housing market "in the dumps," Montreal is emerging as the country's hottest major city housing market. Liberal MP Nicola Di Iorio says he's resigning his seat on January 22 after weeks of speculation around whether he would return to work. HuffPost is now a part of Oath and a part of Verizon. On May 25, 2018, we introduced a new Oath Privacy Policy which will explain how your data is used and shared. Learn More.Follow HuffPost Canada on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram
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| Fikra Newsletter: MbS, Moroccan Millennials, Iranian Media, and Political Mistakes in Tunisia Posted: 06 Nov 2018 03:16 PM PST |  | | | | Generating Dialogue. Impacting Policy. | | | | | Contributing editor Hassan Mneimneh asserts that Western commentators are currently mixing legitimate criticism of MbS with assertions of direct criminal intent which, since they are unable to be proven, distort the larger conversation around the future of U.S.-Saudi relations. Moroccan professor Mohamed Chtatou examines how the internet has helped inform Moroccan millennials' attempts to shift societal norms, arguing that their use of the internet to advocate for reforms represents an understudied but important 'cultural revolution.' Turkey-based analyst Firas Elias analyzes the relationship between Iranian intelligence and the state media output of Iran, discussing the governments' recent developments in media control and messaging, as well as its connection to broader Iranian foreign policy goals. Tunisian analyst Amir Mastouri asserts that the conflict between President Essebsi's son and Head of Government Chahed within the Tunisian party Nidaa Tounes is both increasingly fragmenting Tunisian politics and making youth less committed to a democracy now perceived as out of touch with aveage Tunisians' needs.
As always, we welcome your feedback and participation. Please write to us at editor@fikraforum.org.
Warm regards,
David Pollock
Director, Fikra Forum
| | يؤكد حسن منيمنة المحرر المساهم في منتدى فكرة أن المعلقين الغربيين يقومون حاليا بخلط الانتقادات المشروعة لولى العهد السعودي بالتأكيد على القصد الجنائي دون توفير دليل، مما يؤدى إلى تشويه الحوار حول المستقبل ما بين والولايات المتحدة الامريكية والمملكة العربية السعودية. يناقش الدكتور المغربي محمد اشتاتو كيف أن الإنترنت قد ساهم في تشكيل محاولات جيل الألفية بالمغرب لتغيير المعايير الاجتماعية، حيث يرى أن استخدام هذا الجيل لشبكة الإنترنت للدفاع عن الإصلاحات هو بمثابة "ثورة إصلاحية "غير مدروسة لكنها مهمة في ذات الوقت. يتناول فراس الياس المحلل السياسي المقيم في تركيا العلاقة بين المخابرات الإيرانية ومخرجات وسائل الإعلام الرسمية في إيران، حيث يناقش التطورات الجديدة الخاصة بسيطرة الحكومة على وسائل الإعلام والرسائل والاتصال والتي تهدف إلى تحقيق الأهداف السياسة الخارجية الأوسع الإيرانية. يؤكد المحلل التونسي أمير مستورى أن الصراع بين نجل الرئيس السبسي ورئيس الحكومة الشاهد، داخل حزب نداء تونس سوف يؤدى إلى تفتيت السياسة التونسية بشكل متزايد ويجعل الشباب أقل التزاما بالديمقراطية وينظرون إليها على أنها بعيدة كل البعد عن احتياجات التونسيين. وكما هو الحال دائماً، نشجع مشاركاتكم في هذه النقاشات المستمرة. يرجى الكتابة لنا على البريد الألكتروني editor@fikraforum.org.
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| Trip Report on New Iraqi and KRG Governments (PolicyWatch 3038) Posted: 06 Nov 2018 02:24 PM PST NEW GOVERNMENTS IN IRAQ AND KURDISTAN: A TRIP REPORT Featuring Kenneth Pollack, Nussaibah Younis, Michael Knights, and Bilal Wahab Policy Forum Report
November 6, 2018 Four experts who recently returned from Baghdad and Erbil report on the results of the government formation process. READ THIS ITEM OR WATCH EVENT VIDEO ON OUR WEBSITE
On November 1, Kenneth Pollack, Nussaibah Younis, Michael Knights, and Bilal Wahab addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Pollack is a resident scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Younis is a senior advisor to the European Institute of Peace. Knights, a senior fellow at The Washington Institute, has worked in all of Iraq’s provinces and spent time embedded with the country's security forces. Wahab is the Institute’s Nathan and Esther K. Wagner Fellow. The following is a rapporteur’s summary of their remarks. KENNETH POLLACK The May elections were a disaster, but the resulting government is better than anyone anticipated. The new president, Barham Salih, the new prime minister, Adil Abdulmahdi, and the people of Iraq would all like to see the country change in the right direction. The disconnect between the wishes of the people and the leadership has been a historic problem in Iraq, so the United States should be hopeful. Still, the situation is not without its complexities. The new government has to deal with three different communities deeply aggrieved by unique issues. The Kurds are furious about their loss of control over Kirkuk, their second-class citizenship, and the status of their oil and security forces. The Sunnis are desperate for reconstruction after the war against the Islamic State (IS), worried about the jihadist group’s resurgence, and tired of being excluded from greater political power in Baghdad. The Shia are infuriated about the government’s inability to provide basic services and an economic framework for reviving the entire country. Each community is laser-focused on its own problems and does not care about the others’ concerns. On the political front, Prime Minister Adil will preside over yet another national unity government. While he tried to get past the patronage politics of such governments when he chose his cabinet, he was not able to completely overcome them. The riots in the south point to the fact that if he fails to deliver fairly soon, Iraqis will lose faith in the system itself. NUSSAIBAH YOUNIS Iran and the United States spent a lot of energy jockeying for influence in Iraq during the government formation process, and interpretations of the results have been mixed. The various positive outcomes have led some to regard the new government as a success for the United States, but this is not the case. Take Salih, for example. Although there is no reason to undermine him or belittle his capabilities, it was Iran, not the United States, who brokered his return to the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) and shut down opposition within the party. He came out of the May parliamentary elections in a fragile condition. The United States should still work with him, of course, but it should not forget whose actions brought him to power. In the same vein, while the United States worked with Adil extensively when he was Iraq’s oil minister, it supported incumbent prime minister Haider al-Abadi during the elections beyond all reasonable analysis of the situation. By misreading the political scene, Washington lost an opportunity to influence a candidate with some potential sense of allegiance. In contrast, Tehran has done some extraordinary work in building political alliances the likes of which the United States would not have thought possible. For instance, right-wing Sunnis have been brought into Bina Bloc, the political arm of some Shia militias. The Iranians have intentionally not used the full extent of their leverage, however, because they do not want to humiliate the United States to the point where it imposes even more significant restrictions on Iraq. Tehran is also sensitive to how such interference might play out in local Iraqi politics. MICHAEL KNIGHTS Kirkuk is foundational to an oil revenue deal between the central government and the Kurdistan Regional Government, and the United States is playing an essential role in bringing it into that process. Before such a deal can be reached, the coming year will likely see Baghdad and the KRG continue pursuing a collaborative oil export scheme. The Kurds will probably keep self-marketing their own crude and exporting Baghdad’s Kirkuk crude, while the central government tops up the KRG budget. This strategy will allow the Kurds to maintain their salary payments, social services, and petroleum cost requirements, as well as continue servicing their debts at a level of $200 million dollars a month. On the security front, Operation Infinite Resolve was intended to erode the Islamic State's power to where it was in 2012. Yet while IS has dropped its operational tempo in quantitative terms, it has raised its game qualitatively. The Iraqi security forces need to recruit more members, especially locals, to continue defeating IS pockets. With the group taking advantage of territorial disputes between Baghdad and the KRG, the need for a new generation of joint forces is urgent. Iraqi officials have considered recruiting two new counterterrorism brigades, one from Sulaymaniyah and one from Erbil. They would be under federal control and resourced through Baghdad, but composed of locals from the Kurdish and non-Kurdish communities. Elsewhere, the Popular Mobilization Forces did well in the national elections, with Asaib Ahl al-Haq jumping from one to fifteen seats in parliament. The United States needs to clearly signal what it is willing and unwilling to do with PMF units in terms of training and support. Some believe that Washington should sanction AAH and certain other units. Whatever U.S. officials decide to do, they should support Iraqi defense institutions. The PMF emerged in the first place because Iraq did not have formal reserve forces, and that gap still exists today. The United States needs to maintain its presence, compete with Iran on security cooperation, and help Iraq develop reserve forces. By doing so, it will be able to beat Tehran every time, because the Iraqis value U.S. security cooperation more than Iranian support. BILAL WAHAB When the dust settled from the government formation process, Iraq had made several notable gains. The transition of power was completed peacefully; the Iraqi polity is now more responsive to the public’s demands; IS has been largely defeated; both Iran and the United States gave tacit approval to the new government; and Baghdad witnessed a greater level of engagement by Sunnis and Kurds. Yet governance remains the primary challenge. In Basra, Shia citizens were willing to protest against a Shia-led government because they did not have electricity or water. In the business sector, the overall economy is still in the government’s grasp despite Baghdad’s vocal support for free markets. Meanwhile, Iran continues to exert major influence due to Iraq’s weak institutions and transactional politics. Yet Tehran assumes more credit that it is due, especially in naming Iraq’s new leadership. The agency of local parties and leaders should not be discounted. The Kurdish elections were peaceful as well, though turnout was low—probably even lower than in the national elections. Not many young people voted. Moreover, many local citizens believe that the KRG’s two ruling factions, the Kurdistan Democratic Party and the PUK, used their positions to print fake IDs and send their supporters to vote in place of others. Whatever the case, Kurdish opposition parties lost seats, while the KDP and PUK prevailed again despite major stumbles such as mismanaging the economy and last year’s independence referendum. This indicates that the two ruling parties have been investing heavily in their institutions, establishing a very strong party apparatus that makes KRG power dynamics less dynamic than Iraq’s. The KRG will now have to deal with another source of pressure from Iran and Turkey. Tehran has become increasingly aggressive against the Iranian Kurdish opposition groups that have sought safe haven in northern Iraq. Likewise, the Turkish military presence inside the KRG is growing, which could lead to escalation against Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) forces in the area. This summary was prepared by Jo-Ann Estes.
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| Vote after reading Posted: 06 Nov 2018 02:03 PM PST Evening Briefing Midterm elections in the U.S. are always a partial referendum on the sitting president, but Donald Trump has worked very hard to make this one entirely about him, fanning the fears of his base with misleading tweets and inflammatory speeches. This evening, an anxious nation awaits the result of this peculiar campaign strategy. —Josh Petri Here are today's top storiesBloomberg News will, of course, be mapping the results of the midterms in real-time. A record 260 women are running for Congress this year. Making sure they stick around is another matter, Bloomberg Businessweek reports. Amazon's yearlong search for a second headquarters is almost over. It's expected to end not with not one, but two new headquarters. (One of those homes is already slated for huge tax breaks, of course.) This week, the U.S. is focused on the midterms. Next week, everyone will be focused on Special Counsel Robert Mueller, writes Noah Feldman in Bloomberg Opinion. Bill Gates thinks he can save 500,000 lives and more than $200 billion by reinventing the toilet. Henry Kissinger said during the Bloomberg New Economy Forum that he's "fairly optimistic" the U.S. and China can avoid a catastrophe. What's Tracy Alloway thinking about? The Bloomberg executive editor is watching markets react to the midterms. Much of the debate has been whether or not the results will matter at all for investors. There's a lot to suggest they shouldn't. What you'll need to know tomorrow What you'll want to read tonightWe've given you well over a thousand words on the midterms. Here are some photos that may say a little bit more.  Have you started strategizing for 2019? We have. Don't miss the annual Bloomberg Businessweek special report, The Year Ahead, on the major trends, disruptions, breakthrough products, innovations and movements to watch in the coming year. Get Bloomberg All Access in time to receive this issue in print and much more. Global leaders are gathering in Singapore for Bloomberg's inaugural New Economy Forum on Nov. 6-7. The event aims to solve the world's biggest challenges through coalition building, analysis and expert perspectives. Join the community by watching a livestream of panel discussions and follow the event on Twitter, Facebook and LinkedIn. Download the Bloomberg app: It's available for iOS and Android. | |   |
| ELECTION EDITION: Viewing guide; where to watch; how anchors prep; when the polls close; why pollsters are under pressure; Crowe as Ailes Posted: 06 Nov 2018 01:54 PM PST "In my 25 years of election coverage at CNN, we have never seen interest in a midterm election in the way we are seeing it this year." FULL preview! MIDTERM VIEWERS GUIDE
Wavespotting
"In my 25 years of election coverage at CNN, we have never seen interest in a midterm election in the way we are seeing it this year," Sam Feist told me.
Feist, CNN's DC bureau chief, said "we see that interest in elevated television ratings when we cover political stories; we see it in our web traffic; and of course we see record early voting. It's certainly looking like this is a Midterm for the record books."
So here we go. I'm sending this letter out at 4:45 p.m. ET to get it out before CNN's special coverage starts at 5... Our live coverage is streaming for free on the CNN home page now... | | How anchors prepare
I asked Jake Tapper about his election day routine. "I exercise in the morning and do a lot of core and stretches since I will be seated on set from 4pm-1am," he said. And "I make a lot of phone calls to smart D's and Rs to see what they see going on out there."
Tapper, Wolf Blitzer, Anderson Cooper, and Dana Bash will helm CNN's coverage. John King will be at the Magic Wall. Nia-Malika Henderson will cover the gubernatorial races.
Some anchors took midday naps to prepare. At lunchtime, CBS's Norah O'Donnell told me, "I read everything. Clips from every national and state paper. You should see my office! Plus multiple calls throughout the day. Working on squeezing in an hour nap!"
And after George Stephanopoulos woke up from his nap, he told me he's treating this just like a presidential year. "Research, reporting and rest -- and being open to any and all possibilities..."
>> Headline on NYTimes.com right now: "Long Lines at Polls in Key States in Dramatic Battle for Congress"
>> Banner on CNN a few minutes ago: "TOP REPUBLICANS ALREADY TRADING BLAME ABOUT LIKELY LOSSES"
What time do the polls close?
The first polls close at 6 p.m. ET. The NYT has a very handy list laying out the closing times in each state. Here it is.
And don't miss CNN's excellent guide by Eric Bradner and Dan Merica: "How the midterms will unfold, hour by hour..."
What time does the coverage start?
On cable, it's already underway. CNN's special starts at 5 and MSNBC and Fox's specials start at 6. On the left, The Young Turks has a live stream up and running, and Crooked Media will be streaming on YouTube starting at 7 p.m. ET. On the right, The Gateway Pundit will be streaming an election night special with co-host Steve Bannon.
The cable newsers and live streamers will be competing for viewers against NBC, ABC and CBS to a much greater degree than in past midterm years. Those three broadcasters usually do one-hour specials on midterm nights. But this year, they will all be live from 8 til 11. PBS also has a special broadcast starting at 8. Here's my full story about the coverage plans on TV and online...
The joy of not knowing what's about to happen
"The great thing about an Election Day like this," Feist told me, "is that we have no idea what's going to happen. We have prepared for every scenario and just like our viewers, we are going to have to watch the vote count come in." BTW, the Magic Wall has been completely reprogrammed... Details here...
Pace yourself!
This is really just some advice for myself. Embarrassing confession: I fell asleep during election night in 2016. I told myself I was taking a 10 minute nap, and the next thing I knew, Trump was on stage giving his victory speech! So I'm stocked up on coffee...
Fine dining at the NYT
Politics editor Patrick Healy tells me: "We have dozens of reporters in the newsroom and DC and out in the field reporting and ready for tonight. I brought in two dozen bagels, cream cheese, OJ this morning, and the Insomnia cookies came last night from colleagues. Tonight's dinner: Pizza, what else?"
The WSJ's Byron Tau always compiles lists of newsroom dinners on election nights. Check his Twitter for fun updates...
Shoutout to the locals
There are going to be some surprises and shocks in the hours ahead... And some of them will happen in smaller markets where there are only a few reporters and TV crews present for the victory parties or concession speeches. Cheers to the local reporters whose sleepy assignments will turn out to be tremendous!
The power of progressive media on display tonight?
I have a feeling that we're going to see the power of progressive media on Tuesday night. We've talked a lot about the power of conservative media over the years... and there's been a serious effort to build up a counterweight on the left since 2016. One big example: Crooked Media. The company has been aggressive with its GOTV efforts. Various Crooked podcasts have highlighted Dems in various and precarious races.
Will there be some Alexandra Ocasio-Cortez-like surprises? Jon Favreau tells me: "I'm too nervous to think about any surprises! But like everyone else I'm especially excited about Gillum, Beto, and Abrams - knowing that the latter 2 have a very steep climb (especially Beto)..."
Late shows go live
Frank Pallotta emails: Stephen Colbert, Jimmy Kimmel, Trevor Noah, and Seth Meyers will all be live on Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. I can't wait to see how they deal with late breaking news... I hear Colbert may toss it back to CBS News HQ for brief updates if there are big surprises...
Overnight anchors
Chris Cuomo and Don Lemon will helm late night coverage on CNN along with a big supporting cast...
On Fox, Ed Henry and Julie Banderas take over at 1 a.m. ET...
And on MSNBC, Willie Geist will be anchoring starting at 2 a.m., leading into the traditional day-after "Morning Joe" broadcast from the "SNL" studio at 30 Rock...
At CBS, the "CBS This Morning" team is anchoring along with Jeff Glor until 2 a.m. ET... Then they'll be back live at 7...
| | FOR THE RECORD, PART ONE
-- Steve King is prohibiting the Des Moines Register from his election night event. The newspaper said that Steve King's son, Jeff King, wrote in an email, "We are not granting credentials to the Des Moines Register or any other leftist propaganda media outlet with no concern for reporting the truth." Here's Tom Kludt's full story... (CNN)
-- Reminder: The NYT will have "not one, but two midterm-election needles..." Joe Pompeo has all the details here... (VF)
-- Just announced: George Packer is joining The Atlantic as a staff writer... (Twitter)
| | "It disturbs me to my core"
Fox staffers express outrage over Hannity's rally appearance
Oliver Darcy emails: It's safe to say that the journalists who work at Fox News were infuriated by Sean Hannity's appearance at Trump's Monday night election rally. I spoke to more than half a dozen employees who described the anger in the newsroom. "People throughout the company think a new line was crossed," one senior Fox employee told me. Another senior Fox employee told me, "It disturbs me to my core. I am so f---ing mad." And a third senior Fox employee told me that "no one...expected what happened last night." The person added, "I'm aghast as are a number of other people." Read my full story here...
Fox says Hannity's rally participation was an "unfortunate distraction"
Darcy adds: In a remarkable move, Fox News issued a Tuesday afternoon statement that chastised Hannity and Jeanine Pirro -- although without naming them. "Fox News does not condone any talent participating in campaign events," the network said, even though Pirro has been doing just that for months. "We have an extraordinary team of journalists helming our coverage tonight and we are extremely proud of their work. This was an unfortunate distraction and has been addressed." I asked how exactly the matter had been addressed, but the spokesperson declined to elaborate.
Hannity also tweeted a statement, saying that his appearance on stage at the rally was "NOT planned." He also said he was "not referring to my journalist colleagues" last night when he slammed members of the media stationed at the back of the room as "fake news." But he said "ALL" of them were "fake..."
Zurawik's take
Fox News gave itself "totally over to Trump on election eve," David Zurawik wrote, "in a new propaganda low even for Sean Hannity." He says "that's how it works with a messaging machine run by White House..."
Where are the Murdochs?
One more observation from Darcy: Noticeably silent as Hannity grows more and more out of control are Rupert and Lachlan Murdoch, who control Fox News. I reached out to Hope Hicks, who is now chief comms officer for Fox to see if either of them had any comment. I did not hear back...
-- Eliana Johnson tweeted: "This sort of thing would NOT have happened if Ailes was still there. (Compare to 2011 Tea Party rally incident.) It happens because current FNC execs can't control their top talent..."
| |
FOR THE RECORD, PART TWO
-- Fox News was apparently trying to attract fans of InfoWars on Apple's App Store. Variety's Todd Spangler observed that when users searched for "InfoWars" in the App Store, an ad for the Fox News app was the first return. Fox News has now discontinued the ad. A Fox exec says it "was an error, which has since been corrected..." (Variety)
-- Smart stuff from McKay Coppins here: Regardless of Tuesday's results, Trump has succeeded in taking over the GOP, "with disloyal Republicans getting primaried and purged, formerly fringe media outlets gaining mainstream influence, and key party institutions mutating into weapons of presidential culture war..." (The Atlantic)
-- SE Cupp's view: "Right now, so much depends on which conservative genes become dominant and which become recessive..." (VF)
-- Even with a presidential interview for the premiere episode, "Axios on HBO" had a tame start on Sunday night... Just about 200,000 viewers, according to the overnight ratings... Time will tell if it reaches a much bigger audience via on demand...
| | Monitoring misinfo on election day
Via CNN's Greg Wallace: "Federal officials said they are aware of voting misinformation that has been spread, but not aware of any 'that we can attribute to a foreign actor.' A DHS official told reporters on Tuesday afternoon that there is some 'intentional misinformation' that has spread. That has 'been rapidly addressed by the platforms,' an apparent reference to social media, or by law enforcement, which is 'engaging with the folks who are sending those out,' the official said. Other misinformation appears to be accidental, the official said, such as text messages sent this morning telling voters to cast their ballots tomorrow."
-- ICYMI, here's my look at how "fake news" has morphed and multiplied since 2016...
Today is a test for pollsters
The polling industry has a lot on the line. Critics blamed pollsters when voters were caught off guard in 2016. Old cries of "don't believe the polls" became fevered shouts. And Trump has encouraged distrust by calling certain polls "fake" and claiming they are used to "suppress" the vote. So can the industry regain trust? Here's my full story...
Keep this in mind
In special elections since 2016, Democrats have repeatedly outperformed polls of their races. The top example was the Virginia governors' race. "Ralph Northam was favored by three points. He ended up winning by nine," Harry Enten told me.
No, past outcomes are not an indicator of future results. But WaPo's Philip Bump is on to something here: "The polling miss that defines 2018 might not be the one from 2016. It may be the one from 2017."
GLOBAL interest in the results
Hadas Gold emails from across the pond: Typically midterm elections in the US don't get heavy coverage abroad. Not this time. Europeans especially are obsessed with the election and what it means for Donald Trump. Tuesday morning, the BBC's flagship news radio show was so midterms-heavy it could've been an American station but for the British accents. Check out some of the front pages from France, Germany, and The UK. The Atlantic has a nice write up here...
CBS News political director welcomes baby boy on election day!
An election day baby! Congratulations to CBS News political director Caitlin Conant and her husband Alex... "Quite fittingly," CBS says, "Connor Dunn Conant was born this morning, five minutes before the polls opened. He will be able to cast his first vote in 2038."
IN OTHER NEWS... | | Panel of judges assigned to hear DOJ appeal of AT&T merger case
Jessica Schneider reports: "A panel of 3 judges on the United States Court of Appeals for D.C. has been assigned to hear the Justice Department's appeal of the AT&T merger case on December 6, 2018. The judges are Judith W. Rogers, Robert L. Wilkins and David B. Sentelle. Judge Rogers was appointed by President Bill Clinton, Judge Wilkins was appointed by President Barack Obama, and Judge Sentelle was appointed by President Ronald Reagan and is the Senior Judge on the Circuit Court. Oral argument is set for December 6, when the Justice Department will argue that the District Court Judge, Richard Leon, erred in letting the merger between AT&T and Time Warner move forward because he misunderstood "fundamental principles of economics."
ICYMI, check out Hadas' analysis on what it means for the appeal when Democratic-appointed judges are assigned to a case like this.
| |
FOR THE RECORD, PART THREE
-- Defy Media is laying off all the employees in its L.A. production office... (TubeFilter)
-- The European Commission has now approved, with some conditions, Disney's acquisition of those Fox assets... (EU)
-- Here are the takeaways from the report that Facebook commissioned into how its platform was "used to fuel political division and bloodshed in Myanmar..." (CNN)
Hadas' dispatch from the Web Summit in Lisbon
Hadas Gold emails: I'm in Lisbon for Web Summit, and today spoke to Guardian CEO David Pemsel. He announced on stage that Google is now funding a new venture called Guardian Voice Lab, which will deliver the Guardian's journalism through in-home speakers and AI like Google Assistant. Pemsel also announced that one million people have donated to the Guardian since 2016 -- reader donations now outpace advertising revenue -- and they expect to break even by March...
First look at Russell Crowe as Roger Ailes
Production started this week for Showtime's miniseries on Fox News and Roger Ailes. People magazine got a sneak peek showing Russell Crowe on set as the late Fox News chairman... | | Lowry's review of 'The Front Runner'
Brian Lowry emails: Columbia Pictures sought to capitalize on Election Day by premiering "The Front Runner" -- an account of Gary Hart's failed 1988 presidential campaign -- in select cities on Tuesday, in advance of a wider release on Nov. 21. Directed by Jason Reitman, and based on Matt Bai's book, the movie stars Hugh Jackman as Hart, and captures a moment when candidates' personal lives -- in this case, Hart's infidelity -- were no longer deemed off limits, thus becoming as much a media story as a political one. Read more...
Triumph on... Colbert?!
Brian Lowry emails: There was a lot of buzz Monday night about Triumph the Insult Comic Dog's interview with Ted Cruz, which aired on "The Late Show With Stephen Colbert." Robert Smigel, who plays Triumph, has traditionally been associated with Conan O'Brien's show, but also has a long history with Colbert, as the two worked together as writers on the short-lived "The Dana Carvey Show," whose collection of talent prompted the documentary "Too Funny to Fail..."
AMC hiking the price of its MoviePass rival service for some customers
"AMC Theatres will soon raise the price of its movie ticketing service in more than a dozen states," Jill Disis reports. "The company announced this week that the cost of A-list — the MoviePass-like subscription program AMC introduced this summer — will go up by $2 to $4 a month in 15 states and the District of Columbia on January 9. The price will remain unchanged at $20 a month in the rest of the country." Details here...
FOR THE RECORD, PART FOUR
By Lisa Respers France:
-- The votes are in and....Idris Elba is People's 'Sexiest Man Alive' for 2018! Ok, there wasn't really an election, but still...
-- Rebel Wilson apologized after Twitter took her to task for claiming to be first plus-size female rom-com star...
-- An Aretha Franklin documentary that has been shelved for almost 50 years is finally set to hit the screen...
That's a wrap on today's newsletter... We'll be back after the results are in... Email me feedback anytime... | | | |   |
| Why the economy isn't helping the GOP more Posted: 06 Nov 2018 01:37 PM PST Bloomberg Opinion Today Today's Agenda  Welcome to the 2020 Election Today's midterm elections mean one thing: The 2020 election is about to begin! Ugh, sorry. Seriously, though, life is just one long campaign anymore, unlike the old days when we at least took a couple of months off. One thing about politics that hasn't changed is the importance of the economy — though its effect remains unclear in these midterms. By many measures, the economy is booming, but Republicans struggled to capitalize, possibly because of the unpopularity and message indiscipline of their leader, President Donald Trump. It's also possible that not everybody has fully enjoyed the boom. One question voters will ask themselves when weighing a second Trump term is whether they're better off now than they were before his election. For the roughly half of all Americans who own stock, the answer to that question is at least partly yes, notes Stephen Gandel. But that leaves many others whose boats might not have been noticeably lifted.  One of Trump's core 2016 promises was bringing factory jobs back to the heartland. So far, this has mainly involved the heartland paying exorbitant sweeteners to lure businesses. The results have been mixed at best, notes Noah Smith. Wisconsin, for example, is paying China's Foxconn billions to build a factory that may never hire many Cheeseheads. In fact, the Wall Street Journal reported Foxconn may transfer some Chinese workers to Racine (which the company denied). Wisconsin's money would have been better spent by simply giving it directly to citizens, Noah suggests. Similar boondoggles over the years have done little for Wisconsin's factory employment:  A better approach is to invest in infrastructure, education and community development, all of which will attract new businesses, Noah writes. Read the whole thing. Another way Trump has tried to help U.S. manufacturing is by launching a trade war against China. Again, the results are mixed so far: China's retaliatory tariffs on U.S. soybeans have crushed sales for American farmers, writes David Fickling. Trump has mollified them with financial assistance, but if China's strike continues much longer, then many farmers will face an existential crisis, David writes. That won't play well in Iowa — whose presidential caucuses are just 454 days away. Oh, and the Midterms As for those midterm elections, they will be close to wrapping up by the time you open this newsletter. Al Hunt has a helpful guide of key races to watch, along with their poll-closing times.  For your own sanity, you may want to watch election coverage with the sound off, or skip it altogether. But if you insist on exposing yourself to it, then Jonathan Bernstein has a helpful guide to navigating the choppy seas of punditry. Along with the 2020 election, the other thing that will kick into higher gear after the midterms is the investigation by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Remember him? Noah Feldman does, and he has a helpful guide to what could come next, including indictments and progress reports. More midterms reading: Washington state's carbon-fee ballot initiative (Initiative 1631, if you're scoring at home) may not make a huge direct difference in carbon emissions but could send an important message to the rest of the country. – Liam Denning Amazon's Second Second HQ Many people were probably shocked by reports that Amazon.com Inc. may put a second "HQ2" in the New York metro region (specifically, Long Island City, Queens, hometown of Metta World Peace and Mobb Deep). But New York is kind of a natural fit, writes Justin Fox, noting it is already one of the country's biggest tech hubs:  Cities that could have been transformed by an Amazon HQ2 — cough, Newark, cough — will be disappointed by Amazon's choice of Arlington, Virginia, and Queens (which also features big corporate tax breaks, incidentally). But, Justin writes, "Instead of picking a city it would transform, Amazon seems to be choosing a couple of places that it doesn't have to." Read the whole thing. In honor of Queens, here's a Mobb Deep track. Belt and Road Tied to the Tracks Earlier this week, we wrote about how China's One Belt, One Road initiative — spending billions to bulk up infrastructure and strengthen regional influence — was turning out to be a poorly managed boondoggle so far. Today, David Fickling zeroes in on one specific way the Belt and Road is misguided: namely, its focus on rail transport. David points out that rail is a slow, inefficient way to move freight, and yet China has made it a central feature of the Belt and Road scheme. It's not going to make rail happen.  Telltale Charts AT&T Inc. should not test the patience of its customers by raising prices on DirecTV Now, warns Tara Lachapelle.  Poor General Electric Co. Now even (relatively) little Emerson Electric Co. is dunking on it, writes Brooke Sutherland.  Train Reading The vulture hedge fund Alden Global Capital treats its newspaper investments heartlessly, but did you know it is also heartless with its other investments? – Joe Nocera A crypto crash could be good for crypto, forcing it to clean up its act and prove its real-world worth. – Tyler Cowen One month's tiny loss is not the end of the world for leveraged loans. – Brian Chappatta A second Brexit referendum is no affront to democracy. In fact, many other referendums have revotes built into the process. – Lionel Laurent Turkey scored an exemption from new U.S. sanctions on Iran. It hasn't earned one. – Eli Lake A Mideast peace plan rejected 40 years ago, giving Palestinians "autonomy" in Gaza, is coming closer to reality. – Zev Chafets Immigrants have always been a source of national power, and they still are. – Justin Fox The George Soros plot to flood the West with immigrants is just a right-wing fever dream. – Leonid Bershidsky ICYMI Even Fox News thought Sean Hannity stumping with Donald Trump was a bit much. Billionaire John Paulson may choose to experience his empty-nest syndrome in Puerto Rico. Finally used to dipping your credit card? Sorry, soon you'll have to tap instead. Kickers Want to know how the midterms are making Americans feel? No? Well, now you can anyway. Coming soon: hidden messages in fingerprints. (h/t for first two kickers to Scott Duke Kominers) Did the Gary Hart scandal ruin America? Maybe screen time doesn't affect kids' sleep much after all. Can Hong Kong sell its residents on sea burials? DNA-based fitness advice may not have rock-solid science behind it. Scientists suggest using lasers to guide aliens to Earth, which surely won't end badly. A brief comedy history of the Beastie Boys. Note: Please send fingerprint messages, suggestions and kicker ideas to Mark Gongloff at markgongloff@gmail.com. New to Bloomberg Opinion Today? Sign up here and follow us on Twitter and Facebook. | |   |
| Football player, 18, and his little sister allegedly shot in their bedrooms by mom: ‘Pure evil’ Posted: 06 Nov 2018 01:33 PM PST | If you are having trouble viewing this email click here |  | | November 6, 2018 |  | | | |  | | | TOP STORY
Football Player, 18, and His Little Sister Allegedly Shot in Their Bedrooms by Mom: 'Pure Evil' | | | | Amy Hall is charged with first-degree murder and two counts of shooting with intent after her son was killed and one of her daughters was gravely injured | | | | |  | | | STAR TRACKS
Hailey Baldwin Steps Out Sans Bieber, Plus Tom Hanks, Bethenny Frankel & More | | | | From Hollywood to New York and everywhere in between, see what your favorite stars are up to | | | | | | | | |  | | | EXCLUSIVE
Brad Pitt and Angelina Jolie Are Working 'Together Toward a Settlement' for Custody of 6 Kids | | | | Exes Angelina Jolie and Brad Pitt are working toward settling custody of their six children | | | | | | | | |  | | | SEXIEST MAN ALIVE 2018
See Idris Elba, PEOPLE's Sexiest Man Alive, Try to Identify British Items Blindfolded | | | | PEOPLE put Sexiest Man Alive 2018 Idris Elba to the test with everything from tea bags and food spread Marmite to a crown and a cricket ball | | | | |  | | | AWKWARD?
Kourtney Kardashian Joins Ex Scott Disick and His Girlfriend Sofia Richie for 'Tense' Dinner | | | | The trio was photographed leaving Nobu restaurant in Malibu, California, after dining together on Sunday evening | | | | |  | | | HOT ITEM
Celebrate Your Own Sexiest Man Alive with Our Official T-Shirts (Hey, Idris, We're Sending One Your Way!) | | | | Idris Elba isn't the only one who's getting our hottest designation this year -- check out our Amazon store to nab your own Sexiest Man Alive-themed shirt! | | | | CLICK HERE FOR MORE NEWS | | | | | | | | | | People Customer Service
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| El MOUDJAHID : Lettre d'information du 07/11/2018 Posted: 06 Nov 2018 01:10 PM PST |
| Election Day: What you need to know Posted: 06 Nov 2018 01:04 PM PST TicToc Tonight | It's midterm Election Day in America. Here's what you need to know about this pivotal moment as millions cast their ballots. Bad weather, long lines, tech glitches? Tell us what you're seeing where you vote.  Get up to speed - The magic number in the House is 23. Democrats need a net gain of that many seats to win the House. And their chances are good considering the president's party historically loses an average of more than 30 seats in midterms.
- The Senate race favors Republicans. There are 35 seats up for election, 26 of which are held by Democrats. They need a net gain of 2 seats to win the Senate, giving the GOP the upper-hand.
- Expect meaningful results after 9 p.m. The first polls in the country close at 6 p.m. ET and the last ones close 7 hours later in Alaska, so some races won't become clear until late tonight.
 What's at stake - It's all about Trump. "Even though I'm not on the ballot, in a certain way, I am on the ballot," Trump said at a campaign rally Monday. These midterms are a referendum on the president, meaning the partisan divide will largely drive voter turnout.
- The elephant in the room. If Democrats win the House, Republicans can expect them to launch a host of investigations into everything from Trump's personal business dealings to his immigration policy to the possibility of impeachment.
- Women are breaking records. More women are running for office than ever before. The House is likely to set records on the number of women newly elected at once and on the total number of women serving simultaneously.
- The world is watching. The uncertainty ahead of the midterm vote has many outside the U.S. paying attention to congressional control and Trump. They want to know what kind of U.S. they'll be dealing with after Election Day.
- 2020 starts right away. As soon as results become clear, so will the field for the next presidential race. A political split between the House and Senate could shift things for Democrats eyeing a 2020 run. Trump already announced his re-election slogan: "Keep America Great."
 What to watch - Dems will have a good night if… Toss up races in deep red districts swing blue. If Virginia Rep. Dave Brat loses his long-held Republican seat to Democrat Abigail Spanberger, for example, the "blue wave" will likely surface.
- Republicans are sitting pretty if… Toss up races like if the one in New Jersey between Democrat Sen. Bob Menendez and Bob Hugin swings red.
- Mail-in ballots, recounts and run-offs, oh my. If you hear these buzzwords, it means we may be in for a long night, er morning?
 Find your state here and follow along for results, analysis and commentary all night long. | |   |
| Restricting Support for Saudi Airstrikes (Knights, Pfluger | PolicyWatch 3037) Posted: 06 Nov 2018 12:58 PM PST U.S.-SAUDI SECURITY COOPERATION (PART 2): RESTRICTING OPERATIONAL SUPPORT IN YEMEN by Michael Knights and Lt. Col. August Pfluger, USAF PolicyWatch 3037
November 6, 2018 The United States should keep training and advising Saudi forces if they meet certain conditions, but it should end refueling support to Saudi aircraft operating near Yemen. READ THIS ITEM ON OUR WEBSITE
This PolicyWatch is the second in a two-part series on potential adjustments to the bilateral security relationship. Part 1 offered recommendations on delaying and conditioning arms sales to Saudi Arabia. Last week, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Defense Secretary Jim Mattis laid out a sequence for ending hostilities in Yemen: the Houthi rebels are expected to cease border and missile attacks, after which the Saudi-led coalition is to halt high-risk airstrikes in populated areas, thus laying the ground for peace talks. Yet if the hoped-for talks wind up failing (as the previous round did earlier this year in Geneva when the Houthis refused to attend), Washington will likely intensify its scrutiny of U.S. operational support to the Saudi war effort. Since the conflict began in 2015, Congress has debated whether to end support activities such as refueling coalition aircraft and providing advise/assist functions in Saudi Arabia. Yet discussion of these missions often loses sight of their limited scale and, in the case of advisory support, their crucial defensive and diplomatic value. U.S. TRAINING SUPPORT Saudi operations in Yemen are evolving. The air war is slowing down and becoming more selective, with air-dropped weapon releases declining from nearly 200 per day in the early weeks of the war to less than 10 per day in 2018. On the ground, however, the Saudi military presence inside Yemen has expanded from well under 1,000 troops at the beginning of this year to around 3,000 today, comprising elements of six brigades from the Saudi Arabian National Guard (SANG) and Royal Saudi Land Forces. Although the U.S. military plays a very minor role in directly supporting operations in Yemen, the Saudi war effort draws indirectly on the large U.S. training missions and contractor support services that keep the kingdom’s armed forces operating. These programs, which are fully funded by the Saudi government, include: - The U.S. Military Training Mission. Operating continuously since the 1950s, the 200-strong USMTM is based in Riyadh and works directly with each branch of the Defense Ministry, fulfilling the crucial role of processing U.S. Foreign Military Sales from concept through delivery. This mission has never been withdrawn from the country during any crisis, even when the United States removed its air operations headquarters from Prince Sultan Air Base in 2002.
- OPM-SANG. Another few hundred U.S. military personnel and contractors oversee the U.S. Army’s Office of the Program Manager-Saudi Arabian National Guard (OPM-SANG). This mission has operated continuously since 1973 to organize, equip, and train SANG, a multi-brigade collection of armored infantry, helicopters, and artillery that has become the kingdom’s second-largest land force.
- MoI-MAG. In 2008, the U.S. Army set up a smaller Ministry of Interior-Military Assistance Group to help the Saudis develop critical infrastructure security capabilities and build out their Facilities Security Forces, Special Security Forces, Border Guards, and General Security Aviation Command. This training mission contributes to protecting the world’s largest energy installations, fighting terrorism, and developing the Border Guards, the force that has suffered the highest casualties in the Yemen war due to Houthi raids into Saudi Arabia.
OPERATIONAL SUPPORT On June 8, the Trump administration acknowledged that U.S. forces “have continued to provide military advice and limited information, logistics, and other support to regional forces combating the Houthi insurgency in Yemen,” though he made clear that this was “a non-combat role.” This support includes: - Advice on lawful targeting. On February 27, the Pentagon informed Congress that a small number of U.S. personnel were providing “advice regarding compliance with the law of armed conflict and best practices for reducing the risk of civilian casualties.” Secretary Mattis confirmed this point on October 30, describing how legal and weapons advisors are working to improve the capabilities of Gulf coalition forces so that “they are not killing innocent people.”
- Border and missile defense assistance. On April 17, Assistant Defense Secretary for International Security Affairs Robert Karem told Congress that “roughly 50” U.S. personnel had been deployed to Saudi Arabia to advise “on Houthi ballistic missile threats to the kingdom.” Media outlets have reported that U.S. personnel are also helping Saudi border forces reduce their casualties from Houthi roadside bombs.
REFUELING SUPPORT The latest statistics from U.S. Central Command suggest that American forces are supporting the Saudi air campaign in Yemen with an average of 101 refueling sorties per month, or around 3 per day. In military terminology, this means that approximately 400,000 pounds of daily “offload” is available to Saudi aircraft involved in fighter missions, command and control, intelligence, and reconnaissance. The kingdom pays for the fuel and can call for deliveries as part of the bilateral Acquisition and Cross-Servicing Agreement, which gives the United States various logistical and access rights as well. In total, fuel deliveries to Saudi aircraft amount to less than 5 percent of the U.S. Air Force’s daily deliveries in Iraq, Syria, and Afghanistan. Moreover, Secretary Mattis recently noted that the USAF provides less than 20 percent of the fuel consumed in daily Saudi air operations over Yemen—more than 80 percent is provided by the Royal Saudi Air Force’s thirteen large air refueling platforms. In other words, if Washington reduces or cancels this refueling support, it would have minimal effect on Saudi operations inside Yemen—with one important exception. In general, the kingdom’s air force operates relatively close to Saudi airfields, thereby reducing the overall offload requirement for air-to-air refueling. Defensive operations on the border would not be affected because they are undertaken at a range of 150 nautical miles from the main airbase at Khamis Mushait. Yet a refueling cutoff could complicate Saudi operations deeper inside Yemen, such as opportunistic airstrikes in Sana, Saada, and other urban locales that present a high risk of civilian casualties. On October 30, Secretary Pompeo stated that coalition airstrikes “must cease in all populated areas in Yemen,” suggesting that a cutoff might be a useful way of signaling Riyadh and shaping Saudi operations. POLICY OPTIONS If the latest push for peace talks falls apart, U.S. officials may seek to distance America even further from the Yemen war via punitive measures against Riyadh. Yet while some of these potential measures are reversible options that offer a good means of signaling displeasure, others would damage Saudi Arabia’s legitimate defensive efforts and may prove difficult to reverse. Policymakers should be realistic about the minimal role that U.S. forces actually play in directly supporting the war. Going forward, Washington should limit itself to the following steps: - Continue military training missions. USMTM, OPM-SANG, and MoI-MAG are vital sources of U.S. influence and access in Saudi Arabia and are highly valued by both governments. Although this makes them very powerful cards to play, it also underlines how going too far could undo half a century’s worth of defense diplomacy. These missions will never be a foolproof way of preventing Riyadh from acting on its own perceived interests, but they have served as a vital channel of high-level dialogue through dozens of revolutions, wars, and energy crises.
- Continue advise-and-assist support to defensive missions. According to Washington Institute data obtained from research along the Saudi-Yemeni frontier, the kingdom has suffered hundreds of fatalities each year from attacks on its Border Guards and missile strikes on southern Saudi towns. The United States should continue helping the Saudis defend their territory, including through increased defensive aid to hard-hit border units.
- Keep advising Saudi forces on lawful targeting. Critics correctly argue that Saudi Arabia is not amending its targeting policies fast enough despite U.S. advice, but that does not mean giving up is the correct solution. Preventing additional civilian casualties is the most important contribution Washington can make, and this effort should not be politicized. To put more pressure on Riyadh without rescinding advisory support on targeting policy, the United States should condition future training and advise/assist efforts on Saudi forces halting their airstrikes against Houthi leadership targets and high-risk populated areas.
- Stop refueling aircraft near Yemen. Although U.S. refueling support is not critical to the overall Saudi air campaign, withholding it from aircraft operating near the border might force Riyadh to reduce the number of emerging targets it attacks in Sana and Saada, where airstrikes have caused the worst civilian death tolls.
Michael Knights, a senior fellow with The Washington Institute, visited Yemen and the Gulf coalition states four times this year to observe military operations on multiple fronts. Lt. Col. August Pfluger, USAF, is a military fellow at the Institute.
  |
| Most Social: USOC begins process of revoking USA Gymnastics' status as national governing body Posted: 06 Nov 2018 10:01 AM PST |
| Canadian women have developed dangerous drinking habits: report Posted: 06 Nov 2018 09:54 AM PST | 🏠 Interested in buying your first home? Not sure where to start? Join our new Facebook group "So You Want To Be A Homeowner" for tips, advice and more. Canadian women are increasingly landing themselves in hospital, or even the morgue, due to an uptick in dangerous drinking habits, Canada's chief public health officer has warned. Veterans Affairs Minister Seamus O'Regan revealed the error and compensation package Monday, on the eve of Remembrance Day, even as the federal NDP called on the government to ensure all money earmarked for veterans' benefits is actually spent. Following the U.S. tax cuts, Trudeau and Finance Minister Bill Morneau have been under pressure to respond, in order to ensure companies in the country don't move south of the border. 👍 You're all set. Have a great day. In the latest episode of our "Follow-Up" podcast, host Althia Raj sits down with the ministers of Families, Children and Social Development and Infrastructure and Communities to review the government's work. HuffPost is now a part of Oath and a part of Verizon. On May 25, 2018, we introduced a new Oath privacy policy, which explains how your data is used and shared. Learn more.Follow HuffPost Canada on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram
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| It's Election Day: No one knows what's going to happen Posted: 06 Nov 2018 09:43 AM PST Plus: FLOTUS tweets "Vote Red" after avoiding campaign trail, and how Taylor Swift turned her Instagram into a get-out-the-vote fan page | | | | | Poll workers attach a sign as they set up a voting station at Laguna Beach City Hall in Orange County, California, before the polls opened Tuesday. Credit: Robyn Beck/AFP/Getty Images | | | It's Election Day: No one knows what's going to happen
Our Daily Melania: FLOTUS tweets "Vote Red" after avoiding campaign trail
How Taylor Swift Turned Her Instagram Into a Get-Out-The-Vote Fan Page: Her 30 days of GOTV posts | | | What the White House is Talking About:
President Trump is scheduled to spend the day in the Executive Residence, watching election news. There are no public events on his calendar.
The President and first lady Melania Trump have invited family and friends over later tonight to watch the results, press secretary Sarah Sanders said.
Per CNN White House reporter Sarah Westwood: President Trump is expected today to stop by the "war room" his political team has set up for Election Day, according to a source familiar with the President's schedule for the day. The war room is in the East Wing, a senior White House official said. Aides will spend the day there keeping tabs on voting.
What the White House Press Corps is Talking About:
🚨 IT'S ELECTION DAY🚨
If You're Obsessed:
CNN will be livestreaming election coverage without having to log in. Evening television coverage starts at 5pm and will go until the end of the very end and all the votes are tallied -- or at least the votes that don't require a recount. Here's a handy guide on how to watch everything, via television or digital or on your phone. There could be some historic firsts for the country by the end of the night.
Or, If You Just Want To Keep An Eye on Things:
But if you're more like wanting to know what's up every now and then as the night goes on, here's another handy guide on when to check in.
Either Way, NO ONE KNOWS WHAT'S GOING TO HAPPEN:
Which is why it's... exciting? Sam Feist, CNN's trusted bureau chief and basically a political savant, said in this excellent Politico read, "We're ready for every outcome." And there's always Harry Enten.
Our Daily Melania:
So, Melania Trump went through the entire midterm election run-up without making one campaign appearance or attending one fundraiser. It's remarkable for a few reasons, notably because Trump is down among women, and she has high favorables, and all of the modern first ladies before her have hit the trail to stump for candidates, or at least the party. Last night, the President brought out Ivanka Trump during his three rallies, and he also called up Sarah Sanders and Kellyanne Conway to speak to the crowds. I personally find it so fascinating that the first lady simply wouldn't adjust her schedule (the reason the White House gave me as to why she isn't campaigning) to appear. This morning, however, Melania did tweet this: | | Credit: @FLOTUS/Twitter
New York Post Cover:
This kind of sums it up. | | Credit: nypost.com
Remember Major Brent Taylor:
The body of American hero Major Brent Taylor returned to US soil today, arriving at Dover, Delaware. His widow, Jennie, and two of the couple's seven children were there. Taylor's story has just stuck in my brain these past few days and I thought about him as I cast my ballot this morning. It's not about party -- I will be friends with you no matter who you vote for -- it's about exercising the right that Taylor fought and died for. I think that's a wonderful thing about America. This photograph shows the early morning dignified transfer ceremony of Taylor's remains at Dover Air Force Base 🇺🇸: | | Credit: Mark Makela/Getty Images
And Here's Some More Voting Motivation from Winnie:
She came with me this morning so I let her wear the sticker. | | What America is Talking About: - It's Election Day in America
- People magazine named Idris Elba its 2018 Sexiest Man Alive. He tweeted that he was "honoured & thankful" and added, "What's even more important is your vote in the midterm elections. Your vote can make a difference!"
- Amazon is reportedly finalizing plans to split its HQ2 between Arlington, Virginia, and Long Island City, New York.
- The new Gawker, acquired by the owner of Bustle, is up in beta, and it's not the old Gawker.
Poll of the Day:
Democrats are more worried about the election than Republicans, according to a Gallup poll released today. Among Democrats and Democratic leaners, 81% said they are very or somewhat worried, compared with 66% of Republicans and Republican leaners. | | Credit: Gallup
Where You Can and Can't Take Polling Place Selfies:
Before you snap a pic while voting, check here to see if your state has rules against it.
US Intel Wants You To "Think Before You Link":
The FBI, Justice Department, Department of Homeland Security, and office of the Director of National Intelligence released a joint statement Monday saying they've been working for two years in "unprecedented ways to combat influence efforts and to support state and local officials in securing our elections," but warned that foreign actors, and particularly Russia, still want to sow discord, including by spreading false information.
Their tips: 1. Get election information straight from state and local election offices and 2. Think before sharing election-related news ("Know your source—and think before you link. Compare reporting from multiple sources to determine reliable information. Before sharing, ask yourself, "Who wrote it? Who posted it? What are their sources?").
2018's Hottest Voting Meme is...:
"Me voting in 2016 vs. me voting in 2018." Here are some of most liked examples off Twitter: | | Credit: @JenniferReitman/@louislane79/@TheDweck/Twitter
Google's Election Day Doodle:
It links to search results for "Where do I vote #ElectionDay." | | Credit: Google
Rihanna Sent Trump a Cease-and-Desist:
"As you are or should be aware, Ms. Fenty has not provided her consent to Mr. Trump to use her music. Such use is therefore improper." So reads in part the letter sent by attorneys for Bajan ambassador Robyn Rihanna Fenty to Trump over his use of "Please Don't Stop The Music" at a rally in Tennessee Sunday, obtained by Rolling Stone.
How Taylor Swift Turned Her Instagram Into a Get-Out-The-Vote Fan Page:
Taylor Swift announced for the first time ever who she would vote for on October 7, exactly 30 days before the election. Since then, she's continued to encourage her fans to vote and celebrated when they did, almost entirely on Instagram stories, which vanish after 24 hours.
Swift has reposted #justvoted photos from more than 100 people, including a few you might recognize: Abigail Anderson (her BFF who was mentioned in "Fifteen"), Tim McGraw and Faith Hill, Justin Timberlake, and Kesha. | | Credit: @taylorswift/Instagram story
Her message today, on Instagram story: "I'm seeing a lot of underestimation of young voters and this new generation who now have the right to vote just in the last couple of years, but these are people who grew up post 9/11 and they grew up with school shooting drills at their schools. These are people who want to vote. It's not enough to want change, it's not enough to want to vote, you have to go and make change by voting and today is your opportunity to do that."
Street Art Sighting:
Artist Jessica Ingram made this billboard in Jackson, Mississippi, for the 50 State Initiative campaign by the group For Freedoms, referencing Vernon Dahmer, a businessman and civil rights leader.
In 1966, a year after the Voting Rights Act had passed protecting voting rights against barriers meant to keep black Americans from voting, Dahmer announced he would collect poll taxes at his grocery store so people wouldn't have to go to the courthouse, and he offered to pay the tax for people who couldn't afford it. The next day, he was killed in a firebomb attack of his home in Hattiesburg, Mississippi, by KKK members. His voter registration card arrived after he was killed.
"He couldn't go vote, so go vote for him," Ingram said. | | Credit: Hubert Worley
If you spot political street art, tweet me @hunterschwarz, tag me on Instagram @hunterschwarz, or email me at coverlinehunter@cnn.com with your sighting so I can feature it in COVER/LINE.
P.S.:
One pop star who's been noticeably quiet about the election this year is Beyoncé. But the singer sent a message with a link to vote.org to her email list last night: | | | | | | |   |
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